Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process related to climate-weather change

• Autorzy: Kołowrocki K. , Soszyńska-Budny J. , Torbicki M.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three different processes for the corresponding piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the piping operation process and the piping operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

operation process; climate-weather change; identification; prediction; piping transportation system

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: Vol. 8, No. 2
• Strony: 113--120
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 10 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Kołowrocki K.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Soszyńska-Budny J.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Torbicki M.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] EU-CIRCLE Report D3.3-GMU3-CIOP Model1. (2016). Critical Infrastructure Operation Process (CIOP) Model1.
• [2] EU-CIRCLE Report D3.3-GMU3-C-WCP. (2016). Critical Infrastructure Operating Area Climate-Weather Change Process (C-WCP) Including Extreme Weather Hazards (EWH) CWCP Model.
• [3] EU-CIRCLE Report D6.4-GMU1. (2017). Critical Infrastructure Operation Process General Model (CIOPGM) Application to Port Piping Transportation System Operation Process Related to Operating Environment Threats (OET) and Extreme Weather Hazards (EWH).
• [4] Kołowrocki, K. (2014). Reliability of large and complex systems, Elsevier, ISBN: 978080999494.
• [5] Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2017). Critical infrastructure operation process, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 1-6.
• [6] Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2011). Reliability and Safety of Complex Technical Systems and Processes: Modeling-IdentificationPrediction-Optimization. Springer, ISBN: 9780857296931.
• [7] Kołowrocki, K., Soszyńska-Budny, J. & Torbicki, M. (2017). Critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 7-14.
• [8] Kołowrocki, K., Soszyńska-Budny, J. & Torbicki, M. (2017). Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 59-84.
• [9] Kołowrocki, K., Soszyńska-Budny, J. & Torbicki, M. (2017). Integrated impact model on critical infrastructure safety related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 4, 33-48.
• [10] Torbicki, M. (2017). Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 107-112.

Uwagi

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).