Analysis of the ships’ UKC by probabilistic model based on chosen real data in period 2005 till 2009

• Autorzy: Schoeneich M.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper is concerned with the analysis of under-keel clearance of ships based on real data from Szczecin Maritime Office. Using probabilistic method for UKC assessment give it possibility to create the distribution of under-keel clearance in several ship’s passages and in further step to determine the probability of ship’s grounding accident during the port approach. The results of using this type of model could be used in risk assessment of ships entering to the ports, therefore it is possible to used probabilistic model in Maritime Office employees’ everyday decision making practice. Research results present verification of probabilistic model, based on data from Vessel Traffic Service database and probability of touching the bottom during ships’ passages on Swinoujscie - Szczecin waterway. Moreover there are presented examples of these situations when entering to the port for analysed ships is not allowed according to the model.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

under-keel clearance; UKC; probabilistic model; real data

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2010
• Tom: Vol. 1, No. 1
• Strony: 215--220
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 7 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Schoeneich M.

• Maritime University of Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] Gucma, L. (2005). Risk Modelling of Ship Collisions Factors with Fixed Port and Offshore Structures. Maritime University of Szczecin, Szczecin.
• [2] Gucma, L., Schoeneich, M.( 2007). Probabilistic Model of Under-keel Clearance in Decision Making Process of Port Captain. Monograph-Advances in Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation TransNav’2007, Gdynia.
• [3] Moes, J., Rossouw, M., Brophy, M. & Van Loon, F. (2002). Minimum Safe Under-keel Clearance in Port Entrance Channels. PIANC, Sydney.
• [4] Port Regulations (2002). STANDING ORDER No 4 Director of the Maritime Office in Szczecin of 17th September 2002.
• [5] Schoeneich, M. (2008). Probabilistic method and decision support system of ship’s underkeel clearance evaluation in entrance to the ports. International Symposium on Electronics in Transport, Ljubljana.
• [6] Website: www.transportweekly.com/pages/en/news/articles/56060/2008.
• [7] Wiśniewski, B. (1998). Falowanie wiatrowe. Wyd. Naukowe US, Szczecin.