A hybrid mathematical model for an optimal border closure policy during a pandemic

• Autorzy: Lazebnik Teddy , Shami Labib , Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.34768/amcs-2023-0042

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

During a global health crisis, a country’s borders are a weak point through which carriers from countries with high morbidity rates can enter, endangering the health of the local community and undermining the authorities’ efforts to prevent the spread of the pathogen. Therefore, most countries have adopted some level of border closure policies as one of the first steps in handling pandemics. However, this step involves a significant economic loss, especially for countries that rely on tourism as a source of income. We developed a pioneering model to help decision-makers determine the optimal border closure policies during a health crisis that minimize the magnitude of the outbreak and maximize the revenue of the tourism industry. This approach is based on a hybrid mathematical model that consists of an epidemiological sub-model with tourism and a pandemic-focused economic sub-model, which relies on elements from the field of artificial intelligence to provide policymakers with a data-driven model for a border closure strategy for tourism during a global pandemic.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

health care; spatio temporal SIR model; international biotourism policy; multiagent reinforcement learning

PL

opieka zdrowotna; polityka bioturystyczna; uczenie ze wzmocnieniem

• Wydawca: Oficyna Wydawnicza Uniwersytetu Zielonogórskiego
• Czasopismo: International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: Vol. 33, no. 4
• Strony: 583--601
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 87 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Lazebnik Teddy

• Department of Mathematics, Ariel University, 3 Kiryat Hamada St., 40700 Ariel, Israel
• Department of Cancer Biology, University College London Cancer Institute, 72 Huntley St., WC1E 6DD London, UK

autor

Shami Labib

• Department of Economics, Western Galilee College, Hamichlala Rd., 2412101 Acre, Israel

autor

Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana

• Department of Mathematics, Ariel University, 3 Kiryat Hamada St., 40700 Ariel, Israel

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Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).