Application of uncertainty analysis based on Monte Carlo (MC) simulation for life cycle inventory (LCI)

• Autorzy: Sala Dariusz , Bieda Bogusław

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.29227/IM-2019-02-80

Warianty tytułu

PL

Zastosowanie analizy niepewności opartej na symulacji Monte Carlo (MC) do inwentaryzacji cyklu życia (LCI)

• Konferencja: POL-VIET 2019 : scientific-research cooperation between Poland and Vietnam : 08–10.07.2019, Krakow
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The use of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation was presented in order to assess uncertainty in life cycle inventory (LCI) studies. The MC method is finded as an important tool in environmental science and can be considered the most effective quantification approach for uncertainties. Uncertainty of data can be expressed through a definition of probability distribution of that data (e.g. through standard deviation or variance). The presented case in this study is based on the example of the emission of SO2, generated during energy production in Integrated Steel Power Plant (ISPP) in Kraków, Poland. MC simulation using software Crystal Ball® (CB), software, associated with Microsoft® Excel, was used for the uncertainties analysis. The MC approach for assessing parameter uncertainty is described. Analysed parameter (SO2,) performed in MC simulation were assigned with log-normal distribution. Finally, the results obtained using MC simulation, after 10,000 runs, more reliable than the deterministic approach, is presented in form of the frequency charts and summary statistics. Thanks to uncertainty analysis, a final result is obtained in the form of value range. The results of this study will encourage other researchers to consider this approach in their projects, and the results of this study will encourage other LCA researchers to consider the uncertainty in their projects and bring closer to industrial application.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Monte Carlo simulation; uncertainty analysis; life cycle inventory

PL

symulacja Monte Carlo; analiza niepewności; inwentaryzacja cyklu życia

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Przeróbki Kopalin
• Czasopismo: Inżynieria Mineralna
• Rocznik: 2019
• Tom: R. 21, nr 2/2
• Strony: 264--269
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 20 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Sala Dariusz

• AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, Krakow, Poland

autor

Bieda Bogusław

• AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, Krakow, Poland

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).