Maximization of Safety Lifetime of Critical Infrastructure Network with Cascading Effects Considering Climate-Weather Change Influence

• Autorzy: Blokus-Roszkowska A. , Kołowrocki K.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

In the paper optimization of operation process and maximization of safety lifetimes for interconnected and interdependent critical infrastructure (CI) networks at variable operation conditions related to the climateweather change are proposed. A multistate series network with assets dependent according to local load sharing (LLS) rule is analyzed and optimization of operation and safety of CI network with the LLS rule is introduced. For such CI network, the optimal transient probabilities of CI network operation process at operation states related to climate-weather change that maximize the mean value of CI network safety lifetimes are found. Finally, the optimal safety and resilience indicators of CI network are presented.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

critical infrastructure; operation process; climate-weather change process; critical state; critical infrastructure safety lifetime maximization

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2018
• Tom: Vol. 9, No. 1
• Strony: 35--42
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 15 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Blokus-Roszkowska A.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Kołowrocki K.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

• 1. Blokus-Roszkowska, A. & Kolowrocki, K. (2017a). Modeling safety of interconnected critical infrastructure network cascading. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminnars, 8(3), 97-114.
• 2. Blokus-Roszkowska, A. & Kołowrocki, K. (2017b). Modelling reliability of interconnected critical infrastructures network cascading. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminnars, Special Issue on EUCIRCLE Project Critical Infrastructure Impact Models for Operation Threats and Climate Hazards, Part 1, Critical Infrastructure Connections, 8(3), 97-114.
• 3. Blokus-Roszkowska, A. & Kołowrocki, K. (2017c). Integrated impact model on interconnected critical infrastructure network cascading related to its operation process, Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminnars, Special Issue on EU-CIRCLE Project Critical Infrastructure Impact Models for Operation Threats and Climate Hazards, Part 2. Impact Assessment Models, 8(4), 113-124.
• 4. Guze, S. & Kołowrocki K. (2017). WP4-Task4.2D4.4-Critical Infrastructure Climate Related Business Continuity Models, EU-CIRCLE Report.
• 5. Klabjan, D. & Adelman, D. (2006). Existence of optimal policies for semi-Markov decision processes using duality for infinite linear programming. Siam Journal on Control and Optimization, 44(6), 2104-2122.
• 6. Kołowrocki, K. (2014). Reliability of Large and Complex Systems. Amsterdam, Boston, Heidelberd, London, New York, Oxford, Paris, San Diego, San Francisco, Singapore, Sidney, Tokyo.
• 7. Kołowrocki, K., Blokus-Roszkowska, A., Bogalecka, M., Dziula, P., Guze, S. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2017a). WP3-Task3.3-D3.3-Part 1 - Inventory of Critical Infrastructure Impact Assessment Models for Climate Hazards, EU-CIRCLE Report.
• 8. Kołowrocki, K., Blokus-Roszkowska, A., Bogalecka, M., Kuligowska, E., Soszyńska-Budny, J. & Torbicki, M. (2017b). WP3-Task3.4 & Task3.5 - D3.3 - Part3 - Critical Infrastructure Safety and Resilience Indicators, EU-CIRCLE Report.
• 9. Kołowrocki, K., Blokus-Roszkowska, A., Dziula, P., Guze, S. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2017c). WP3Task3.5 - Holistic Risk Assessment Propagation Model, EU-CIRCLE Report.
• 10. Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2011). Reliability and Safety of Complex Technical Systems and Processes: Modeling - Identification - Prediction – Optimization. London, Dordrecht, Heildeberg, New York.
• 11. Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2012a). Introduction to safety analysis of critical infrastructures. Proc. International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance and Safety Engineering - QR2MSE, Chendgu, China, 1-6.
• 12. Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny J. (2012b). Introduction to safety analysis of critical infrastructures. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars 3, 73-88.
• 13. Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2014). Prediction of Critical Infrastructures Safety. Proc. of The International Conference on Digital Technologies, Zilina, 141-149.
• 14. Xue, J. (1985). On multi-state system analysis. IEEE Transaction on Reliability, 34, 329-337.
• 15. Xue, J. & Yang, K. (1995). Dynamic reliability analysis of coherent multi-state systems. IEEE Transaction on Reliability, 4(44), 683-688.

Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2018).