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Tytuł artykułu

Economic conditions and bank performance : evidence from pre-war, transition and post-war economy in Iraq

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Warianty tytułu
PL
Warunki gospodarcze a działalność banku : dowody z gospodarki przedwojennej, przejściowej i powojennej w Iraku
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Studies have shown that macroeconomic factors are key determinants of bank performance. However, in the case of war-torn Iraq the effect of economic conditions deems to have significant impact on bank performance. Thus, this study examines the relationship between macroeconomic variables and bank performance with the aim of establishing this relationship during pre-war, transition and the post-war periods in Iraq. This study used data of 32 banks for the periods 1993 to 2018. By applying the Augmented Dickey Fuller and Co-Integration testing, the findings showed a mixed effect of macroeconomic variables on bank performance among the periods. In the long run, Gross Domestic Product has positive effect on the bank performance during all periods, while interest rates have mixed effects on bank performance during the periods. However, exchange rate is insignificant to the performance of Iraqi banks. This study suggests that banks need to implement policies that would enable them to efficiently and effectively exploit the gains of macroeconomic variables to avert its effect on their performance.
PL
Badania wykazały, że czynniki makroekonomiczne są kluczowymi determinantami wyników banków. Jednak w przypadku rozdartego wojną Iraku wpływ warunków ekonomicznych wydaje się mieć znaczący wpływ na wyniki banków. W związku z tym niniejsze badanie analizuje związek między zmiennymi makroekonomicznymi a wynikami banków w celu ustalenia tego związku w okresie przedwojennym, przejściowym i powojennym w Iraku. W badaniu tym wykorzystano dane 32 banków za okresy od 1993 do 2018 roku. Dzięki zastosowaniu testów Augmented Dickey Fuller i Co-Integration, wyniki wykazały mieszany wpływ zmiennych makroekonomicznych na wyniki banków w poszczególnych okresach. W dłuższej perspektywie produkt krajowy brutto ma pozytywny wpływ na wyniki banków we wszystkich okresach, podczas gdy stopy procentowe mają mieszany wpływ na wyniki banków w tych okresach. Jednak kurs walutowy ma niewielkie znaczenie dla wyników irackich banków. Badanie to sugeruje, że banki muszą wdrożyć politykę, która umożliwiłaby im wydajne i efektywne wykorzystanie korzyści płynących ze zmiennych makroekonomicznych, aby uniknąć ich wpływu na ich wyniki.
Rocznik
Strony
452--469
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 35 poz., tab.
Twórcy
  • Finance and Banking Department Al-Imam Al-Kadhum College, Iraq
  • Finance and Banking Department Al-Imam Al-Kadhum College, Iraq
Bibliografia
  • 1. Anbar, A., Alper, D., (2011). Bank specific and macroeconomic determinants of commercial bank profitability: Empirical evidence from Turkey. Business and Economics Research Journal, 2(2), 139-152.
  • 2. Babazadeh, M. Farrokhnejad, F., (2012). Effects of Short-run and Long-run Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates on Banks' Profit. International Journal of Business and Management. 7 (17), 18-33.
  • 3. Bashir, A.-H. M., (2003). Determinants of Profitability in Islamic Banks: Some Evidence From The Middle East. Islamic Economic Studies, 11(1), 32-57.
  • 4. Bartram, S. M., Karolyi, G. A., (2006). The Impact of the Introduction Of The Euro On Foreign Exchange Rate Risk Exposures. Journal of Empirical Finance, 13 (4-5), 519-549.
  • 5. Bildersee, J. S., Roberts, G. S., (1981). Beta instability when interest rate levels change. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 16(3), 375-380.
  • 6. Bourke, P., (1989). Concentration and other determinants of bank profitability in Europe, North America and Australia. Journal of Banking and Finance, 13(1), 65-79.
  • 7. Demirguc-Kunt, A., Huizinga, H., (1999). Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest Margins and Profitability: Some International Evidence. The World Bank Economic Review, 13(2), 379-408.
  • 8. Dudchenko, V., Goncharenko, T., Didenko, O. and Olejarz, T., (2020). Banking regulation in ensuring bank's efficiency: Looking through different forms of ownership. Journal of International Studies, 13(1).
  • 9. Goddard, J., Molyneux, P. and Wilson, J. O., (2004). Dynamics of Growth and Profitability in Banking. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 36(6), 1069-1090.
  • 10. Graham, J. R., Harvey, C. R., (2001). The theory and practice of corporate finance: evidence from the field. Journal of Financial Economics. 61. 1-28.
  • 11. Harris D. F., (1997). Stock Market and Development: A Reassessment. European Economic Review. (1), 156-163.
  • 12. Hassan, M. K., Bashir, A.-H. M., (2003). Determinants of Islamic banking profitability. Paper presented at the 10th ERF Annual Conference, Morocco.
  • 13. Hussain, H. I., Kamarudin, F., Mohamad Anwar, N. A., Nassir, A. M., Sufian, F. and Mang Tan, K., (2020). Impact of Country’s Governance Dimensions on Bank Revenue Efficiency: Overview on Middle East, Southeast Asia, and South Asia Countries, Transformations in Business & Economics, 19 (1), 191-228.
  • 14. Kader, R. A., Leong, Y. K., (2009). The impact of interest rate changes on Islamic bank financing. International Review of Business Research Papers, 5(3), 189-201.
  • 15. Kasman, S., Vardar, G. and Tunç, G., (2011). The impact of interest rate and exchange rate volatility on banks’ stock returns and volatility: Evidence from Turkey. Economic Modelling. 28. 1328-1334.
  • 16. Khrawish, H. A., Al-Sa’di, N. M., (2011). The Impact of E-banking on bank profitability: Evidence from Jordan. Middle Eastern Finance and Economics, (13), 142-158.
  • 17. Kim, K., (2003). Dollar exchange rate and stock price: evidence from multivariate cointegration and error correction model. Review of Financial Economics. 12. 301-313.
  • 18. Kliestikova, J., Misankova, M. and Kliestik, T., (2017). Bankruptcy in Slovakia: international comparison of the creditor’s position. Oeconomia Copernicana. 8(2), 221-237.
  • 19. Kosmidou, K., Pasiouras, F. and Tsaklanganos, A., (2007). Domestic and multinational determinants of foreign bank profits: The case of Greek banks operating abroad. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 17(1), 1-15.
  • 20. Lipsey, R. G. & Chrystal, K. A., (2007). Economics. United States: Oxford University Press.
  • 21. Luft, L., (2018). Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Banking Profitabilty. International Finance and Banking, 5(1), 44-69.
  • 22. Mamatzakis, E. C. & Remoundos, P. C., (2003). Determinants of Greek Commercial Banks Profitability, 1989-2000. 53(1), 85-94.
  • 23. Memmel, C., (2011). Banks’ exposure to interest rate risk, their earnings from term transformation, and the dynamics of the term structure. Journal of Banking & Finance. 35. 282-289.
  • 24. Milhem, M. M., Abadeh, I. A., (2018). The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Banks Profitability and Liquidity: An Empirical Study on Islamic and Conventional Banks in Jordan. Journal of Economic & Management Perspectives, 12(2), 306-318.
  • 25. Molyneux, P., Thornton, J., (1992). Determinants of European bank profitability: A note. Journal of Banking and Finance, 16(6), 1173-1178.
  • 26. Musa, H., Natorin, V., Musova, Z. and Durana, P., (2020). Comparison of the efficiency measurement of the conventional and Islamic banks. Oeconomia Copernicana, 11(1), 29-58.
  • 27. Osamwonyi, I. O., Michael, Ch. I., (2014), The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Profitability of Listed Commercial Banks in Nigeria, European Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance Research, 2(10), 85-95.
  • 28. Samuelson, P. A., (1945). The effect of interest rate on the banking system. The American Economic Review, 16-27.
  • 29. Staikouras, C. K., Wood, G. E., (2004). The determinants of European bank profitability. International Business & Economics Research Journal, 3(6), 57-68.
  • 30. Tan, Y., Floros, C., (2012). Bank profitability and GDP growth in China: A note. Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies. 10. 267-273.
  • 31. Teng, K. Y. et al., (2012). The Determinants Of Islamic Banks Profitability In Malaysia. Journal of Business and Finance Malaysia, 2(3), 25-58.
  • 32. Thaker, H. M. T., Sakaran, K., Nanairan, N., Thaker, M. M. T. and Hussain, H. I., (2020). Drivers of loyalty among non-Muslims towards Islamic banking in Malaysia: Evidence from SmartPLS, International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 13 (2), 281-302.
  • 33. Tinoco Zermeño, M. Á., Venegas Martínez, F. and Torres Preciado, V. H., (2018). Effects of inflation on financial sector performance: New evidence from panel quantile regressions. Investigación Económica, vol. LXXVII, num. 303, 94-129.
  • 34. Wadhwani, S. B., (1986). Inflation, bankruptcy, default premia and the stock market. The Economic Journal, 96(381), 120-138.
  • 35. Zeitun, R., Tian, G. and Keen, K., (2007). Default probability for the Jordanian companies: A test of cash flow theory. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 8, 147-149.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2021).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-9067a64f-1bb4-4e5e-864b-910f60ba036e
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