Modelowanie zmian użytkowania przestrzeni rolniczej na przykładzie województwa podlaskiego

• Autorzy: Stuczyński T. , Czaban P. , Kowalik M. , Łopatka A.

Warianty tytułu

EN

Modeling of agricultural land use changes: the case of podlaskie voivodeship

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

EN

The increasing pressure of urbanization processes on agricultural land observed in recent years, is the consequence of rapid economic growth. The protection of valuable soil habitats is not necessarily justified by the interest of agricultural sector but rather by the need of maintaining habitat functions of soils within urbanized areas. This issue is often not adequately addressed by investors and by planners. In this context, development of modeling methods enabling forecasting of land use changes for different scenarios of infrastructure development and planning becomes crucial. This paper demonstrates the application of cellular automata model for the ex ante assessment of agricultural land use changes for two alternative variants of Via Baltica road in podlaskie voivodeship - "łomżyński and białostocki". This article contains an extensive description of algorithms used in the model with special emphasis on assessment of factors controlling attractiveness of a particular administrative unit for urbanization. Results of the modeling suggest that there are negligible differences between these variants in terms of their impact on distribution of demand for urban land in different powiats (counties) of the voivodeship. However, łomżyński route is promoting more balanced development of the whole region. The tested model can be considered as support tool in decision making enabling forecasting and visualization of impacts resulting from different scenarios of spatial planning.

Słowa kluczowe

PL

modelowanie zmian użytkowania gruntów; automat komórkowy

EN

modelling of land use change; cellular automata

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Informacji Przestrzennej
• Czasopismo: Roczniki Geomatyki
• Rocznik: 2008
• Tom: T. 6, z. 6
• Strony: 89--99
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 8 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Stuczyński T.

autor

Czaban P.

autor

Kowalik M.

autor

Łopatka A.

• Instytut Uprawy Nawożenia i Gleboznawstwa, Państwowy Instytut Badawczy, Puławy

Bibliografia

• Agarwal C., Green G.M., Grove J.M., Evans T.P., Schweik C.M., 2001: A review and assessment of land use change models. Dynamics of space, time, and human choice. 1. Center for the Study of Institutions, Population, and Environmental Change, Indiana University and USDA Forest Service, Bloomington and South Burlington.
• Alonso W., 1964: Location and land use. Harvard University Press. Cambridge.
• Bürgi M. A.M., Schneeberger N., 2004: Driving forces of landscape change . current and new directions. Landscape Ecol 19(8): pp. 857-868.
• Engelen G., Geertman S., Smits P. and Wessels C., 1999: Dynamic GIS and Strategic Physical Planning: A Practical Application, [In:] Geographical Information and Planning. Advances in Spatial science, edited by: J. Stillwell, S. Geertman and S. Openshaw, pp. 87-111, Springer, Berlin, Germany.
• Stuczyński T., 2007: Assessment and modelling of land use change in Europe in the context of soil protection. Monografie i Rozprawy Naukowe. Wydawnictwa IUNG Puławy, z.19, 128 s.
• White R., Engelen G., 1997: Cellular automata as the basis of integrated dynamic modeling, Environment and Planning B 24: pp. 235-246.
• White R., Engelen G., Uljee I., 1997: The use of constrained cellular automata for high-resolution modeling of urban land use dynamics. Environment and Planning B 24, pp. 323-343.
• White R., Engelen G., 2000: High-resolution integrated modelling of the spatial dynamics of urban and regional systems. Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 24, pp. 383-400.