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Tsunamis and sea rise in the North and Baltic Sea and potential consequences for nuclear facilities

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Weather-related hazards are among the most frequent causes for disturbances of critical infrastructures. Flooding, tsunamis and sea level rise are examples of major threats to all types of nuclear facilities located at the seaside or at rivers. We report about exemplary investigations concerning weather-related hazards for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea. Climate change is expected to increase the already known threats but, in the long term, may also lead to new kinds of hazards. A possible future climate evolution, e.g. from warm (interglacial) to cold (glacial) periods, is not only a topic for seaside industrial facilities but also of concern in the long term safety assessment of deep geological nuclear waste repositories, in particular for high level waste, on the Baltic sea.
Rocznik
Strony
55--66
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 42 poz., rys., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
  • Bundesamt für kerntechnische Entsorgungssicherheit, Salzgitter, Germany
autor
  • formerly Bundesamt für kerntechnische Entsorgungssicherheit, Salzgitter, Germany
Bibliografia
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  • [4] Bondevik, S., Løvholt, F., Harbitz, C.B., Mangerud, J., Dawson, A.G. & Svendsen, J.I. (2005). The Storegga Slide Tsunami - Comparing Field Observations with Numerical Simulations. Marine and Petroleum Geology 22, 195-208.
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  • [13] Jylhä K., Pellikka, H., Kämäräinen, M., Johansson, M., Saku, S., Jokinen, P., Kahma, K., Venäläinen, A. & Gregow. H (eds.) (2015). Extreme Weather and Sea Level Events as Potential External Threats to Nuclear Power Plant Safety - Synthesis of the EXWE Project Outcomes in 2011-2014. EXWE project report 2014. Finnish Meteorological Institute.
  • [14] Jylhä, K., Pellikka, H., Kämäräinen, M., Johansson, M., Saku, S., Jokinen, P., Kahma, K., Venäläinen, A. & Gregow H. (2015). EXWE Summary Report. SAFIR2014 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear Power Plant Safety 2011-2014, Final Report, Hämäläinen, J. & Suolanen, V. (eds.) VTT TECHNOLOGY 213, 620-629.
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  • [18] Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2016). Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for critical infrastructure operating area. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars, Volume 7, Number 3, 149-154.
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  • [20] Lehfeldt, R., Milbradt, P., Plüss, A. & Schüttrumpf, H. (2007). Propagation of a tsunamiwave in the North Sea. Die Küste 72, 105-123.
  • [21] Løvholt, F., Harbitz, C.B. Haugen, K.B. (2005). A parametric study of tsunamis generated by submarine slides in the Ormen Lange/Storegga area off Western Norway. Marine and Petroleum Geology 22, 219-231.
  • [22] McEvoy, F.M., Schofield, D.I., Shawa, R.P. & Norris, S. (2016). Tectonic and climatic considerations for deep geological disposal of radioactive waste: A UK perspective. Science of the Total Environment 571, 507-521.
  • [23] Medvedev, I.P., Rabinovich, A.B. & Kulikov, E.A. (2013). Tidal oscillations in the Baltic Sea. Oceanology 53,526-538.
  • [24] Medvedev, I.P., Rabinovich, A.B. & Kulikov, E.A. (2016). Tides in three enclosed basins: The Baltic, Black, and Caspian Seas. Frontiers in Marine Science 3, Article 46.
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  • [26] Näslund, J.O., Brandefelt, J. & Liljedahl, L.C. (2013). Climate considerations in long-term safety assessments for nuclear waste repositories, AMBIO 2013, 42,393-401.
  • [27] Öhlin, T. & Knochenhauer, M. Methodology for analysis of certain external events. Westinghouse Electric Sweden Repport SEP 04-204, rev 0, only in Swedish.
  • [28] Paprotny, D. & Terefenko, P. (2017). New estimates of potential impacts of sea level rise and Iancu Alexandra, Berg Heinz-Peter Tsunamis and sea rise in North and Baltic Sea and potential consequences for nuclear facilities coastal floods in Poland. Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards 85, Issue 2, 1249- 1277.
  • [29] Pellikka, H. 2016. Recent results on future sea level rise and ice sheet instability. Literature review. EXWE/SAFIR2018 project report 2016, Finnish Meteorological Institute.
  • [30] Pellikka, H., Kahma, K., Boman, H., Karjalainen, A., Rauhala, J., Hohti, H., Pirinen, P., Tikka, K., Jokinen, H., Mäkelä, A., Gregow, H. & Aalto, J. (2014). Meteotsunamis on the Finnish coast. EXWE project report 2014. Finnish Meteorological Institute.
  • [31] Pellikka, H., Rauhala, J., Kahma, K.K., Stipa, T., Boman, H. & Kangas, A. (2014). Recent observations of meteotsunamis on the Finnish coast. Natural Hazards 74, 197-215.
  • [32] Pellikka, H., Šepic, J., Lehtonen, I. & Vilibic, I. (2017). Synoptic features of highfrequency sea level oscillations in the northern Baltic Sea and the Mediterranean, Joint Congress of the 6th International Conference on Meteorology and Climatology of the Mediterranean & Challenges in Meteorology 5, Zagreb, Croatia, February 2017.
  • [33] Röwekamp, M., Gänsmantel, G. & Strack, C. (2017). Operating experience with hydrological external hazards and their potential safety significance. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars, Volume 8, Number 1-2.
  • [34] Schmidt, J., Dangendorf, S., Calafat, F.M., Patzke, J. & Jensen, J. (2017). A novel tide gauge dataset for the Baltic Sea - Part 1: Spatial features and temporal variability of the seasonal sea level cycle. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 19, EGU20174407-2.
  • [35] Schmidt, J., Patzke, J., Dangendorf, S., Arns, A., Jensen, J. & Fröhle, P. (2016). Mean and extreme sea level changes in the southwestern Baltic Sea. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 18, EGU20161721-1, EGU General Assembly 2016.
  • [36] Smith, W. & Sandwell, D. (1997). Global Sea Floor Topography from Satellite Altimetry and Ship Depth Soundings. Science 277, p. 1956- 1962.
  • [37] Stanev, E.V., Schulz-Stellenfleth, J., Staneva, J., Grayek, S., Grashorn, S., Behrens, A., Koch, W. & Pein, J. (2016). Ocean forecasting for the German Bight: from regional to coastal scales. Ocean Sci., 12, 1105-1136.
  • [38] Staneva, J., Wahle, K., Koch, W., Behrens, A., Fenoglio-Marc, L. & Stanev, E.V. (2016). Coastal flooding: impact of waves on storm surge during extremes. A case study for the German Bight. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/nhess-2016-227, 2016.
  • [39] Tietäväinen H, Hutila A, Johansson M, Jylhä K, Kahma K, Mäkelä M, Pellikka H, Pimenoff N, Rauhala J, Ruosteenoja K, Saku S, Venäläinen A. (2011) Extreme weather and nuclear power plants in present and future climate. Finnish Meteorological Institute. SAFIR2010 Project Report.
  • [40] Tietäväinen, H., Johansson, M., Saku, S., Gregow, H. & Jylhä, K. (2011). Extreme weather, sea level rise and nuclear power plants in the present and future climate in Finland. Proceedings of the 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012 (PSAM11 ESREL 2012), Curran Associates, Inc., Vol 7, 5487-5496.
  • [41] van Ruiten, K., Bles, T. & Kiel, J. (2016). EUINTACT-case studies: Impact of extreme weather on critical Infrastructure, FLOODrisk 2016 - 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management, E3S Web of Conferences 7, 07001 (2016).
  • [42] Viitanen P., Rantamäki, R., Alenius, P., Gregow, H., Johansson, M., Jokinen, P., Jylhä, K., Mäkelä, H., Sakuand, S. & Syri, S. (2013). Adaptation measures for Finnish NPPs. Case study for the OECD/NEA project. Referred to at https://www.iea.org/media/workshops/2013/egrdu trecht/17.Paillere.pdf.
Uwagi
Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-b4b17713-7688-4662-9d8c-c4ad92254f83
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