Balance in the labour market in Poland as a sustainable development goal and the effects of achieving it

• Autorzy: Zieliński Mariusz

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.34659/eis.2024.91.4.943

Warianty tytułu

PL

Równowaga na rynku pracy w Polsce jako cel zrównoważonego rozwoju i efekty jej osiągnięcia

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The purpose of this article is to define the scale of changes on the supply side of the labour market in Poland over the past five years and to attempt a forecast for the next ten years. The hypothesis of the article is that demographic processes will lead to shortages in labour supply, which will impact the ability to achieve Sustainable Development Goals. This hypothesis has been confirmed using descriptive statistics based on index methods and time series analysis. Changes in the labour market, manifested in a surplus of demand, will be beneficial for the state and for households (employees). In contrast, businesses (employers) will face challenges. The practical implications of this article involve determining directions for changes in state policy and corporate HR policies aimed at reducing worker shortages. The originality of the article lies in the analysis of the labour market under conditions of increasing labour supply shortages.

PL

Celem artykułu jest określenie skali zmian po stronie podażowej rynku pracy w Polsce w ciągu ostatnich pięciu lat oraz próba prognozy na kolejne dziesięć lat. Hipotezą artykułu jest twierdzenie, że procesy demograficzne doprowadzą do niedoborów podaży pracy, co będzie miało wpływ na możliwości osiągnięcia celów zrównoważonego rozwoju. Hipotezę tę potwierdzono za pomocą statystyki opisowej opartej na metodach indeksowych i analizie szeregów czasowych. Zmiany na rynku pracy, objawiające się nadwyżką popytu, będą korzystne dla państwa i gospodarstw domowych (pracowników). Natomiast przedsiębiorstwa (pracodawcy) staną przed poważnymi wyzwaniami. Praktyczne implikacje tego artykułu obejmują określenie kierunków zmian w polityce państwa i korporacyjnej polityce kadrowej ukierunkowanej na redukcję niedoborów pracowników. Oryginalność artykułu polega na analizie rynku pracy w warunkach narastających niedoborów podaży pracy.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

sustainable development goal; labour market equilibrium; demographic process; labour supply shortage

PL

cel zrównoważonego rozwoju; równowaga na rynku pracy; proces demograficzny; niedobór podaży pracy

• Wydawca: Polskie Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistów Środowiska i Zasobów Naturalnych
• Czasopismo: Economics and Environment
• Rocznik: 2024
• Tom: No. 4
• Strony: art. no. 943
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 61 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Zieliński Mariusz

• Opole University of Technology, Faculty of Economics and Management, Prószkowska Street 76, 45-758 Opole, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2121-1339

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025).