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Opracowanie modelu przyczynowego bezpieczeństwa transportu lotniczego.
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Abstrakty
The development of the Netherlands international airport Schiphol has been the subject of fierce political debate for several decades. One of the considerations has been the safety of the population living around the airport. In the debate about the acceptability of the risks associated with the air traffic above the Netherlands the need has arisen to gain a more thorough understanding of the accident genesis in air traffic, with the ultimate aim of improving the safety situation in air traffic in general and around Schiphol in particular. To this aim are a search effort has started to develop causal models for air traffic risks in the espectation that these will ultimately give the insight needed.
Rozbudowa międzynarodowego portu lotniczego Schiphol w Holandii jest przedmiotem zaciętych debat politycznych od dziesięcioleci. Jednym z podnoszonych problemów jest bezpieczeństwo ludności zamieszkującej tereny wokół lotniska. Podczas debat dotyczących akceptacji ryzyka związanego z ruchem lotniczym nad Holandią, pojawiła się potrzeba lepszego zrozumienia przyczyn wypadków lotniczych, z punktu widzenia poprawy bezpieczeństwa w ruchu lotniczym w ogólności i w okolicy portu lotniczego Schiphol w szczególności. Aby zrealizować ten cel rozpoczęto badania naukowe zmierzające do opracowania modeli przyczynowych ryzyka w ruchu lotniczym w przekonaniu , że pozwolą one na właściwe rozpoznanie problemu.
Wydawca
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
145--157
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 38 poz., rys.
Twórcy
autor
autor
autor
autor
autor
autor
autor
autor
- Risk Centre TU-Delft, Postbus 5015, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands, b.j.m.ale@tbm.tudelft.nl
Bibliografia
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- [2] Smith, E., 1998, Risks to Third Parties in the Vicinity of Airports - the Aircrash Program, in A. Mosleh & R.A. Bari (eds), Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, Springer, September 1998.
- [3] Cowell, P.G. et al, 2000, A methodology for calculation individual risk due to aircraft accidents near airports. National Air Traffic Services Ltd, R&D report 0007, London.
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- [5] Couwenberg, M.J.H., 1994, Determination of the Statistical Accident Location Model from World-Wide Historical Accident Location Data, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, TR 94601 L.
- [6] Gouweleeuw J.M., 1995, “An Accident Location Model for Regional Airports”, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, CR 95158 L.
- [7] Cowell P.G. et al, 1997, A Crash Location Model for use in the Vicinity of Airports, NATS R&D report 9705. 1997.
- [8] Technica, 1990, Risk Analysis of Aircraft Impacts at Schiphol Airport, 1884/EJS/ib, London.
- [9] Technica, 1991, Extension to Risk Analysis of Aircraft Impact at Schiphol Airport, C2475/EJS, London.
- [10] Ale, B.J.M., 1998, The management of third party risk around a major airport, in A. Mosleh and R.A. Bari (eds) Probablistic Safety Analysis and Management, Springer 1998.
- [11] Ale, B.J.M. & Piers, M., 2000, The Assessment and Management of Third Party Risk Around a Major Airport, JhazMat, 71 (2000) 1-16.
- [12] TK 1996 , Tweede Kamer der Staten Generaal, zitting 1996-1997, TK 24804 nr 2.
- [13] Hale, A., 2001, Relating airport safety: the case of Schiphol, Safety Science, Volume 37, Issues 2-3, March 2001, Pages 127-149.
- [14] Hale, A., 2002. Risk contours and risk management criteria for safety at major airports, with particular reference to the case of Schiphol, Safety Science, Volume 40, Issues I -4, February-June 2002, Pages 299-323.
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- [17] NLR, 2002, Causal Modelling of Air Safety, a Demonstration Model NLR CR 2002-662, NLR, Amsterdam. December 2002.
- [18] FAA, 1998. Safer Skies Program.
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- [21] Federal Register: September 19, 2000 (Volume 65, Number 182) Rules and Regulations, Page 56617-56667.
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- [24] Reason. J., 1997, Maintenance related errors: The biggest threat to aviation safety after gravity? in 'Aviation Safety', H. Soekkha (ed.).VSP, Utrecht, The Netherlands, 1997.
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- [27| Roelen, A.L.C. et al, 2000, Feasibility of the development of a causal model for the assessment of third party risk around airports. Part 1: Main report, NLR-CR-2000-189-PT-1, NLR Amsterdam, April 2000.
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- [32] NLR 2004. Externe Veiligheidsberekeningen in het kader van het Milieu Effect rapport "wijziging uitvoeringsbsluiten Schiphol", NLR CR 2004-096, Amsterdam March 2004.
- [33] Papazoglou I. A. et al, 1999, Quantified Risk assessment of a chemical installation including management effects, Risk and Crisis Management, University of Liege, Belgium, 5-7 May 1999.
- [34] Ale, B.J.M.. et al, 1998, The Interface between the Technical and the Management Model for use in Quantified Risk Analysis in: A. Mosleh and R.A. Bari (Eds.), Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management. Springer, 1998.
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Bibliografia
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