Analysis of the relation between serious incident and accident in air traffic

• Autorzy: Skorupski J.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

International aviation organizations require Poland to define the so-called acceptable level of safety for traffic accidents. To calculate this, one requires statistical data on accidents. These, however, in recent years did not occur, or the size of the sample is insufficient. In the paper a method for predicting the number of accidents on the basis of information on air incidents is mentioned. This method can be efficient and effective if any regular relation between the air traffic accident and serious incident exists. In the paper a way to find this relation is proposed, by analyzing the relevant simulation models of serious incidents and accidents. For this purpose Petri nets were used.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

traffic safety; air traffic management; risk analysis

• Wydawca: Międzynarodowa Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki i Transportu we Wrocławiu
• Czasopismo: Logistics and Transport
• Rocznik: 2010
• Tom: Vol. 11, No. 2
• Strony: 45--53
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 9 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Skorupski J.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, Warsaw, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] Aviation Law, Act of 3 July 2002 (Journal of Laws of 2002, No. 130, item. 1112) (in Polish)
• [2] Civil Aviation Authority: Statement No. 78 of President of the Office of Civil Aviation from 18 September 2009 on air event No. 344/07, Warsaw, 2009. (in Polish)
• [3] Civil Aviation Authority: Information on flight safety in commercial aviation in 2009, Division of Statistics and Analysis of Flight Safety ULC, Warsaw 2010. (in Polish)
• [4] Dong-bin L., Xiao-hao X., Xiong, L.: Target level of safety for Chinese Airspace, Safety Science vol. 47 (2009), p. 421-424, Elsevier, 2009.
• [5] Eurocontrol: Risk assessment and mitigation in ATM, Eurocontrol safety regulators Requirement ESARR4, Edition 1.0., Eurocontrol Safety Regulation Commission, Brussels, 2001
• [6] Janic M.: An assessment of risk and safety in civil aviation, Journal of Air Transport Management, vol 6, p. 1943-1950, Pergamon 2000.
• [7] Marsan M.A., Balbo G., Conte G., Donatelli S., Franceschinis G., Modelling with Generalized Stochastic Petri Nets, Universita degli Studi di Torino, Dipartamento d'Informatica, 1999.
• [8] Sage A., White E., Methodologies for risk and hazard assessment: a survey and status report, IEEE Transactions on System, Man and Cybernetics, p. 425-441, 1980.
• [9] Skorupski J.: Methods of risk management in air transport, Integrated system of transport safety, vol.2. Conditions for development of transport safety systems integration (ISBN 987-83-206-1760-3), p. 271-278 (chapter 7.2.3), Wydawnictwa Komunikacji i Łączności WKŁ, Warsaw 2009. (in Polish).