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A simple tool for the early prediction of the cyanobacteria Nodularia spumigena bloom biomass in the Gulf of Finland

Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Konferencja
The 5th Baltic Sea Science Congress, Sopot, 20-24 June 2005
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
A fuzzy logic model for predicting the maximum biomass of the toxic cyanobacteria Nodularia spumigena bloom in the Gulf of Finland is suggested. The model bloom biomass depends on the phosphate conditions up to 15 June, including the excess phosphate left over after the spring bloom and on the phosphate inputs parameterised by wind mixing and upwelling from 1 May to 15 June. The surface layer temperature, set to vary from 14 to 23^(o)C, is regarded as a bloom regulating parameter. The model simulations showed that the predicted N. spumigena biomasses differ markedly from year to year and clearly depend on phosphate conditions up to 15 June.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
213--229
Opis fizyczny
bibliogr. tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
autor
  • Marine Systems Institute, Tallinn University of Technology, Akadeemia tee 21, EE-12618 Tallinn, Estonia, madis.lilover@jrc.it
Bibliografia
  • Bianchi T. S., Engelhaupt E., Westman P., Andrén T., Rolff C., Elmgren R., 2000, Cyanobacterial blooms in the Baltic Sea: Natural or human induced?, Limnol. Oceanogr., 45 (3), 716-726.
  • Csanady G.T., 1982, Circulation in the coastal ocean, D. Reidel, Dordrecht, 279 pp.
  • Finni T., Kononen K., Olsonen R., Wallström K., 2001, The history of cyanobacterial blooms in the Baltic Sea, Ambio, 30 (4-5), 172-178.
  • Friedrichs M.A.M., 2001, A data assimilative marine ecosystem model of the central equatorial Pacific: Numerical twin experiments, J. Mar. Res., 59, 859-894.
  • Heiskanen A.-S., Gran V., Lehtoranta J., Pitkänen J., 2000, Fate of nutrients (N, P) along the estuarine gradient of the river Neva in the eastern Gulf of Finland, Baltic Sea, Short communication, ICES J. Mar. Sci., 56 (Suppl.), 161-164.
  • Kahru M., Horstmann U., Rud O., 1994, Satellite detection of increased cyanobacteria blooms in the Baltic Sea - natural fluctuation or ecosystem change, Ambio, 23 (8), 469-472.
  • Kiirikki M., Inkala A., Kuosa H., Pitkänen H., Kuusisto M., Sarkkula J., 2001,Evaluating the effects of nutrient load reductions on the biomass of toxic nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria in the Gulf of Finland, Baltic Sea, Boreal Environ Res., 6, 131-146.
  • Kononen K., Huttunen M., Hällfors S., Gentien P., Lunven M., Huttula T., Laanemets J., Lilover M.-J., Pavelson J., Stips A., 2003, Development of a deep chlorophyll maximum of Heterocapsa triquetra Ehrenb. at the entrance to the Gulf of Finland, Limnol. Oceanogr., 48 (2), 594-607.
  • Laanemets J., Kononen K., Pavelson J., Poutanen E.-L., 2004, Vertical location of seasonal nutriclines in the western Gulf of Finland, J. Marine Syst., 52( 1-4), 1-13.
  • Laanemets J., Lilover M.-J., Raudsepp U., Autio R., Vahtera E., Lips I., Lips U., 2006, A fuzzy logic model to describe the cyanobacteria Nodularia spumigena bloom in the Gulf of Finland, Baltic Sea, (accepted by Hydrobiologia).
  • Larsson U., Hajdu S., Walve J., Elmgren R., 2001, Baltic Sea nitrogen fixation estimated from the summer increase in upper mixed layer total nitrogen, Limnol. Oceanogr., 46 (4), 811-820.
  • Lehtimäki J., Moisander P., Sivonen K., Kononen K., 1997, Growth, nitrogen fixation, and nodularin production by two Baltic Sea cyanobacteria, Appl. Environ. Microb., 63 (5), 1647-1656.
  • Lilover M.-J., Laanemets J., Kullas T., Stips A., Kononen K., 2003, Late summer vertical nutrient fluxes estimated from direct turbulence measurements, Gulf of Finland case study, Proc. Estonian Acad. Sci. Ecol., 52, 193-204.
  • Moisander P., Hench J. L., Kononen K., Paerl H.W., 2002, Small-scale shear effects on heterocystous cyanobacteria, Limnol. Oceanogr., 47 (1), 108-119.
  • Nicklisch A., 1998, Growth and light absorption of some planktic cyanobacteria, diatoms and Chlorophyceae under simulated natural light fluctuations, J. Plankton Res., 20 (1), 105-119.
  • Niemi Å., 1979, Blue-green algal blooms and N, P ratio in the Baltic Sea, Acta Bot. Fenn., 110, 57-61.
  • Pitkänen H., Lehtoranta J., Räike A., 2001, Internal nutrient fluxes counteract decreases in external load, the case of the estuarial eastern Gulf of Finland, Baltic Sea, Ambio, 30, 195-201.
  • Rantajärvi E., Leppänen J.-M., 1995, Unattended algal monitoring on merchant ships in the Baltic Sea, TemaNord, 546, 1-60.
  • Stolte W., Karlsson C., Carlsson P., Graneli E., 2002, Modeling the increase of nodularin content in Baltic Sea Nodularia spumigena during stationary phase in phosphorus-limited batch cultures, FEMS Microbiol. Ecol., 41 (3), 211-220.
  • Vahtera E., Laanemets J., Pavelson J., Huttunen M., Kononen K., 2005, Effect of upwelling on the pelagic environment and bloom-forming cyanobacteria in the western Gulf of Finland, Baltic Sea, J. Marine Syst., 58 (1-2), 67-82.
  • Zadeh L., 1965, Fuzzy sets, Inf. Control, 8, 338-353.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BUS5-0003-0047
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