Quantile trends of subhourly extreme rainfall: Marmara Region, Turkey

Oruc, Sertac

doi:10.1007/s11600-021-00692-5

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Quantile trends of subhourly extreme rainfall: Marmara Region, Turkey

Autorzy

Oruc Sertac

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-021-00692-5

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Global climate change will probably cause intensification of the hydrologic cycle, which can lead to alterations in extreme precipitation properties. In this study, we investigated the trend of 5-, 10-, 15-, and 30-min annual maximum rainfall series at 12 stations in the Marmara Region, Turkey, using quantile regression. The data ranges were from 46 to 71 years long. Five quantiles were used to examine the extreme rainfall series, and their quantile regression parameters were calculated. The results show that quantile regression is a powerful tool to compute trends with a more inferential context, which was validated with the notable differences between the trends at chosen quantiles and the classical ordinary least squares method. Concerning the problem of the analysis of climate trends, the quantile regression method seems to provide a perspective from a more detailed understanding of processes in the climate system in terms of characteristics of climate variability and extremity.

Słowa kluczowe

Marmara quantile regression trend extreme rainfall

Marmara regresja kwantylowa tendencja ekstremalne opady deszczu

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2021

Tom

Vol. 69, no. 6

Strony

2453--2473

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 48 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Oruc Sertac

sertac.oruc@ahievran.edu.tr

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Kırşehir Ahi Evran University, 40100 Kırşehir, Turkey

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2906-0771

Bibliografia

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Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

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