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CAPM applications for appropriate stock pricing – impact of speculation companies

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EN
Abstrakty
EN
Research on the pricing of stocks listed on the Polish market shows a contradiction with the classic CAPM. The results of these studies are consistent with the results carried out on other developed markets. The reasons for inconsistent pricing are not known; this is the main objective of this work. It is a continuation of the authors’ previous work on the impact of speculation and penny stocks on the pricing in light of the ICAPM. Despite the scientific justifications for pricing in light of the ICAPM, a common estimate of the capital cost for companies is still performed on the basis of the classic CAPM. It has been conjectured that speculative stocks contribute to incompatible pricing in light of the CAPM. The elimination of speculative stocks would allow for the proper estimate of the cost of capital without the need of complicated and laborious ICAPM applications. The research is conducted on the basis of stocks listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange from 1995 through 2012. The tested period is divided into two separate sub-periods: 1995–2005 (the years preceding Poland’s accession to the EU) and 2005–12 (the years of Poland’s membership in the EU). The analyzed stocks are grouped into quintile portfolios according to two variants. The pricing tests are carried out in three modes. In Mode, 1 all listed stocks are analyzed. In Modes 2 and 3, speculative stocks are excluded from the study. The research results prove the validity of the adopted conjectures.
Wydawca
Rocznik
Strony
227--245
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 25 poz., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management
autor
  • AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management
Bibliografia
  • [1] Adamczak, A. (2000) Model arbitrażu cenowego, PhD thesis, Faculty of Management, University of Gdansk, Gdansk.
  • [2] Banz, R.W. (1981) ‘The Relationship between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks,’ Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 9, 1, pp. 3–18.
  • [3] Bołt, T.W. and Miłobędzki, P. (2002) ‘Weryfikacja modelu CAPM dla giełdy warszawskiej,’ Prace Naukowe Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wrocławiu, No. 952, pp. 89–95.
  • [4] Byrka-Kita, K. and Rozkręt, D. (2004) ‘Testowanie modelu CAPM na polskim rynku kapitałowym,’ Zeszyty Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego. Finanse. Rynki Finansowe. Ubezpieczenia, No. 389, pp. 307–317.
  • [5] Cochrane, J. (2001) Asset Pricing, Princeton University Press. Princeton: New Jersey.
  • [6] Czapkiewicz, A. and Skalna, I. (2010) ‘The CAPM and the Fama-French Models in Warsaw Stock Exchange,’ Przegląd Statystyczny, vol. 57, 4, pp. 128–141.
  • [7] Czapkiewicz, A. and Wójtowicz, T. (2014) ‘The four-factor asset pricing model on the Polish stock market,’ Economic Research – Ekonomska Istraživanja,’ vol. 27, 1, pp. 771–783.
  • [8] De Bondt, W.F.M. and Thaler, R.H. (1985) ‘Does the Stock Market Overreact?,’ Journal of Finance, vol. 40, 3, pp. 793–805.
  • [9] Fama, E.F. and MacBeth, J.D. (1973) ‘Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests,’ Journal of Political Economy, vol. 81, 3, pp. 607–636.
  • [10] Fama, E.F. and French, K.R. (1995) ‘Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns,’ Journal of Finance, vol. 50, 1, pp. 131–155.
  • [11] Fiszeder, P. (2006) ‘Testy modelu CAPM z zastosowaniem wielorównaniowych modeli GARCH – analiza dla GPW w Warszawie,’ Przegląd Statystyczny, vol. 53, pp. 36–56.
  • [12] Gibbons, M.R., Ross, S.A, and Shanken, J. (1989) ‘A Test of the Efficiency of a Given Portfolio,’ Econometrica, vol. 57, 5, pp. 1121–1152.
  • [13] Gurgul, H. and Wójtowicz T. (2014) ‘The impact of US macroeconomic news on the Polish stock market: the importance of company size to information flow,’ Central European Journal of Operations Research, vol. 22, 4, pp. 795–817.
  • [14] Jagannathan, R. and Wang, Z. (1998) ‘Asymptotic Theory for Estimating Beta Pricing Models Using Cross-Sectional Regression,’ Journal of Finance, vol. 53, 4, pp. 1285–1309.
  • [15] Jajuga, K. (2000) ‘Metody ekonometryczne i statystyczne w analizie rynku kapitałowego’, Wydawnictwo Akademii Ekonomicznej, Wrocław.
  • [16] Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (1993) ‘Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency,’ Journal of Finance, vol. 48, 1, pp. 65–91.
  • [17] Lettau, M. and Ludvigson, S., (2001) ‘Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A CrossSectional Test when Risk Premia Are Time-Varying,’ Journal of Political Economy, vol. 109, pp. 1238–1287.
  • [18] Osińska, M. and Stępińska, J. (2003) ‘Zmienność parametru beta w modelu Sharpe’a a horyzont czasowy inwestycji,’ Nasz Rynek Kapitałowy, No. 9, pp. 129–136.
  • [19] Shanken, J. (1985) ‘Multivariate Tests of the Zero-Beta CAPM,’ Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 14, pp. 327–348.
  • [20] Shanken, J. (1992) ‘On the Estimation of Beta-Pricing Models,’ The Review of Financial Studies, vol. 5, 1, pp. 1–33.
  • [21] Urbański, S. (2011) ‘Cross-Section Changes of Rates of Return on the Shares Traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange,’ Ekonomista, No. 5, pp. 709–732.
  • [22] Urbański, S. (2012) ‘Multifactor Explanations of Returns on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Light of the ICAPM,’ Economic Systems, vol. 36, pp. 552–570.
  • [23] Urbański, S., Jawor, P. and Urbański K. (2014) ‘The Impact of Penny Stocks on the Pricing of Companies Listed on The Warsaw Stock Exchange in Light of the CAPM’, Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, vol. 14, 2, pp. 163–178.
  • [24] Urbański, S. (2015) ‘The Impact of Speculation on the Pricing of Companies Listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Light of the ICAPM,’ Managerial Economics, vol. 16, 1, pp. 91–111.
  • [25] Zarzecki, D., Byrka-Kita, K., Wiśniewski, T. and Kisielewska, M, (2004–2005) ‘Test of the Capital Asset Pricing Model: Polish and Developer Markets Experiences,’ Folia Oeconomica Statitiensa, vol. 11–12, pp. 63–84.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2018).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-c16fff24-b88e-407d-b7fa-d898c913a760
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