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Many papers over recent years have demonstrated long-term temporal trends in biological parameters that can only be explained by global warming. I examined the long-term trends in the brood size of Starling (Sturnus vulgaris) in Mokrice area (north-western Croatia). I collected data from 1977 to 2007. To investigate the effect of spring temperatures on the brood size, local air temperature was used. The significant correlation (P <0.01) between mean brood size and the year (y = -31.403 + 0.018x) indicates that brood size (mean number of nestlings per nest) increased by 0.018 nestling per year, or 0.54 nestling over the period of the study. Correlation between brood size (mean number of nestlings per nest) and mean spring temperature was also significant (P <0.05) and regression equation (y = 4.162 + 0.07x) indicates that brood size increased by 0.07 nestling per 1[degrees]C. The correlation between mean spring air temperature and research year was significant (P <0.01). This data show that the mean May temperature has been increasing in the study area. We can conclude that Starlings in north-western Croatia are increasing their brood size and that the most likely cause is a long-term increase in spring temperatures.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
817--802
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 20 poz.,
Twórcy
autor
- Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Rooseveltov trg 6, Zagreb, Croatia, dolenec@zg.biol.pmf.hr
Bibliografia
- 1. Both C., Artemyev A.V., Blaauw B., Cowie R.J., Dekhuijzen A.J., Eeva T., Enemar A., Gustafsson L., Ivankina E.V., Järvinen A., Metcalfe N.B., Nyholm N.E.I., Potti J., Ravussian P-A., Sanz J.J., Silverin B., Slater F.M., Sokolov L.V., Török J., Winkel W., Wright J., Zang H., Visser M.E. 2004 – Large-scale geographical variation confirms that climate change causes birds to lay earlier – Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B, 271: 1657–1662.
- 2. Crick H.Q.P. 2004 – The impact of climate change on birds – Ibis, 146 (Suppl. 1): 48–56.
- 3. Dolenec Z. 1994 – Regulation migration of the autochthonous Starling, Sturnus vulgaris, of the Hrvatsko Zagorje region (north-western Croatia) – Riv. ital. Orn. 64: 14–20.
- 4. Dolenec Z., 1997 – Supplement to nesting habits of Starlings (Sturnus vulgaris) on the territory of the north-western Croatia – Larus, 46: 120–125.
- 5. Dolenec Z., Kralj J., Mustapić P., Dolenec P. 2008 – Female biometrical characteristics and egg dimensions of the Starling (Sturnus vulgaris L.) in Croatia – Pol. J. Ecol. 56: 545–548.
- 6. Dolenec Z., Dolenec P., Kralj J., Kiš Novak D. 2009 – Long–term trends in timing of breeding of the Barn Swallow Hirundo rustica in Croatia – Pol. J. Ecol. 57: 611–614.
- 7. Dunn P.O. 2004 – Breeding dates and reproductive performance – Adv. Ecol. Res. 35: 69–87.
- 8. Dunn P.O., Winkler D.W. 1999 – Climate change has effected the breeding date of the swallows throughout North America – Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B, 266: 2487–2490.
- 9. Houghton J.T., Ding Y., Griggs D.J., Noguer M., van der Linden P.J., Dai X., Maskell K., Johnson C.A. 2001 - Climate change 2001: the scientific basis – University Press, Cambridge, 94 pp.
- 10. Hušek J., Adamík P. 2008 – Long-term trends in the timing of breeding and brood size in the Red-Backed Shrike Lanius collurio in the Czech Republic, 1964–2004 – J. Ornithol. 149: 97–103.
- 11. Kralj J., Dolenec Z. 2008 – First arrival dates of the Naghtigale (Luscinia megarhinchos) to Central Croatia in the early 20 century and at the 21 century – Cent. Eur. J. Biol. 3: 295–298.
- 12. Møller A.P. 2002 – North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) effects of climate on the relative importance of first and second clutches in a migratory passerine bird – Anim. Ecol. 71: 201–210.
- 13. Parmesan C., Yohe G. 2003 – A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural system – Nature, 421: 37–42.
- 14. Sergio F. 2003 – Relationship between laying dates of Black Kites Milvus migrans and spring temperatures in Italy: rapid response to climate change? – J. Avian Biol. 34: 144–149.
- 15. Sokal R.R., Rohlf F.J. 1981 – Biometry – Freeman & Co, New York, 859 pp.
- 16. Sokolov L.V. 2006 – Effect of global warming on the timing of migration and breeding of passerine birds in the 20th century – Entomol. Rev. 86 (Suppl 1): 59–81.
- 17. Thomas C.D., Lennon J.J. 1999 – Birds extend their ranges northwards – Nature, 399: 213.
- 18. Wallace J.M., Zhanf Y., Bajuk L. 1996 – Interpretation of interdecadal trends in Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature – J. Climate, 9: 249– 259.
- 19. Walther G.R., Post E., Convery P., Parmesan C., Beebe T.J., Fromentin J.M., Hogh–Guldberg O., Bairlein F. 2002 – Ecological responses to recent climate change – Nature, 416: 389–395.
- 20. Wilson S., Acrese P. 2003 – El Niño drives timing of breeding but not population growth in the song sparrow (Melospiza melodia) – Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 100: 11139–11142.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BGPK-2858-1156