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Tytuł artykułu

Geopolitical Risks in International Tourism: Methods of Analysis

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Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma
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Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The issues pertaining to the impact of geopolitical situation on the development of international tourism, especially in the context of global uncertainty and international tension, are frequently discussed in scientific research. The paper seeks to test the author’s method of estimating the significance of geopolitical factor in relation to international tourism development through the use of Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR Index).The study shows that geopolitical risks adversely affect the development of international tourism, but do not inhibit the progress of the tourism sector as a whole. The results of the correlation analysis indicate a significant connection between the dynamics of global GPR Index and the changes in international tourist arrivals per annum. In order to assess the scale and nature of the impact of political events on international tourism, it is necessary to analyse not only the indicators of global GPR Index, but also GPR Index calculated for a particular country. Bearing that in mind, geopolitical situation proved to be a key factor in the Israel inbound tourism evolution in the 21st century.
Rocznik
Strony
53--62
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 25 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
  • Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Kyiv, Ukraine
Bibliografia
  • Baker D.Mc.A, 2014. The Effects of Terrorism on the Travel and Tourism Industry. International Journal of Religious Tourism and Pilgrimage 2(1), 58-67.
  • Baker S.R., Bloom N., Davis S.J., 2016. Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 131(4), 1593-1636.
  • Caldara D, Iacoviello M., 2018. Measuring Geopolitical Risk. Working paper. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board, January 2018 (https://www2.bc.edu/matteo-iacoviello/gpr.htm, date of access 15.01.2019).
  • Corbet S., O’Connell J.F., Efthymiou M., Guiomard C., Lucey B., 2019. The impact of terrorism on European tourism. Annals of Tourism Research 75, 1-17.
  • De la Torre J., Neckar D.H., 1988. Forecasting political risks for international operations. International Journal of Forecasting 4(2), 221–241.
  • Floyd M., Pennington-Gray L., 2004. Profiling risk perceptions of tourists. Annals of Tourism Research 31(4), 1051-1054.
  • Glushchenko V.V, 2007. Geopoliticheskij risk kak jekonomicheskaja kategorija v uslovijah globalizacii Vestnik universiteta GUU 2(20), 211–217 [In Russian].
  • Нall C.M., 2002. Travel safety, terrorism and the media: the significance of the issue-attention cycle. Current Issues in Tourism 5 (5), 458-466.
  • Heywood A., 2011. Global Politics. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Inbound Tourism Survey. Annual Report 2017. 2018. (https://info.goisrael.com/en/incoming-tourism-survey-2017pdf, Date of access 15.01.2019).
  • Jezhiev I.B., 2009. Geopoliticheskij risk kak politicheskaja kategorіja. Vlast 12, 140–143 [In Russian].
  • Kennedy Ch.R., 1987. Political Risk Management: International Lending and Investing Under Environmental Uncertainty. New York, Quorum Books.
  • Liu A., Pratt S., 2017. Tourism’s vulnerability and resilience to terrorism. Tourism Management 60, 404-417.
  • Mansfeld, Y., 1996. Wars, Tourism and the ‘Middle East’ Factor. [In:] Pizam A., Mansfeld Y. (Ed.), Tourism, Crime and International Security Issues. Wiley, New York, 265-278.
  • Neumayer E., 2004. The Impact of Political Violence on Tourism. Journal of conflict resolution 48(2), 259-281.
  • O’Tuathail G., 1996. Critical geopolitics: The politics of writing global space. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.
  • Pastor L., Veronesi P., 2013. Political uncertainty and risk premia. Journal of Financial Economics 110(3), 520-545.
  • Perles-Ribes J.F., Ramón-Rodríguez A.B., Such-Devesa M.J., Moreno-Izquierdo L., 2019. Effects of political instability in consolidated destinations. The case of Catalonia (Spain) Tourism Management 70, 134-139.
  • Podkolzina I.A., 1996. Problemyi definitsii i otsenki politicheskogo riska v zarubezhnyih issledovaniyah. Vestnik Moskovskogo Universiteta, Seriya Politicheskiye Nauki 5, 19–33 [In Russian].
  • Poirier A.R., 1997. Political risk analysis and tourism. Annals of Tourism Research 24(3), 675-686.
  • Scotti C., 2016. Surprise and uncertainty indexes: Real-time aggregation of real-activity macro-surprises. Journal of Monetary Economics 82(C), 1-19, doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.06.002.
  • Sоnmez S.F., 1998. Tourism, terrorism, and political instability. Annals of Tourism Research 25(2), 416-456.
  • Steiner C., 2007. Political Instability, Transnational Tourist Companies and Destination Recovery in the Middle East after 9/11. Tourism and Hospitality Planning & Development 4(3), 169-190.
  • Tourism Market Trends 2006 – World Overview & Tourism Topics. 2008. Madrid: World Tourism Organization.
  • UNWTO World Tourism Barometer and Statistical Annex, Advance Release, January 2018 (https://www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/wtobarometereng.2018.16.1.1, Date of access 15.01.2019).
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2021).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-99e310cd-c222-48d2-8af5-96d05d84041d
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