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The housing market in Poland during the Covid-19 pandemic

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
PL
Rynek mieszkaniowy w Polsce w okresie pandemii Covid-19
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This article examines the impact of economic factors, such as changes in interest rates and inflation, on the primary housing market in Poland from January 2019 to September 2022, with particular focus on the Covid-19 pandemic. The research problem is to understand how these economic factors have affected the housing market, and the research objective is to analyze the activity of developers, building permits issued, investments started, and housing loans granted. The research methodology involves the analysis of data from various sources, including official statistics and reports from developers and investment funds. The research findings suggest that the decreased demand for housing loans has led to a significant decline in the allocation of new housing. However, the emergence of new major players, such as leading European and global investment funds, could provide opportunities for developers. The study concludes that caution is warranted in starting new construction activity and that the best performance in housing production in the transition period to 2021 is unlikely to be exceeded in the current or subsequent years. The implications of this study are that developers need to consider economic factors and market trends when making decisions about new construction and that investment funds may play an increasingly important role in the housing market.
PL
W artykule przeanalizowano wpływ czynników ekonomicznych, takich jak zmiany stóp procentowych i inflacji, na pierwotny rynek mieszkaniowy w Polsce od stycznia 2019 r. do września 2022 r., ze szczególnym uwzględnieniem pandemii Covid-19. Problemem badawczym jest zrozumienie, jak te czynniki ekonomiczne wpłynęły na rynek mieszkaniowy, a celem badawczym jest analiza aktywności deweloperów, wydanych pozwoleń na budowę, rozpoczętych inwestycji oraz udzielonych kredytów mieszkaniowych. Metodologia badania obejmuje analizę danych z różnych źródeł, w tym oficjalnych statystyk oraz raportów od deweloperów i funduszy inwestycyjnych. Wyniki badań sugerują, że zmniejszony popyt na kredyty mieszkaniowe doprowadził do znacznego ograniczenia liczby nowych inwestycji mieszkaniowych, ale pojawienie się nowych dużych graczy, takich jak wiodące europejskie i globalne fundusze inwestycyjne, może stanowić szansę dla deweloperów. Z badania wynika, że ostrożność w rozpoczynaniu nowych budów jest uzasadniona, a najlepsze wyniki produkcji mieszkaniowej w okresie przejściowym 2021 r. prawdopodobnie nie zostaną pobite w bieżącym lub kolejnych latach. Implikacje tego badania są takie, że deweloperzy muszą być świadomi czynników ekonomicznych i trendów rynkowych przy podejmowaniu decyzji o nowym budownictwie, a fundusze inwestycyjne mogą odgrywać coraz większą rolę na rynku mieszkaniowym.
Rocznik
Strony
393--411
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 58 poz., il., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Department of Innovative City, Warsaw, Poland
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Institute of Enterprise and Investment Finance, Warsaw, Poland
  • Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Warsaw, Poland
Bibliografia
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Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
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