Giving prognosis for the chosen features of the operation and maintenance system based on model investigations

• Autorzy: Woropay M. , Landowski B.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper deals with the chosen issues related to modelling, giving prognosis and controlling maintenance process of a certain class of the technical objects being realized in a complex maintenance system. Supporting a decision maker in the decision making process related to the analysed maintenance system is to forecast behaviour of the maintenance system and evaluate influence of the chosen decision making variants on the maintenance process course. The object of the investigation, being the basis to illustrate the considerations presented herein, is an urban bus maintenance system in a selected urban agglomeration. The purpose of the paper is to present a possibility to use the Markov 's model of the technical object maintenance process to preliminarily forecast the maintenance system state after changing the model input parameter values. The change of the model input parameter values may simulate influence of the internal and external factors on the system behaviour. The presented method to model and forecast a maintenance system due to the assumed generalization degree of the description and the system approach to the problem may be used to forecast and analyse a maintenance process being carried out in other maintenance systems than the one in an urban bus transport system.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Markov's model; maintenance process; forecasting; urban public

PL

Perczyński, D.

• Wydawca: Łukasiewicz Research Network - Institute of Aviation ; European Science Society of Powertrain and Transport KONES Poland ; Wydawnictwo Instytutu Technicznego Wojsk Lotniczych
• Czasopismo: Journal of KONES
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: Vol. 16, No. 4
• Strony: 513--520
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 11 poz., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Woropay M.

autor

Landowski B.

• University of Technology and Life Sciences, Machine Maintenance Department Kaliskiego St. 7, 85-796 Bydgoszcz, Poland tel.: [phone], fax: [phone],

Bibliografia

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• [6] Landowski, B., Maintenance model of a certain class of technical objects, Scientific Journals, No. 229, Mechanics 48, University Publishing House ATR, Bydgoszcz 2000.
• [7] Mine, H., Osaki, S., Markowskije processy priniatija reszenij, Science, Moscow 1977.
• [8] So􀃡owiew, A. D., Analytic methods in reliability theory, WNT, Warszawa 1983.
• [9] Woropay, M., Knopik, L., Landowski, B., Modelling the maintenance and operation processes in a transport system, Library of Maintenance Problems, ITE, Bydgoszcz-Radom 2001.
• [10]Woropay, M., Landowski, B., Simulation analysis of the maintenance and operation processes in an urban transport system, Scientific Journals, No. 212, Mechanics 42, University Publishing House ATR, Bydgoszcz 1998.
• [11] Zeigler, B. P., Theory of modelling and simulation, PWN, Warsaw 1984.