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Bias, variance and computational properties of Kijko’s estimators of the upper limit of magnitude distribution, Mmax

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Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
It is often assumed in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis that the magnitude distribution has an upper limit Mmax , which indicates a limitation on event size in specific seismogeneic conditions. Accurate estimation of Mmax from an earthquake catalog is a matter of utmost importance. We compare bias, dispersion and computational properties of four popular Mmax estimators, introduced by Kijko and others (e.g., Kijko and Sellevoll 1989, Kijko and Graham 1998, Kijko 2004) and we recommend the ones which can be the most fruitful in practical applications. We provide nomograms for evaluation of bias and standard deviation of the recommended estimators for combinations of sample sizes and distribution parameters. We suggest to use the bias nomograms to correct the Mmax estimates. The nomograms of standard deviation can be used to determine minimum sample size for a required accuracy of Mmax.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
657--658
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 23 poz.
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autor
Bibliografia
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  • Kijko, A. (2004), Estimation of the maximum earthquake magnitude, mmax, Pure Appl. Geophys. 161, 8, 1655-1681.
  • Kijko, A., and G. Graham (1998), Parametric-historic procedure for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Part I: Estimation of maximum regional magnitude mmax, Pure Appl. Geophys. 152, 3, 413-442.
  • Kijko, A., and M.A. Sellevoll (1989), Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters from incomplete data files. Part I. Utilization of extreme and complete catalogs with different threshold magnitudes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 79, 3, 645-654.
  • Kijko, A., S. Lasocki, and G. Graham (2001), Non-parametric seismic hazard in mines, Pure Appl. Geophys. 158, 9-10, 1655-1675.
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  • Lasocki, S., A. Kijko, and G. Graham (2002), Model-free seismic hazard analysis. In: H. Ogasawara, T. Yanagidani, and M. Ando (eds.), Seismogenic Process Monitoring, Balkema, Rotterdam, 327-339.
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  • Orlecka-Sikora, B., and S. Lasocki (2005), Nonparametric characterization of mining induced seismic sources. In: Y. Potvin, and M. Hudyma (eds.), Proc. Sixth Int. Symp. Rockburst and Seismicity in Mines “Controlling Seismic Risk”, 9-11 March 2005, Australia, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Nedlands, 555-560.
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BSL1-0014-0028
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