Planning of construction projects taking into account the design risk

• Autorzy: Kostrzewa-Demczuk Paulina , Rogalska Magdalena

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/ace.2023.144191

Warianty tytułu

PL

Planowanie realizacji przedsięwzięć budowlanych z uwzględnieniem ryzyka projektowego

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Complex construction projects require appropriate planning that allows for time and cost optimization, maximization of the use of available resources and appropriate investment control. Scheduling is a complicated process, due to the uncertainties and risks associated with construction works, the paper describes the development of the scheduling method traditionally used in Poland, based on data from KNR catalogs, by using the RiskyProject Professional program. In the RiskyProject Professional program, the risk and uncertainty with reference to a specific construction project were modeled, and the calculation results were compared with the real time of the project implementation. The conclusions from the work carried out confirm that the SRA (Schedule Risk Analysis) analysis of the base schedule allows for a more faithful representation of the actual conditions of a construction project. The probability of investment realization generated on the basis of the SRA analysis may be assumed at the level of 75÷90%.

PL

Złożone przedsięwzięcia budowlane wymagają odpowiedniego planowania, które umożliwia optymalizację czasowo-kosztową, maksymalizację wykorzystania dostępnych zasobów i odpowiednią kontrolę inwestycji. W pracy opisano rozwinięcie tradycyjnie stosowanej w Polsce metody harmonogramowania, opartej na danych pochodzących z katalogów KNR, poprzez wykorzystanie programu RiskyProject Professional. W programie RiskyProject Professional zamodelowano ryzyko i niepewność w nawiązaniu do konkretnego projektu budowlanego, a wyniki obliczeń porównano z czasem rzeczywistym realizacji przedsięwzięcia. Wnioski z przeprowadzonych prac potwierdzają, że analiza SRA bazowego harmonogramu umożliwia wierniejsze odwzorowanie warunków rzeczywistych przedsięwzięcia budowlanego. Prawdopodobieństwo realizacji inwestycji wygenerowane na podstawie analizy SRA, może być przyjmowane na poziomie 75÷90%.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

construction project; project delay; project management; risk; risk management; schedule; schedule risk analysis

PL

przedsięwzięcie budowlane; opóznienie projektu; zarządzanie projektem; ryzyko; zarządzanie ryzykiem; harmonogram; analiza ryzyka harmonogramu

• Wydawca: Komitet Inżynierii Lądowej i Wodnej PAN ; Politechnika Warszawska, Wydział Inżynierii Lądowej
• Czasopismo: Archives of Civil Engineering
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: Vol. 69, nr 1
• Strony: 613--626
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 36 poz., il., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Kostrzewa-Demczuk Paulina

• Kielce University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Kielce, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8052-1214

autor

Rogalska Magdalena

• Lublin University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Lublin, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8408-3242

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