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http://yadda.icm.edu.pl:443/baztech/element/bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BUJ5-0033-0097

Czasopismo

Journal of KONES

Tytuł artykułu

Giving prognosis for the chosen features of the operation and maintenance system based on model investigations

Autorzy Woropay, M.  Landowski, B. 
Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji EN
Abstrakty
EN The paper deals with the chosen issues related to modelling, giving prognosis and controlling maintenance process of a certain class of the technical objects being realized in a complex maintenance system. Supporting a decision maker in the decision making process related to the analysed maintenance system is to forecast behaviour of the maintenance system and evaluate influence of the chosen decision making variants on the maintenance process course. The object of the investigation, being the basis to illustrate the considerations presented herein, is an urban bus maintenance system in a selected urban agglomeration. The purpose of the paper is to present a possibility to use the Markov 's model of the technical object maintenance process to preliminarily forecast the maintenance system state after changing the model input parameter values. The change of the model input parameter values may simulate influence of the internal and external factors on the system behaviour. The presented method to model and forecast a maintenance system due to the assumed generalization degree of the description and the system approach to the problem may be used to forecast and analyse a maintenance process being carried out in other maintenance systems than the one in an urban bus transport system.
Słowa kluczowe
PL Perczyński, D.  
EN Markov's model   maintenance process   forecasting   urban public  
Wydawca Łukasiewicz Research Network - Institute of Aviation
European Science Society of Powertrain and Transport KONES Poland
Wydawnictwo Instytutu Technicznego Wojsk Lotniczych
Czasopismo Journal of KONES
Rocznik 2009
Tom Vol. 16, No. 4
Strony 513--520
Opis fizyczny Bibliogr. 11 poz., rys.
Twórcy
autor Woropay, M.
autor Landowski, B.
  • University of Technology and Life Sciences, Machine Maintenance Department Kaliskiego St. 7, 85-796 Bydgoszcz, Poland tel.: +48 52 3408495, fax: +48 52 3408495, lbogdan@atr.bydgoszcz.pl
Bibliografia
[1] Aranawiczjus, B. Sz., Matrix based method to solve a system of differential equations for the Markov’s process, Techniczeskaja Kibernetika, Nr 5, (85-89), 1976.
[2] Bobrowski, D., Mathematical models and methods of reliability theory in examples and exercises, WNT, Warsaw 1985.
[3] Bobrowski, D., Probabilistics in technical applications, WNT, Warsaw 1986.
[4] Buslenko, N., Kałasznikow, W., Kowalenko, I., Theory of complex systems, PWN, Warsaw 1979.
[5] Gantmacher, F. R., Theory of matrix, Science, Moscow 1967.
[6] Landowski, B., Maintenance model of a certain class of technical objects, Scientific Journals, No. 229, Mechanics 48, University Publishing House ATR, Bydgoszcz 2000.
[7] Mine, H., Osaki, S., Markowskije processy priniatija reszenij, Science, Moscow 1977.
[8] So��owiew, A. D., Analytic methods in reliability theory, WNT, Warszawa 1983.
[9] Woropay, M., Knopik, L., Landowski, B., Modelling the maintenance and operation processes in a transport system, Library of Maintenance Problems, ITE, Bydgoszcz-Radom 2001.
[10]Woropay, M., Landowski, B., Simulation analysis of the maintenance and operation processes in an urban transport system, Scientific Journals, No. 212, Mechanics 42, University Publishing House ATR, Bydgoszcz 1998.
[11] Zeigler, B. P., Theory of modelling and simulation, PWN, Warsaw 1984.
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