PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
Tytuł artykułu

Convergence diagnosis to stationary distribution in MCMC methods via atoms and renewal sets

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
MCMC setups are one of the best known methods for conducting computer simulations useful in such areas as statistics, physics, biology, etc. However, to obtain appropriate solutions, the additional convergence diagnosis must be applied for Markov Chain trajectory generated by the algorithm. We present the method for dealing with this problem based on features of so called "secondary" chain (the chain with specially selected state space). The secondary chain is created from the initial chain by picking only some observations connected with atoms or renewal sets. In this paper we focus on finding the moment when the simulated chain is close enough to the stationary distribution of the Markov chain. The discussed method has some appealing properties, like high degree of diagnosis automation. Apart from theoretical lemmas and a more heuristic approach, the examples of application are also provided.
Rocznik
Strony
205--229
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 33 poz., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
  • Systems Research Institute Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Newelska 6, 01-447 Warszawa, Poland, mroman@ibspan.waw.pl
Bibliografia
  • 1. ASMUSSEN, S. (1979) Applied Probability and Queues. J. Wiley, New York.
  • 2. ATHREYA, K.B. and NEY, P. (1978) A new approach to the limit theory of recurrent Markov chains. Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 245, 493-501.
  • 3. Boos, D. and ZHANG, J. (2000) Monte Carlo Evaluation of Resampling -Based Hypothesis Tests. Journal of the American Statistical Association 95, No. 450.
  • 4. BOOTH, J.G., SARKAR, S. (1998) Monte Carlo Approximation of Bootstrap Variances. The American Statistician 52, 4.
  • 5. BREMAUD, P. (1999) Markov Chains —- Gibbs Fields, Monte Carlo Simulation, and Queues. Springer-Verlag, New York.
  • 6. BROOKS, S.P. and ROBERTS, G.O. (1998) Convergence assessment techniques for Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Statistics and Computing 8, 319-335.
  • 7. Cox, D.R. and MILLER, H.D. (1965) The Theory of Stochastic Processes. Chapman and Hall, London.
  • 8. DOUCET, A., GODSILL, S. and ANDRIEU, CH. (2000) On sequential Monte Carlo sampling methods for Bayosian filtering. Statistics and Computing 10.
  • 9. EL ADLOUNI, S., FAVRE, A.-C. and BOBEE, B. (2006) Comparison of methodologies to asses the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 50, 2685-2701.
  • 10. FlSHMAN, G.S. (1996) Monte Carlo — Concepts, Algorithms and Applica¬tions. Springer-Verlag, New York.
  • 11. GELFAND, A.E., HILLS, S.E., RACINE-POON, A. and SMITH, A.P.M. (1990) Illustration of Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling. Journal of the American Statistical Association 85, 412.
  • 12. GEYER, C.J. (1992) Practical Markov chain Monte Carlo (with discussion). Statist. Sci. 7, 473-511.
  • 13. GILKS, W.R., RICHARDSON, S. and SPIEGELHALTER, D.J. (1997) Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice. Chapman & Hall.
  • 14. GUIHENNEUC-JOUYAUX, ClI. and ROBERT, ClI.P. (1998) Discretization of Continuous Markov Chains and Markov Chain Monte Carlo Convergence Assessment. Jour, of American Stat. Assoc. 93, 443-
  • 15. IOSIFESCU, M. (1980) Finite Markov Processes and Their Applications. Wiley, New York.
  • 16. KASS, R.E., CARLIN, B.P., GELMAN, A. and NEAL, R.M. (1998) Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice: A Roundtable Discussion. The American Statistician 52, 2.
  • 17. KIPNIS, C. and VARADHAN, S.R. (1986) Central limit theorem for additive functional of reversible Markov processes and applications to simple ex¬clusions. Comm. Math. Phys. 104. 1-19.
  • 18. KORONACKI, J., LASOTA, S. and NIEMIRO, W. (2005) Positron emission to- mography by Markov chain Monte Carlo with auxiliary variables. Pattern Recognition 38, 241-250.
  • 19. LASOTA, S. and NIEMIRO, W. (2003) A version of the Swendsen-Wand al¬gorithm for restoration of images degraded by Poisson noise. Pattern Recognition 36, 931-941.
  • 20. Li, S., PEARL, O.K. and Doss, H. (2000) Phylogenetic Tree Construction Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Journal of the American Statistical Association 95, 450
  • 21. MEHTA, C.R., PATEL, N.R. and SENCHAUDHURI, P. (2000) Efficient Monte Carlo Methods for Conditional Logistic Regression. Journal of the American Statistical Association 95, 449
  • 22. MENGERSEN, K.L., ROBERT, CH.P. and GUIHENNEUC-JOUYAUX, CH. (1999) MCMC Convergence Diagnostics: A Reviewww, in: BERNARDO J. M., BERGER J. 0., DAWID A. P., SMITH A. F. M. (EDS.) Bayesian Statistics 6, 415-440, Oxford University Press.
  • 23. METROPOLIS, N., ROSENBLUTH, A.W., ROSENBLUTH, M.N., TELLER, A.H., and TELLER, E. (1953) Equations of state calculations by fast computing machines. /. Chem, Phys. 21.
  • 24. METROPOLIS, N. and ULAM, S. (1949) The Monte Carlo Method. Journal of American Statistical Association 44.
  • 25. MYKLAND, P., TIERNEY, L. and Yu, B, (1995) Regeneration in Markov Chain Samplers. JASA 90, 233-241.
  • 26. NUMMELIN, E. (1978) A splitting technique for Harris recurrent Markov Chains. Zeitschrift fur Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und verwiindte Gebiete 43, 309-318.
  • 27. NUMMELIN, E. (2001) MC's for MCMC'ists. Preprint 310, December 2001.
  • 28. RAFTERY, A.E. and LEWIS, S.M. (1999) How many iterations in the Gibbs Sampler? In: BERNARDO, J.M., BERGER, J.O., DAWID, A.P. and SMITH, A.F.M., eds., Bayesian Statistics 4- Oxford University Press, 763-773.
  • 29. ROBERT, CH.P. (1995) Convergence Control Methods for Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithm. Statistical Science 10, 3
  • 30. ROBERT, Cn.P. and CASELLA, G. (2004) Monte Carlo Statistical Methods. Springer-Verlag, 2nd ed., New York.
  • 31. ROMANIUK, M. (2003) Pricing the Risk-Transfer Financial Instruments via Monte Carlo Methods. Systems Analysis Modelling Simulation 43, 8, 1043-1064.
  • 32. ROMANIUK, M. (2007A) Application of renewal sets for convergence diagnosis of MCMC setups (in Polish). Ph.D. dissertation, Systems Research Institute Polish Academy of Sciences.
  • 33. ROMANIUK, M. (2007B) On Some Method for Diagnosing Convergence in MCMC Setups via Atoms and Renewal Sets. Control and Cybernetics 36, 4, 985-1008.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BAT5-0027-0014
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.