Tytuł artykułu
Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Pełne teksty:
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Climate change is determined as a severe threat to water resource availability in Semi-Arid Areas. Therefore, it is crucial to examine the drought trends to develop and sustain water resources. This study evaluates the effects of climate change in Jordan by investigating the long-term precipitation trends in the Amman Zarqa Basin over the water from 1971 to 2016. Daily precipitation data were gathered to analyze different rainfall stations over and around the basin. The standardized precipitation index (SPI) variations were investigated at monthly intervals. Control charts, hypothesis testing, T-test, differences of variances, and trend analysis were used to determine climatic trends. The analysis results showed that 2003 marks an acceleration point in the precipitation decrease rate; therefore, the SPI showed a decrease and a high DI for the area in the tested year 2005 and 2010 to be a mild drought in the following years. Additionally, a change in the precipitation pattern was observed as seasonal precipitation contribution varied for the pre-2003 period compared to the post-2003 period. The SPI results show that 1995 reflects the higher drought periods, and the following years showed mild drought events; nevertheless, the year 2016 displayed lower drought events, reflecting wet events.
Słowa kluczowe
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
101--111
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 30 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Civil Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, Queen Rania Str., 11942 Amman, Jordan
- Water, Energy and Environment Center, The University of Jordan, Queen Rania Str., 11942 Amman, Jordan
autor
- Water, Energy and Environment Center, The University of Jordan, Queen Rania Str., 11942 Amman, Jordan
autor
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Prince Al Hassan bin Talal College for Natural Resources and the Environment, The Hashemite University, P.O. Box 330127, Zarqa 13133, Jordan
autor
- Industrial Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, Queen Rania Str., 11942 Amman, Jordan
autor
- Water, Energy and Environment Center, The University of Jordan, Queen Rania Str., 11942 Amman, Jordan
autor
- Civil Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, Queen Rania Str., 11942 Amman, Jordan
Bibliografia
- 1. Abdul Aziz, O., Burn D. 2006. Trends and Variability in the Hydrological Regime of the Mackenzie River Basin. Journal of Hydrology, 319(1–4), 282–294.
- 2. Abdulkareem, J., Sulaiman W. 2016. Trend analysis of precipitation data in flood source areas of Kelantan river basin. Jurnal Teknologi (Sciences & Engineering), 78, 115–127.
- 3. Abdulla, F., Eshtawi, T., Assaf, H. 2009. Assessment of the impact of potential climate change on the water balance of a semi-arid watershed. Water Resources Management, 23(10), 2051–2068.
- 4. Al-Houri, Z. 2014. Detecting Variability and Trends in Daily Rainfall Characteristics in Amman-Zarqa Basin, Jordan. International Journal of Applied Science and Technology, 4(6), 11.
- 5. Alpert, P., Krichak, O., Shafir, H., Haim, D., Osetinsky, I. 2008. Climatic trends to extremes employing regional modeling and statistical interpretation over the E. Mediterranean. Global and Planetary Change, 63(2–3), 163–170.
- 6. Bacanli, G. 2017. Trend analysis of precipitation and drought in the Aegean region, Turkey. Journal of Meteorological Applications, 24(2), 239–249.
- 7. Bani Domi, M. 2005. Trend Analysis of Temperatures and Precipitation in Jordan. Umm Al-Qura University Journal of Educational, Social Sciences & Humanities, 17.
- 8. Dahamsheh, A., Aksoy, H. 2007. Structural characteristics of annual precipitation data in Jordan. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 88, 201–212.
- 9. Giorgi, F., Lionello, P. 2008. Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region, Global and Planetary Change, 63(2–3), 90–104.
- 10. Hamdi, M., Abu-Allaban, M., Al-Shayeb, A., Jaber, M., Momani, N.M. 2009. Climate Change in Jordan: A Comprehensive Examination Approach. American Journal of Environmental Sciences, 5, 58–68.
- 11. Houghton, J., Jenkins, G., Ephramus, J. 1990. Climate change: the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
- 12. IPCC, 2007. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Core Writing Team, Pachauri R.K and Reisinger A. Geneva, Switzerland, 104.
- 13. Karabulut, M., Gurbuz, M., Korkmaz, H. 2008. Precipitation and temperature trend analysis in Samsun. Journal of International Environmental Application and Science, 3(5), 399–408.
- 14. Karavitis, C., Chortaria, C., Alexandris, S., Vasilakou, C., Tsesmelis, D. 2012. Development of the standardized precipitation index for Greece. Urban Water Journal, 9(6), 401–407.
- 15. Krichak, S.O., Alpert, P. 2005. Decadal trends in the east Atlantic-west Russia pattern and Mediterranean precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, 25(2), 183–192.
- 16. Lange, M.A. 2019. Impacts of Climate Change on the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East and North Africa Region and the Water–Energy Nexus. Atmosphere, 10, 455.
- 17. Mckee, T., Doesken, N., Kleist, J. 1993. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: Proceedings of the 8th conference on applied climatology, 17–22 Jan., Anaheim, California, USA.
- 18. Mishra, A.K., Singh, V.P. 2010. A review of drought concepts, J. Hydrol., 391, 202–216.
- 19. Mohammad A.H, Shatanawi, K., Odeh, T. 2016. A modified modeling of potentiality and vulnerability of the groundwater resources in Amman Zarqa Basin, Jordan. Kuwait J. Sci., 43(1), 208–221.
- 20. Mohammad, A.H., Jung, H.C., Odeh, T., Bhuiyan, C., Hussein, H. 2018. Understanding the impact of droughts in the Yarmouk basin, Jordan: Monitoring droughts through meteorological and hydrological drought indices. Arab. J. Geosci., 11, 103.
- 21. Montgomery, D.C., Jennings, C.L., Kulahci, M. 2015. Introduction to time series analysis and forecasting. John Wiley & Sons.
- 22. Paulo, A., Pereira, L. 2006. Drought concepts and characterization. Comparing drought indices, Water Int., 31, 37–49.
- 23. Paulo, A., Pereira, L. 2008. Stochastic prediction of drought class transitions, Water Resour. Manage, 22, 1277–1296.
- 24. Rustum, R., Adeloye, A.J., Mwale, F. 2017. Spatial and temporal Trend Analysis of Long Term rainfall records in data-poor catchments with missing data, a case study of Lower Shire floodplain in Malawi for the Period 1953–2010. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 1–30.
- 25. Shammout, M., Shatanawi M., Naber S. 2013. Participatory Optimization Scenario for Water Resources Management: A case from Jordan. Water Resour. Manage.
- 26. Shatanawi, M.R., Shammout M.W. 2011. Supply-Demand Modeling of Water Resources in Zarqa River Basin in Jordan. International Journal of Applied Environmental Sciences, 6(3), 261–278.
- 27. Singh, V.P. 1994. Elementary Hydrology. Prentice Hall of India: New Delhi.
- 28. Somsubhra C., Edwards D.R. 2016. Long-Term Trend Analysis of Precipitation and Air Temperature for Kentucky, United States. Climate, 4(1), 10.
- 29. Trenberth, K.E. 2008. The impact of climate change and variability on heavy precipitation, floods, and droughts. Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences (eds M.G. Anderson, J.J. McDonnells). New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons, 2–11.
- 30. Zhang, Z., Xu, C., Young, B., Hu, J., Sun, Z. 2012. Understanding the changing characteristic of drought in Sudan and the corresponding components of the hydrologic cycle. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 13, 1520–1530.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-92d4fbb9-b024-466f-8b73-c031661a741f