Analysis of emission abatement scenario to improve urban air quality

• Autorzy: Holnicki Piotr , Kałuszko Andrzej , Nahorski Zbigniew

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/aep.2021.137282

Warianty tytułu

PL

Analiza scenariuszy emisyjnych w celu poprawy jakości powietrza w mieście : studium dla Warszawy

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Air quality in Warsaw is mainly affected by two classes of internal polluting sources: transportation and municipal sector emissions, apart from external pollution inflow. Warsaw authorities prepared strategies of mitigating emissions coming from both these sectors. In this study we analyze effects of the implementation of these strategies by modeling air pollution in Warsaw using several mitigation scenarios. The applied model, operating on a homogeneous discretization grid, forecasts the annual average concentrations of individual pollutants and the related population health risk. The results reveal that the measures planned by the authorities will cause almost 50% reduction of the residents’ exposure to NOx pollution and almost 23% reduction of the exposure to CO pollution due to the transport emissions, while the residents’ exposure reductions due to the municipal sector are 10% for PM10, 15% for PM2.5, and 26% for BaP. The relatively smaller reductions due to municipal sector are connected with high transboundary inflow of pollutants (38% for PM10, 45% for PM2.5, 36% for BaP, and 45% for CO). The implementation of the discussed strategies will reduce the annual mean concentrations of NOx and PM2.5 below the limits of the Ambient Air Quality Directive. Despite the lower exposure reduction, the abatement of municipal sector emissions results in a very significant reduction in health risks, in particular, in the attributable mortality and the DALY index. This is due to the dominant share of municipal pollution (PM2.5 in particular) in the related health effects.

PL

Na poziom zanieczyszczenia powietrza w Warszawie wpływają głównie dwa kategorie źródeł: transport oraz sektor komunalny. Władze miasta wdrażają strategie ograniczenia emisji obu sektorów. W pracy analizowane są możliwe skutki wprowadzenia tych rozwiązań, przy wykorzystaniu metod komputerowego modelowania propagacji zanieczyszczeń. Zastosowany model, operujący na jednorodnej siatce dyskretyzacji obszaru, prognozuje stężenia średnioroczne poszczególnych zanieczyszczeń oraz ich skutki zdrowotne dla mieszkańców. Uzyskane wyniki pokazują, że planowane zmiany w sektorze transportu spowodują zmniejszenie ekspozycji mieszkańców o ok. 50% ze względu na zanieczyszczenie NOx oraz o ok. 23% związane z zanieczyszczeniem CO. Analogiczna redukcja ekspozycji w wyniku modernizacji sektora komunalnego wynosi: 10% (PM10), 15% (PM2.5) oraz 26% (BaP). Relatywnie mniejsza redukcja zanieczyszczeń z sektora komunalnego wynika z dużego udziału napływu transgranicznego tych zanieczyszczeń z otoczenia Warszawy. Pomimo mniejszej redukcji ekspozycji, ograniczenie emisji z sektora komunalnego powoduje bardzo istotne zmniejszenie ryzyka zdrowotnego, w szczególności śmiertelności mieszkańców oraz wskaźnika DALY. Wynika to z dominującego udziału zanieczyszczeń komunalnych (np. PM2.5) w oddziaływaniu na zdrowie mieszkańców.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

scenario analysis; urban air quality; emission abatement; Euro Norm limits; public health risk

PL

analiza scenariuszy; zanieczyszczenia powietrza; jakość powietrza w miastach; redukcja emisji; limity normy Euro; zagrożenie dla zdrowia publicznego

• Wydawca: Institute of Environmental Engineering, Polish Academy of Sciences
• Czasopismo: Archives of Environmental Protection
• Rocznik: 2021
• Tom: Vol. 47, no. 2
• Strony: 103--114
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 37 poz., rys., wykr., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Holnicki Piotr

• Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland

autor

Kałuszko Andrzej

• Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland

autor

Nahorski Zbigniew

• Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2021).