Estimation of the probability of propulsion loss by a seagoing ship based on expert opinions

• Autorzy: Brandowski A.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The event of the loss of propulsion function has been defined as hazardous event to a seagoing ship. It has been formalized. The procedure of acquisition of expert opinions on frequency of the event occurrence has been described. It may be considered to be of a numerical-fuzzy character. The fuzzy part was transferred to the numerical form by the pair comparison method. An example of the ship propulsion system comprising a low speed internal combustion engine and a fix pitch propeller illustrates the method presented. It may be used wherever a hazard analysis has to be performed of a system involving human and technical aspects and there is a shortage of objective data on the investigated object.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

ship; loss of propulsion; probability; estimation; expert

• Wydawca: Gdańsk University of Technology, Faculty of Ocean Engineering & Ship Technology
• Czasopismo: Polish Maritime Research
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: nr 1
• Strony: 73--77
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 7 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Brandowski A.

• Faculty of Marine Engineering Department of Engineering Sciences, Gdynia Maritime University Morska 83 81-225 Gdynia, POLAND,

Bibliografia

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• 3. Kwiesielewicz M.: Analytical Hierarchy Decision Process. Fuzzy and Non-fuzzy Paired Comparison (in Polish). Warszawa: Instytut Badań Systemowych PAN, 2002
• 4. Modarres M., Kaminskiy M., Krivtsov.: Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis. New York, Basel: Marcel Dekker, Inc., 1999
• 5. Piegat A.: Fuzzy Modeling and Control (in Polish). Warszawa: Akademicka Oficyna Wydawnicza EXIT, 1999
• 6. IMO. Resolution A.849(20).: Code for the investigation of marine casualties and incidents. London, 1997
• 7. Roland H. E., Moriarty B.:. System Safety Engineering and Management. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. New York, Chichester, Brisbane, Toronto, Singapore, 1990.