System Dynamic Modelling and Simulation for Cultivation of Forest Land: Case Study Perum Perhutani, Central Java, Indonesia

• Autorzy: Musi C. , Anggoro S. , Sunarsih S.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.12911/22998993/74307

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The deforestation and forest degradation rates have a propensity to rise every year. The problems in pertaining with the issue is not solely preoccupied on the ecological concern but also to the socio-economic impacts. The complexity of forest management is a serious barrier in determining a better management policy. Modeling system is a simple method to describe the real situation in nature. A qualitative approach is used to identify the relationship between the dynamics of important behaviors. The causal relationships among the factors were investigated by using causal loop diagram. The model conceptualization was constructed by using a stock-flow diagram. The result of the simulation model was used to determine the alternative policies for better forest management. The results indicated that the tenant welfare would be enhanced through the provision of production-sharing by 25% and the Corporate Social Responsibility by 2%, which yields a reduction in cultivated area of 916.61 ha within a period of 67 years or a decline of land area by an average of 13.68 ha per year.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

dynamic model; tenant farmers; production sharing; forest land cultivation

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Inżynierii Ekologicznej ; Lublin University of Technology
• Czasopismo: Journal of Ecological Engineering
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: Vol. 18, nr 4
• Strony: 25--34
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 25 poz., tab., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Musi C.

• Environmental Sciences, Diponegoro University, 50241, Indonesia

autor

Anggoro S.

• Fisheries and Marine Sciences, Diponegoro University, 50241, Indonesia

autor

Sunarsih S.

• Science and Math, Diponegoro University, 50241, Indonesia

Bibliografia

• 1. Alcamo, Joseph et al. 2003. Ecosystems and Human well-being: a framework for assessment. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Island Press.
• 2. Arne, H., Byrkness and J. Cover.1996. Quick Tours in Powersim. Powersim Press. Virginia.
• 3. Barlas, Yaman. 1996. Formal Aspects of Model Validity and Validation in System Dynamics. System Dynamics Review Volume 12, no. 3 (fall 1996): 183–210.
• 4. Carter, J. and Jane Gronow. 2005. Recent experience in collaborative forest management approach: A Review Paper. Center for International Forestry Research.
• 5. Castro AP, Nielsen E. 2001. Indigenous people and co-management: implications for conflict management. J Environ Sci & Pol 4:229–239.
• 6. Coyle, Geoff and David Exelby. 1999. The Validation of Commercial System Dynamics Model. System Dynamics Review. Paper. www.systemsmodelbook.org.
• 7. Foresster, J.W. 1992. System Dynamics, Systems Thinking, and Soft OR. Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Cambridge, MA 2139. USA. ftp;//sysdyn.mit.edu/ftp/ sdep/papers/D-4405–1.html.
• 8. Foresster, J.W. 1994. Learning through System Dynamics as Preparation for the 21st Century. Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Cambridge, MA 2139. USA.ftp;//sysdyn.mit.edu/ftp/sdep/papers/D-4434–1.html.
• 9. Foresster, J.W. 2009. Some Basic Concepts in System Dynamics. Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Cambridge, MA 02139. USA.ftp;//sysdyn.mit.edu/ftp/sdep/ papers/D-4894.html.
• 10. Foresster, J.W. 2010. System Dynamics: the Foundation under Systems Thinking. Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Cambridge, MA 02139. USA.ftp;//sysdyn.mit. edu/ftp/sdep/papers/D-4902.html.
• 11. Foresster, J.W. and Peter M. Senge. 1980. Tests for Building Confidence in System Dynamics Models. TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences 14 (1980) 209–228. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. ftp;//sysdyn.mit.edu/ftp/sdep/ papers/D-4872.html.
• 12. Grant, J. W.E. 1998. Ecology and natural resource management: reflections from a systems perspective1. Ecological Modelling 108 (1998) 67–76.
• 13. Inam, Azhar., Jan Adamowski, Johannes Halbe, Shiv Prasher. 2015. Using causal loop diagrams for the initialization of stakeholder engagement in soil salinity management in agricultural watersheds in developing countries: A case study in the Rechna Doab watershed, Pakistan. Journal of Environmental Management 152 (2015) 251–267.
• 14. Ingles, A. W., Arne Musch and Helle Qwist-Hoffmann. 1999. The Participatory Process for Supporting Collaborative Management Of Natural Resources. Food and Agriculture Organization Of The United Nations. Rome.
• 15. Jeffer, J.N.R. 1998. An Introduction to System Analysis: with ecological Application. Edward Arnold. London.
• 16. Manuschevich, Daniela, and Colin M. Beier. 2016. Simulating land use changes under alternative policy scenarios for conservation of native forests in south-central Chile. Land Use Policy 51 (2016) 350–362.
• 17. Mendozaa, Guillermo A. and Ravi Prabhub. 2004. Combining participatory modeling and multi-criteria analysis for community-based forest management. Forest Ecology and Management 207 (2005) 145–156.
• 18. Muhamadi, E., Aminullah and B. Soesilo. 2001. Analisis Sistem Dinamis: Lingkungan Hidup, Sosial Ekonomi, Manajemen. UMP Press. Jakarta.
• 19. Purnomo, H. 2003. Model Dinamika Sistem Untuk Pengembangan Alternatif Kebijakan Pengelolaan Hutan Yang Adil dan Lestari. Jurnal Manajemen Hutan Tropika Vol. IX No.2: 45–62.
• 20. Purwanto. 2005. Permodelan Rekayasa Proses dan Lingkungan. Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro. Semarang.
• 21. Rudito, Bambang and Melia Famiola. 2013. CSR (Corporate Social Responsibility). Penrbit Rekayasa Sains. Bandung.
• 22. Simon, H. 2006. Hutan Jati dan Kemakmuran Problema dan Strategi Pemecahnnya. Pustaka Pelajar. Yogyakarta.
• 23. Soeriaatmadja R.E, 1997. Ilmu Lingkungan. Penerbit ITB. Bandung
• 24. Sterman, John D. 2000. Business Dynamics: System Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill, p845.
• 25. Williams, Bob. and Bill Harris. 2005. System Dynamics Methodology. http://www.bobwilliams. co.nz/Systems_Resources_files/AESSD.pdf.

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).