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A new approach to risk assessment in fuzzy portfolio selection

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
A new approach to risk assessment in the portfolio selection optimization problem in a fuzzy setting is presented. The approach is based on the a-level representation of fuzzy values describing the stock's returns. The two-objective method based on the weighted lower and upper bounds of fuzzy portfolio return is elaborated. In the framework of proposed approach these bound represent the local criteria of risk minimization and profit maximization, respectively. Three most popular methods for local criteria aggregation are compared using the example of portfolio consist of five alternative stocks. The results are compared with those obtained with use of single criterion approaches to portfolio optimization in a fuzzy setting. It is shown that proposed method provides the results which more coincide with the practice of portfolio selection than those obtained using the fuzzy versions of reputed single criterion approaches. The method makes it possible to take into account in a natural way the local criteria of portfolio return maximization and risk minimization with their ranks. The problem is formulated as the nonlinear optimization task, so all possible forma of stock return's membership function can be used without restrictions. Since the generalized criterion is formulated as the aggregation of local criteria, the method may be easily extended by the inclusion of additional criteria such as stock's liquidity, transaction costs and so on.
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Strony
7--18
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 18 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • High School of Economy and Administration in Kielce Karczówkowska 41, 25o713 Kielce
Bibliografia
  • [1] Konno H., Yamazaki H., Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its application to Tokio stock market, Management Science 1991, 37, 519-531.
  • [2] Sharpe W.F., A simplified model for portfolio analysis, Management Science 1963, 277-293.
  • [3] Inuiguchi M., Ramik J., Possibilistic, linear programming: A brief review of fuzzy mathematical programming and a comparison with stochastic programming in portfolio selection problem, Fuzzy Sets and Systems 2000, 111, 3-28.
  • [4] Orti F.J., Saez J., Terceńo A., On the treatment of uncertainty in portfolio selection, Fuzzy Economic Review Number, 2002, 8, 22-31.
  • [5] Tanaka H., Guo P., Portfolio selection based on upper and lower exponential possibility distributions, European Journal of Operational Research 1999, 114, 115-126.
  • [6] Watada J., Fuzzy portfolio selection and its applications to decision making, Tatra Mountains Mathematical Publication 1997, 13, 219-248.
  • [7] Arenas M., Bilbao A., Rodriguez M.V„ A fuzzy goal programming approach to portfolio selection, European Journal of Operational Research 2001, 133, 287-297.
  • [8] Ehrgott M., Klamroth K., Schwehm C., An MCDM approach to portfolio optimization, European Joumal of Operational Research 2004, 155, 752-770.
  • [9] Jończyk M., Sewastianow P., Bicriterial fuzzy portfolio selection, Operations Research and Decisions 2003, 4, 149-165.
  • [10] Jończyk M., Sewastianow P., Comparative study of aggregation methods in bicriterial fuzzy portfolio selection, Proc. of Int. Conf. on Fuzzy Sets and Soft Computing in Economics and Finance, St. Petersburg, Russia 2004, 584-592.
  • [11] Sevastjanov P., Róg P., A probabilistic approach to fuzzy and interval ordering, Task Quarterly (Special Issue Artificial and Computational Intelligence) 2003, 7, 147-156.
  • [12] Sewastianow P., Róg P., Fuzzy modeling of manufacturing and logistic systems, Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 2003, 63, 569-585.
  • [13] Sewastianow P., Róg P., Two-objective method for crisp and fuzzy interval comparison in optimization. Computers and Operation Research 2006, 33, 115-131.
  • [14] Dimova L., Sevastianov P., Sevastianov D., MCDM in a fuzzy setting: investment projects assessment application, International Journal of Production Economics (in press).
  • [15] Yager R., Multiple objective decision-making using fuzzy sets, International Journal of Man-Machine Studies 1979, 9, 375-382.
  • [16] Törn A., Žilinskas A., Global optimization, Springer, Berlin 1989.
  • [17] Ali M.M., Törn A., Population of set-based global algorithms: some modifications and numerical studies, Computers & Operations Research 2004, 31, 1703-1725.
  • [18] Dymowa L., Dolata M., The transportation problem under probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainties, Operations Research and Decisions 2003, 4, 23-31.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BPG4-0035-0023
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