Powiadomienia systemowe
- Sesja wygasła!
- Sesja wygasła!
- Sesja wygasła!
Tytuł artykułu
Autorzy
Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Climate change is a challenging global issue for the sustainable production of various crops around the world as change in climatic patterns can create a stressful environment for plant growth. This study assesses the impact of climate change on future water demand and sugarcane yield in Pakistan for the baseline (1981–2005) and future timescales (2020s, 2050s and 2080s). For evaluating the crop water requirement and yield under future climate, CROPWAT 8.0 and AquaCrop models were used, respectively. For the estimation of future climate, three diferent Regional Climatic Models were applied under two projection scenarios i.e. RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Maximum temperature, precipitation and minimum temperature displayed an increasing trend under the projected future climatic conditions. The results revealed a growth in the crop water requirement with a subsequent escalating irrigation demand caused due to rise in projected temperature; this is because the projected increase in precipitation under forecasted weather conditions cannot compensate for the increased evaporative demand. Moreover, the results showed a general increasing trend of sugarcane yield under projected climate. By delaying the crop calendar, an overall decrease in crop water requirement in the range of 10.7–12.6% and increase in the yield in the range of 0.37–6.48 tha−1 can be observed under both climate change scenarios. Moreover, 90% of control irrigation level proved benefcial in terms of saving around 10% irrigation water with acceptable yield reduction. The outcomes of the study are supportive for growers to gain more yield using less amount of water and to adapt to changing climate. The results are also helpful for policy makers to develop adaptation strategies to improve sugarcane productivity and to address water stress in Pakistan.
Wydawca
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
1489--1503
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 58 poz.
Twórcy
autor
- The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment, King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi, 126 Prachauthit Rd., Bangmod, Tungkru, Bangkok 10140, Thailand
- Center of Excellence On Energy Technology and Environment, PERDO, Ministry of Higher Education, Science, Research and Innovation, Bangkok, Thailand
autor
- The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment, King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi, 126 Prachauthit Rd., Bangmod, Tungkru, Bangkok 10140, Thailand
- Center of Excellence On Energy Technology and Environment, PERDO, Ministry of Higher Education, Science, Research and Innovation, Bangkok, Thailand
Bibliografia
- 1. Ahmad N, Omer Z, Rehman MU, Mulk S, Kazmi S, Qureshi A, Younus O, Bukhsh ZN, Kanwal S, Laghari F (2012) Pakistan emergency situational analysis a profile of district Rahim Yar Khan. USAID, Washington, DC
- 2. Akinnagbe OM, Irohibe IJ (2014) Agricultural adaptation strategies to climate change impacts in Africa: a review. Bangladesh J Agric Res 39(3):407–418
- 3. Akram N, Hamid AG (2015) Climate change: a threat to the economic growth of Pakistan. Prog Dev Stud 15:73–86
- 4. Ali MH, Mubarak S (2017) Effective rainfall calculation methods for field crops: an overview, analysis and new formulation. Asian Res J Agric 7(1):1–12
- 5. Ali S, Liu Y, Ishaq M, Shah T, Abdullah IA, Din IU (2017) Climate change and its impact on the yield of major food crops: evidence from Pakistan. Foods 6(6):39
- 6. Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, Smith M (1998) Crop evapotranspiration - guidelines for computing crop water requirements - FAO Irrigation and drainage paper 56. Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome
- 7. Asian Development Bank (2017) Climate change profile of Pakistan. Mandaluyong City, 1550 Metro Manila: Philippines
- 8. Azam M, Khan M (2010) Significance of the sugarcane crops with special reference to NWFP. Sarhad J Agric 26(2):289–295
- 9. Babu RG, Babu GR, Kumar HVH (2015) Estimation of crop water requirement, effective rainfall and irrigation water requirement for vegetable crops using CROPWAT. Int J Agric Eng 8(1):15–20
- 10. Babur M, Babel MS, Shrestha S, Kawasaki A, Tripathi NK (2016) Assessment of climate change impact on reservoir inflows using multi climate-models under RCPs-the case of Mangla Dam in Pakistan. Water 8(9):389
- 11. Bahmani O, Eghbalian S (2018) Simulating the response of sugarcane production to water deficit irrigation using the AquaCrop model. Agric Res 7(2):158–166
- 12. Cai J, Liu Yu, Lei T, Pereira LS (2007) Estimating reference evapotranspiration with the FAO Penman-Monteith equation using daily weather forecast messages. Agric for Meteorol 145(1–2):22–35
- 13. Cheema MA, Farooq M, Ahmad R, Munir H (2006) Climatic trends in Faisalabad (Pakistan) over the last 60 years (1945–2004). J Agric Soc Sci 2(1):42–45
- 14. Fang GH, Yang J, Chen YN, Zammit C (2015) Comparing bias correction method in downscaling meteorology variables for a hydrologic impact study in an arid area in China. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 19:2547–2559
- 15. FAO (2011) The state of the world’s land and water resources for food and agriculture (SOLAW)—managing systems at risk. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Rome and Earthscan, London
- 16. FAO (2017) AquaCrop training handbooks Book I. Understanding AquaCrop. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome
- 17. FAO (2018) Reference manual, Chapter 2-AquaCrop, Version 6.0–6.1. Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, Rome
- 18. Gerbens-Leenes PW, Hoekstra AY (2009) The water footprint of sweeteners and bio-ethanol from sugarcane, sugar beet and maize. Value of water research report series no. 38. UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education, Delft, the Netherlands
- 19. Gheewala SH, Silalertruksa T, Nilsalab P, Mungkung R, Perret SR, Chaiyawannakarn N (2013) Implications of the biofuels policy mandate in Thailand on water: the case of bioethanol. Bioresor Technol 150:457–465
- 20. Gheewala SH, Silalertruksa T, Nilsalab P, Mungkung R, Perret SR, Chaiyawannakarn N (2014) Water footprint and impact of water consumption for food, feed, fuel crops production in Thailand. Water 6:1698–1718
- 21. Ghimire S, Choudhary A, Dimri AP (2015) Assessment of the performance of CORDEX-South Asia experiments for monsoonal precipitation over the Himalayan region during present climate: part I. Clim Dyn 50(7–8):2311–2334
- 22. Hunink J, Droogers P, Tran-Mai K (2014) Past and future trends in crop production and food demand and supply in the Lower Mekong Basin. Future Water, Mekong River Commission (MRC), Climate Change and Adaptation Initiative (CCAI)
- 23. Hunink JE, Droogers P (2011) Climate change impact assessment on crop production in Uzbekistan. World Bank study on reducing vulnerability to climate change in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) agricultural systems, Wageningen
- 24. IPCC (2014a) Climate change 2014: Synthesis Report. In: Pachauri RK, Meyer LA (eds) Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change [core writing team. IPCC, Geneva, p 151
- 25. IPCC (2014b) Summary for policymakers. In: Edenhofer O, Pichs-Madruga R, Sokona Y, Farahani E, Kadner S, Seyboth K, Adler A, Baum I, Brunner S, Eickemeier P, Kriemann B, Savolainen J, Schlömer S, von Stechow C, Zwickel T, and JC Minx (eds.) Climate change 2014: mitigation of climate change. contribution of working Group III to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
- 26. Iqbal MA, Iqbal A (2014) Sugarcane production, economics and industry in Pakistan. Am Eura J Agric Environ Sci 14(12):1470–1477
- 27. Kang Y, Khan S, Ma X (2009) Climate change impacts on crop yield, crop water productivity food security-a review. Prog Nat Sci 19(12):1665–1674
- 28. Khan AA (2012) Corporate social responsibility: studying the sugar production process in Pakistan. Prakruthi, Bangalore 560084, India
- 29. Khattak MS, Ali S (2015) Assessment of temperature and rainfall trends in Punjab province of Pakistan for the period 1961–2014. J Himal Earth Sci 48(2):42–61
- 30. Khattak MS, Babel MS, Sharif M (2011) Hydro-meteorological trends in the upper Indus River basin in Pakistan. Clim Res 46:103–119
- 31. Lee SK, Dang TA (2018a) Application of AquaCrop model to predict sugarcane yield under climate change impact: a case study of Son Hoa district, Phu Yen province in Vietnam. Res Crops 19(2):310–314
- 32. Lee SK, Dang TA (2018b) Predicting future water demand for Long Xuyen Quadrangle under the impact of climate variability. Acta Geophys 66(5):1081–1092
- 33. Linstead DC, Sayed AH, Naqvi SA (2015) Water footprint of key industrial sectors in Punjab Pakistan WWF-Pakistan. Cleaner Production Institute (CPI), Pakistan
- 34. Luo M, Liu T, Meng F, Duan Y, Frankl A, Bao A, Maeyer PD (2018) Comparing bias correction methods used in downscaling precipitation and temperature from regional climate models: a case study from the Kaidu river basin in Western China. Water 10(8):1046
- 35. Madan K, Shukla DS, Tripathi R, Tripathi A, Dwivedi HD (2014) Effect of elevated CO2 over Sugarcane crop. Am Int J Res Form Appl Nat Sci 6(1):37–38
- 36. Magsi H, Rashid MK, Khushk GM, Khatyan MA, Babar MN (2018) Impact of climate change on major crops of Pakistan. SALU-Commerce Econ Rev 4(1):70–77
- 37. Marin FR, Jones JW, Singles A, Royce F, Assad ED, Pellegrino GQ, Justino F (2012) Climate change impacts on sugarcane attainable yield in southern Brazil. Clim Change 117:227–239
- 38. Najafi E, Devineni N, Khanbilvardi RM, Kogan F (2018) Understanding the changes in global crop yields through changes in climate and technology. Earth’s Fut 6:410–427
- 39. Nazarenko L, Schmidt GA, Miller RL, Tausnev N, Kelley M, Ruedy R, Russell GL, Aleinov I, Bauer M, Bauer S, Bleck R, Canuto V, Cheng Y, Clune TL, Genio ADD, Faluvegi G, Hansen JE, Healy RJ, Kiang NY, Koch D, Lacis AA, LeGrande AN, Lerner J, Lo KK, Menon S, Oinas V, Perlwitz JP, Puma MJ, Rind D, Romanou A, Sato M, Shindell DT, Sun S, Tsigaridis K, Unger N, Voulgarakis A, Yao MS, Zhang J (2015) Future climate change under RCP emission scenarios with GISS ModeIE2. J Adv Model Earth Syst 7:244–267
- 40. Nazir A, Jariko GA, Junejo MA (2013) Factors affecting sugarcane production in Pakistan. Pak J Commerce Soc Sci 7(1):128–140
- 41. Ouda S, El-Latif KA, Khalil F (2018) Water requirements for major crops. Water Sci Technol. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-21771-0_2
- 42. Punjab development statistics (2016) Bureau of Statistics Planning and Development Department. Government of Punjab, Punjab
- 43. Ruan H, Feng P, Wang B, Xing H, Leary GJO, Huang Z, Guo H, Liu DL (2018) Future climate change projects positive impact on sugarcane productivity in southern China. Eur J Agron 96:108–119
- 44. Shrestha RP, Raut N, Swe LMM, Tieng T (2018) Climate change adaptation strategies in agriculture: cases from Southeast Asia. Sustainable Agric Res 7(3):39
- 45. Siddiqui R, Samad G, Nasir M, Jalil HH (2012) The impact of climate change on major agricultural crops: evidence from Punjab Pakistan. Pak Dev Rev 51(4):261–276
- 46. Silalertruksa T, Gheewala SH (2018) Land-water-energy nexus of sugarcane production in Thailand. J Clean Prod 182:521–528
- 47. Stocker PT (2016) Introduction to climate modeling. Universitat Bern
- 48. Surendran U, Sushanth CM, Mammen G, Joseph EJ (2015) Modelling the crop water requirement using FAO-CROPWAT and assessment of water resources for sustainable water resource management: a case study in Palakkad district of humid tropical Kerala. India Aquat Procedia 4:1211–1219
- 49. Sutton WR, Block RI, Srivastava J (2009) Adaptation to climate change in Europe and Central Asia Agriculture. World Bank, Washington, DC
- 50. Tan ML, Ibrahim AL, Yusop Z, Chua VP, Chan NW (2017) Climate change impacts under CMIP5 RCP scenarios on water resources of the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia. Atmos Res 189:1–10
- 51. Tianwa Z, Wu P, Sun S, Li X, Wang Y, Luan X (2017) Impact of future climate change on regional crop water requirement–a case study of Hetao Irrigation District, China. Water 9:429–441
- 52. Wang Y, Leung LR, Mcgregor JL, Lee DK, Wang WC, Ding Y, Kimura F (2004) Regional climate modeling: progress, challenges and prospects. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 82(6):1599–1628
- 53. Woznicki SA, Nejadhashemi AP, Parsinejad M (2015) Climate change and irrigation demand: Uncertainty and adaptation. J Hydrol Reg Stud 3:247–264
- 54. Yadav R, Tripathi SK, Pranuthi G, Dubey SK (2014) Trend analysis by Men-Kendall test for precipitation and temperature for thirteen districts of Uttarakhand. J Agrometeorolo 16(2):164–171
- 55. Yano T, Aydin M, Haraguchi T (2007) Impact of climate change on irrigation demand and crop growth in a Mediterranean environment of Turkey. Sensors 7(10):2297–2315
- 56. Yu JY (2000) A general circulation model of the atmosphere using the full-Galerkin method. Math Comput Simul 52:427–443
- 57. Zahra S, Batool M, Bashir QA (2016) Impact of global climate change on economy of Pakistan: how to ensure sustainable food and energy production. Adv Plant Agric Res 5(2):508–513
- 58. Zare M, Koch M (2017) Computation of the irrigation water demand in the Miandarband plain, Iran, using FAO-56- and satellite-estimated crop coefficients. J Thai Interdiscip Res 12(3):15–25
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-a9ddeaf1-b1ca-4e4a-8ca0-a10e91d35dfa