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Tytuł artykułu

Frequency of forced outages for subtransmission circuit breakers: statistical analysis of data for the period 2005-15

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Warianty tytułu
PL
Częstotliwość wymuszonych przerw w dostawie napięcia – analiza danych statystycznych w okresie 2005-2015
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This paper presents the results of the analysis of 2 124 forced outages for Eskom subtransmission circuit breakers recorded over the years 2005-15. Statistical techniques are used in the study. Firstly, the actual number of outages and outage rates are calculated and assessed for various event attributes. Further, the dependence between pairs of event attributes is evaluated graphically by plotting bivariate bar graphs and thereafter quantitatively by performing the chi-square test to assess the significance of the results. The insights gained are useful in the management of these breakers.
PL
W artykule przedstawiono analizę wymuszonych przerw w dostawie napięcia w sieci Eskom w latach 2005-2015. Przeprowadzono analizę statystyczną tych wydarzeń. Dodatkowo przeprowadzono nalizę korelacji tych zdarzeń.
Rocznik
Strony
98--106
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 31 poz., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
  • Eskom Holdings SoC Limited, ERIC, Lower Germiston Road, Rosherville, 2022, South Africa
  • University of Johannesburg, corner Kingsway and University Road, Auckland Park, 2006, Johannesburg, South Africa
  • Eskom Holdings SoC Limited, 12 Streak Street, Nelspruit, 1200, Mpumalanga, South Africa
  • North West University – Vaal Campus, Hendrik van Eck Boulevard, Vanderbijlpark, 1900, Gauteng Province, South Africa
  • University of Johannesburg, corner Kingsway and University Road, Auckland Park, 2006, Johannesburg, South Africa
Bibliografia
  • [1] O. Dzobo, T. Gaunt, and R. Herman, "Reliability worth assessment of electricity consumers: a South African case study." Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, vol. 23, no. 3, pp. 31-39, 2012.
  • [2] World Energy Council. Variable renewables integration in electricity systems: How to get it right. World Energy Perspectives: Renewables Integration, 2016. [Online]. Available: https://www.worldenergy.org/. Last accessed 27 February 2019.
  • [3] Global Energy Systems based on 100% Renewables-Power Sector. November 2017. [Online]. Available: https://www.google.co.za/search?q=drivers+for+global+electricity+d emand+pdf&ei=7MUKXbj7J46Y1fAP5LWrqA0&start=10&sa=N &ved=0ahUKEwi4odmU2vbiAhUOTBUIHeTaCtUQ8tMDCJkB& biw=1138&bih=526. Last accessed 27 February 2019.
  • [4] International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) Report: global energy transformation: A roadmap to 2050, 2018. [Online]. Available: https://www.irena.org/publications/2018/Apr/Global-EnergyTransition-A-Roadmap-to-2050. Last accessed 26 September 2019.
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  • [7] P. J. Maliszewski, E. K. Larson, and C. Perrings, "Environmental determinants of unscheduled residential outages in the electrical power distribution of Phoenix Arizona." Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 99, pp. 161171, 2012.
  • [8] U. J. Minnaar, C. T. Gaunt, and F. Nicolls, "Characterisation of power system events on South African transmission power lines." Electric Power Systems Research, vol. 88, pp. 25-32, 2012.
  • [9] S. Natti, M. Kezunovic, and C. Singh, "Sensitivity analysis on the probabilistic maintenance model of circuit breaker." In 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Stockholm, Sweden, 2006, pp. 1-7.
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  • [12] EPRI’s Consortium for Electric Infrastructure for a Digital Society (CEIDS), The Cost of Power Disturbances for Industrial and Digital Economy Companies, EPRI, 2001.
  • [13] G.J. Anders, H. Maciejewski, B. Jesus, and F. Remtulla, "A comprehensive study of outage rates of air blast breakers." IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 202210, 2006.
  • [14] M. Muratović, K. Sokolija, and M Kapetanović, " Modelling of high voltage SF6 circuit breaker reliability based on bayesian statistics." In 2013 7th IEEE GCC Conference and Exhibition (GCC), Doha, Qatar, 2013, pp. 303-308.
  • [15] C. Suwanasri, T. Suwnansri, and W. Srisongkram, "Analysis of failure data to determine the failure pattern of HV circuit breaker components." In 2014 International Electrical Engineering Congress (iEECON), Chonburi, Thailand, 2014, pp. 1-4.
  • [16] J. H. Jürgensen, L. Nordström, P. Hilber, E. Andreasson, and A. L. Brodersson, "Assessment of explanatory variables on the failure rate of circuit breakers using the proportional hazard mode." In 2018 Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), Dublin, Ireland, 2018, pp. 1-8.
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  • [20] Electricity Supply - Quality of Supply, NRS 048-6, 2009.
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  • [22] M. Abdelfatah, M. EL-Shimy b, and H. M. Ismail, "Outage data analysis of utility power transformers based on outage reports during." Electrical Power and Energy Systems, vol. 47, pp. 4151, 2013.
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  • [24] D. O. Koval, "Transmission equipment reliability data from Canadian Electrical Association." In IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Technical Conference, San Antonio, Canada, 1995, pp. 1431-1439.
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  • [26] H. Anders, H. Maciejewski, B. Jesus, and F. Remtulla, "Analysis of failure rates of air blast breakers as a function of age and usage." In 2003 IEEE Bologna PowerTech Conference, Bologna, Italy, 2003, pp. 1-8.
  • [27] A. Janssen, D. Makareinis, and C. E. Sölver, "International surveys on circuit-breaker reliability data for substation and system studies." IEEE Transaction on Power Delivery, vol. 29, no. 2, pp. 808-814, 2014.
  • [28] X. Zhang, E. Gockenback, Z. Liu, H. Chen, and L. Yang, "Reliability estimation of high voltage SF6 circuit breakers by statistical analysis on the basis of the field data." Electric Power Systems Research, vol. 103, pp. 105-113, 2013.
  • [29] H. F. Vosloo, "The need for and contents of a life cycle management plan for Eskom transmission line servitudes." MSc dissertation, Dept. of Geography, Environmental and Energy Studies, Rand Afrikaans Univ., Johannesburg, South Africa, December, 2004.
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  • [31] M. Yue, and X. Wang, “Outage data collection and parameter estimation for an improved probabilistic contigency analysis.” In 2015 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, Denver, USA, 2015, pp. 1-5
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2020).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-a24cb986-d196-434d-bde1-18166be6e9d9
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