Using the Monte Carlo method to create probability maps for search and rescue operations at sea

• Autorzy: Bugajski G.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.17402/178

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

In this article we proposed a probability map that allows for location of the position of survivors. We used a probability model of a survivor drift to create the map. The model is based on the provisions of IAMSAR containing factors like leeway and wind current. Our proposal of utilizing a probability map diff ers from that shown in the IAMSAR by using other probabilistic methods. We performed analysis of a drifting raft using the Monte Carlo method. The map is closer to reality, since it is asymmetrical and generated by the simulation. However, preparing probability maps might be helpful in SAR action planning.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Monte Carlo; probability map; rescue operation; shipwrecked; probability distribution; probability model

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: nr 48 (120)
• Strony: 71--74
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 5 poz., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Bugajski G.

• Maritime University of Szczecin 1–2 Wały Chrobrego St., 70-500 Szczecin, Poland

Bibliografia

• 1. Allen, A.A. (2005) Leeway Divergence. Final Report. U.S. Coast Guard Research and Development Center.
• 2. IMO (2013) IAMSAR manual. Vol. II. London: IMO.
• 3. Kasyk, L. & Pleskacz, K. (2015) An Adaptation of an Algorithm of Search and Rescue Operations to ship Manoeuvrability. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation 9 (2). pp. 265–268.
• 4. Turner, C., Lewandowski, S., Lester, D., Mack, E., Howlett, M., Spaulding, E. & Comerma, M. (2007) Evaluation of Environmental Information Products for Search and Rescue Optimal Planning System (SAROPS).
• 5. Wikipedia (2016) [Online] Available from: https://upload. wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e0/CompassRose16A.svg/550px-CompassRose16A.svg.png [Accessed: April 28, 2016