Global experience on irrigation management under different scenarios

• Autorzy: Valipour M.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/jwld-2017-0011

Warianty tytułu

PL

Globalne doświadczenie w zarządzaniu nawodnieniami z różnymi scenariuszami

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This study aims to assess global experience on agricultural water management under different scenarios. The results showed that trend of permanent crops to cultivated area, human development index (HDI), irrigation water requirement, and percent of total cultivated area drained is increasing and trend of rural population to total population, total economically active population in agriculture to total economically active population, value added to gross domestic production (GDP) by agriculture, and the difference between national rainfall index (NRI) and irrigation water requirement is decreasing. The estimating of area equipped for irrigation in 2035 and 2060 were studied acc. to the three scenarios: I – the values of the main indices would be changed by the same slope of the past half of century, II and III – the slopes would be decreased by 30% and 50% respectively. The minimum and maximum values of pressure on renewable water resources by irrigation, are related to the third and first scenarios by 2035 (6.1%) and 2060 (9.2%), respectively.

PL

Celem badań była ocena doświadczenia w zarządzaniu wodą w rolnictwie z różnymi scenariuszami. Zaobserwowano rosnący trend trwałych upraw na obszarach rolniczych, zwiększenie indeksu rozwoju społecznego (HDI – ang. human development index), zapotrzebowania na wodę do nawodnień i udziału drenowanych obszarów rolniczych oraz malejący trend udziału ludności wiejskiej, udziału ludności gospodarczo zaangażowanej w rolnictwie w stosunku do całkowitej liczby ludności aktywnej zawodowo, zwiększenie udziału w gospodarce wartości dodanej brutto w rolnictwie oraz zwiększenie różnicy między wskaźnikiem opadu (NRI – ang. national rainfall index) a zapotrzebowaniem na wodę do nawodnień. Powierzchnię do nawodnień planowaną na lata 2035 i 2060 r. oszacowano według trzech scenariuszy: I – wartości głównych wskaźników będą zmieniały się w taki sam sposób przez pół wieku, II i III – zmniejszenie wskaźników będzie następowało odpowiednio z nachyleniem 30 i 50%. Minimalne i maksymalne wartości presji nawodnień na zasoby wodne w odniesieniu do scenariusza trzeciego do 2035 r. i pierwszego do 2060 r. wynosiły odpowiednio 6,1% i 9,2%.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

irrigation; sustainable agriculture; water; world agriculture

PL

nawadnianie; światowe rolnictwo; woda; zrównoważone rolnictwo

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo ITP
• Czasopismo: Journal of Water and Land Development
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: no. 32
• Strony: 95--102
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 69 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Valipour M.

• Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah Branch, Young Researchers and Elite Club, Imam Khomeini Campus, Farhikhtegan Bld. Shahid Jafari St., Kermanshah, Iran

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Uwagi

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).