Assessing the impact of climate change on sugarcane and adaptation actions in Pakistan

Farooq, Nageen; Gheewala, Shabbir. H.

doi:10.1007/s11600-020-00463-8

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Assessing the impact of climate change on sugarcane and adaptation actions in Pakistan

Autorzy

Farooq Nageen , Gheewala Shabbir. H.

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-020-00463-8

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Climate change is a challenging global issue for the sustainable production of various crops around the world as change in climatic patterns can create a stressful environment for plant growth. This study assesses the impact of climate change on future water demand and sugarcane yield in Pakistan for the baseline (1981–2005) and future timescales (2020s, 2050s and 2080s). For evaluating the crop water requirement and yield under future climate, CROPWAT 8.0 and AquaCrop models were used, respectively. For the estimation of future climate, three diferent Regional Climatic Models were applied under two projection scenarios i.e. RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Maximum temperature, precipitation and minimum temperature displayed an increasing trend under the projected future climatic conditions. The results revealed a growth in the crop water requirement with a subsequent escalating irrigation demand caused due to rise in projected temperature; this is because the projected increase in precipitation under forecasted weather conditions cannot compensate for the increased evaporative demand. Moreover, the results showed a general increasing trend of sugarcane yield under projected climate. By delaying the crop calendar, an overall decrease in crop water requirement in the range of 10.7–12.6% and increase in the yield in the range of 0.37–6.48 tha⁻¹ can be observed under both climate change scenarios. Moreover, 90% of control irrigation level proved benefcial in terms of saving around 10% irrigation water with acceptable yield reduction. The outcomes of the study are supportive for growers to gain more yield using less amount of water and to adapt to changing climate. The results are also helpful for policy makers to develop adaptation strategies to improve sugarcane productivity and to address water stress in Pakistan.

Słowa kluczowe

water conservation impact assessment crop modeling sugarcane adaptation measures crop calendar

ochrona wody ocena wpływu modelowanie plonów trzcina cukrowa środki adaptacyjne kalendarz upraw

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2020

Tom

Vol. 68, no. 5

Strony

1489--1503

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 58 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Farooq Nageen

The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment, King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi, 126 Prachauthit Rd., Bangmod, Tungkru, Bangkok 10140, Thailand
Center of Excellence On Energy Technology and Environment, PERDO, Ministry of Higher Education, Science, Research and Innovation, Bangkok, Thailand

autor

Gheewala Shabbir. H.

shabbir_g@jgsee.kmutt.ac.th

The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment, King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi, 126 Prachauthit Rd., Bangmod, Tungkru, Bangkok 10140, Thailand
Center of Excellence On Energy Technology and Environment, PERDO, Ministry of Higher Education, Science, Research and Innovation, Bangkok, Thailand

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Bibliografia

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