Probabilistic gas transmission network simulator and application to the EU gas transmission system

• Autorzy: Kopustinskas V. , Praks P.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper describes the methodology approach and the results obtained by the probabilistic gas network simulator ProGasNet software tool. The ProGasNet has been applied to a number of test cases, all based on real gas transmission networks of the EU countries. Various types of analysis have been performed: reliability, vulnerability, security of supply and various types of results have been reported: supply reliability estimates, time-dependent storage discharge effect, quantitative effects of new infrastructure, security of supply under different disruption scenarios. The ProGasNet model provides an indication of the worst networks nodes in terms of security of supply and provides their numerical ranking. The model is very powerful to compare and evaluate different supply options, new network development plans and analyse potential crisis situations

Słowa kluczowe

EN

gas network; energy security; reliability; Monte Carlo

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: Vol. 6, No. 3
• Strony: 71--78
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 21 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Kopustinskas V.

• European Commission, DG Joint Research Centre Institute for Energy and Transport, Energy Security, Systems and Market Unit, Ispra, Italy

autor

Praks P.

• European Commission, DG Joint Research Centre Institute for Energy and Transport, Energy Security, Systems and Market Unit, Ispra, Italy

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