Przyszły wymiar operacji : prognoza charakteru działań w perspektywie połowy XXI wieku

Paździorek, P.

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Przyszły wymiar operacji : prognoza charakteru działań w perspektywie połowy XXI wieku

Autorzy

Paździorek P.

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://kwartalnikbellona.com/

Identyfikatory

Warianty tytułu

Future dimension of operations : prognosis of the character of operations from the perspective of the mid-21 st century

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Dyskusje nad przyszłą rolą wojska i charakterem operacji w okresie stałego zagrożenia ze strony aktorów niepaństwowych oraz niekonwencjonalnego przeciwnika skłaniają do próby zidentyfikowania zasadniczych trendów w siłach zbrojnych wybranych mocarstw. Charakter współczesnych konfliktów zbrojnych ulega zmianie. Wpływa na to wiele czynników, między innymi rozwój technologiczny oraz przyjęcie założenia, że przyszłe konflikty zbrojne będą prowadzone poniżej progu wojny. Autor prezentuje wnioski dotyczące kierunków zmian charakteru przyszłych operacji. Analiza publikacji poświęconych czołowym graczom współczesnego środowiska bezpieczeństwa, do których zalicza się Stany Zjednoczone, Chiny, Indie, Izrael i Rosję, pozwala wskazać idee, które mogą ukształtować myśl operacyjną początku XXI wieku. Wyniki dociekań autor przedstawia w formie wniosków i uogólnień. Poszukuje również odpowiedzi na pytanie, w jaki sposób rozwój technologiczny wpłynie na prowadzenie operacji.

The ongoing discussions regarding the future role of the army and the nature of operations, in the period dominated by constant threat from non-state actors and unconventional opponents, attempt to identify essential trends in the armed forces. Undoubtedly, the nature of modern armed conflicts is evolving. This is due to many factors, but two are essential. The first is technological development, enhancing the ability of precise impact, and opportunities related to C4ISR systems (comm and, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance). The second is the assumption that future conflicts will be conducted below the threshold of war. The aim of the article is to present findings concerning directions of changes in the nature of future operations. The analysis of publications regarding the leading players in the contemporary security environment, that is United States, China, India, Israel and Russia, helps to indicate the trends that may shape the operational thought of the early 21st century. The synthesis of findings is presented in the form of conclusions and generalizations. One of them is particularly compelling, because it concerns the so-called individualization of operation. Ultimately, the author seeks to answer the question on how technological development will affect future military operations.

Słowa kluczowe

konflikt zbrojny operacja siły zbrojne aktorzy niepaństwowi targeting

military conflict operation armed forces non-state actors targeting

Wydawca

Wojskowy Instytut Wydawniczy

Czasopismo

Kwartalnik Bellona

Rocznik

2016

Tom

Nr 2

Strony

88--107

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 74 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Paździorek P.

Akademia Obrony Narodowej

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Bibliografia

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