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Tytuł artykułu

Risk modelling and management in large-scale, distributed transportation systems

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Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Large-scale distributed transportation systems can pose various risks in terms of fatalities, environmental pollution, or loss of property. In particular, accident where a vehicle carrying large number of passengers is involved may pose a high risk with respect to human casualties, moreover it will immediately raise a public and political concern. This is an issue in case of maritime transportation systems (MTS), as the biggest ships nowadays can carry up to 8500 people at once (m/s Oasis of the Seas). Thereby lot of effort has been put to increase safety of ships carrying passengers; however the holistic approach to model and manage the risk existing in the MTS is still missing. This paper makes an attempt to fill this gap, by presenting a data-driven model evaluating risk level in the existing MTS and by introducing a systematic methodology for mitigating the risk. Moreover the MTS operating in the Gulf of Finland under non-ice conditions is addressed, where heavy passenger traffic is observed.
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Strony
113--122
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 40 poz., rys., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
  • Aalto University, Department of Applied Mechanics, Marine Technology, Espoo, Finland
Bibliografia
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  • 8] Goerlandt, F., Ståhlberg, K. & Kujala, P. (2012). Influence of impact scenario models on collision risk analysis. Ocean Engineering 47, 74-87.
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  • [35] Szwed, P. (2011). Risk factors and theory building: a study to improve passenger vessel safety. WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs 10, 183-208.
  • [36] Uusitalo, L. (2007). Advantages and challenges of bayesian networks in environmental modeling. Ecological Modelling 203, 312-318.
  • [37] van Dorp, J.R. & Merrick, J.R.W. (2011). On a risk management analysis of oil spill riskusing maritime transportation system simulation. Annals of Operations Research 187, 249-277.
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-931995bc-367e-4c33-b41e-786dee320eac
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