Verification of the weather research and forecasting model (WRF) for the domain of Silesian Voivodeship and Upper Silesia Metropolitan Region

• Autorzy: Bronder Joachim , Fudala Magdalena

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.2478/acee-2023-0008

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper presents the analysis of the statistical errors of the meteorological parameters predicted by the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model. The model is used for forecasting air pollution in the Silesian Voivodeship with an accuracy of about 70-80%. Thus, the main idea of the research was assessing to what extent the error in the forecast of meteorological parameters affects the error of the air quality forecast, which can be evaluated using the system InfoSMOG – MED for the inhabitants of the Silesian Voivodeship at www.slaskiesmogstop. It was also investigated how the reduction of the mesh size of the forecast of meteorological parameters affects the error of the forecast of these parameters, which was necessary for the next project SMART. The research was carried out for 3 computational domains: Poland, Silesian Voivodeship and Upper Silesia Metropolitan Region, each with a different grid resolution. The predicted temperature and wind speed data were compared with the measured data from the Polish synoptic stations and the stations of the METAR airports meteorological shield located in the respective domains. In addition, the error of the predicted parameters was investigated in the grid where the climatological station is located in the Śląskie Planetarium in Chorzów.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

meteorological forecast; WRF model; model error

PL

prognoza meteorologiczna; model WRF; błąd modelu

• Wydawca: Silesian University of Technology
• Czasopismo: Architecture Civil Engineering Environment
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: Vol. 16, no. 1
• Strony: 103--112
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 6 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Bronder Joachim

• PhD; Institute for Ecology of Industrial Areas: ul. Kossutha 6, 40 – 844 Katowice

autor

Fudala Magdalena

• PhD; Institute for Ecology of Industrial Areas: ul. Kossutha 6, 40 – 844 Katowice

Bibliografia

• [1] InfoSMOG-MED project do financed from RPO woj. Śląskiego na lata 2014–2020, Acces: https://slaskiesmogstop.pl/portal/home
• [2] WRFUsers’Guide https://www2.mmm.ucar.edu/ wrf/users/...v4/v4.2/WRFUsersGuide_v42.pdf
• [3] SMART project “System Monitorowania Aktywności i Racjonalizacji Treningu” WND-RPSL.01.02.00-24-045E/19-001, Acces: https://comfortel.pl/rozwiazania/smart/
• [4] Moriasi, D.N., Arnold, J.G., Van Liew, M.W., Bingner, R.L., Harmel, R.D., Veith, T.L. (2007). Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations. Transactions of the ASABE 50(3), 885–900. Access: https://pubag.nal.usda.gov/catalog/9298
• [5] Nash, J. E., and J. V. Sutcliffe. (1970). River flow forecasting through conceptual models: Part 1. A discussion of principles. J. Hydrology 10(3), 282–290.
• [6] Singh, J., H. V. Knapp, and M. Demissie. (2004). Hydrologic modelling of the Iroquois River watershed using HSPF and SWAT. ISWS CR 2004-08. Champaign, Ill.: Illinois State Water Survey. Access: https://swat.tamu.edu/media/90101/singh.pdf