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Dynamic rating method of traction network based on wind speed prediction

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The operating temperature of the transmission line in the traction network is affected by geographical and climatic factors, especially the wind speed. To make better use of the thermal stability transmission capacity of the traction power supply system in improving the short-term emergency transmission capacity, the dynamic rating technology is introduced into the traction power supply system. According to the time-varying characteristics of the actual wind speed, a dynamic rating method of the traction network based on wind speed prediction is proposed and constructed. Based on the time series model in predicting the wind speed series along the corridor of the traction network, the temperature curve of each transmission line under different currents is calculated by combining it with the heat balance equation of an IEEE-738 capacity expansion model, thus the relationship between the peak operating temperature and current of each transmission line in the prediction period is obtained. According to the current distribution coefficient, the capacity increase limit of the traction network is determined. The example shows that the proposed dynamic rating method based on wind speed prediction is an effective method to predict the short-term safe capacity increase limit of the traction network, which can increase the comprehensive capacity of the traction network by about 45% in the next six hours, and the capacity increase effect is obvious, which can provide reference and technical support for short-term emergency dispatching of traction power supply dispatching centres.
Rocznik
Strony
379--395
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 18 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University China
  • School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University China
autor
  • School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University China
  • School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University China
Bibliografia
  • [1] Arroyo A., Castro P., Manana M., Domingo R., Laso A., CO2 footprint reduction and efficiency increase using the dynamic rate in overhead powerlines connected to wind farms, Applied Thermal Engineering, vol. 130, pp. 1156–1162 (2018), DOI: 10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2017.11.095.
  • [2] Sheng G., Qian Y., Luo L., Liu Y., Jiang X., Key Technologies and Application Prospects for Operation and Maintenance of Power Equipment in New Type Power System, High Voltage Engineering, vol. 47, no. 9, pp. 3072–3084 (2021), DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20211258.
  • [3] Zhang Q., Qian Z., Study on Real-Time Dynamic Capacity-Increase of Transmission Line, Power System Technology, vol. 19, pp. 48–51 (2005), DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-9529.2005.07.001.
  • [4] Sun L., Zhang R., Tian M., Zhang H.,Wang L., Calculation Method of Permissible Carrying Capacity of OCS Considering the Influence of Geographical and Climatic Factors and its Application, Power System Technology, vol. 45, no. 5, pp. 1958–1966 (2021), DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2020.0740.
  • [5] Yan H.,Wang Y., Zhou X., Liang L., Yin Z.,WangW., Dynamic thermal rating of overhead transmission lines based on GRAPES numerical weather forecast, Journal of Information Processing Systems, vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 724–736 (2019), DOI: 10.3745/JIPS.04.0122.
  • [6] Fu S., Cai F., Wang M., Jin X., Zhang Q., Han X., Dynamic capacity increase method of overhead line using practical regional weather data, Electric Power Automation Equipment, vol. 41, no. 2, pp. 207–212 (2021), DOI: 10.16081/j.epae.202012020.
  • [7] Ma L., Development of Artificial Intelligence Technology in Weather Forecast, Advances in Earth Science, vol. 35, no. 6, pp. 551–560 (2020), DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2020.053.
  • [8] Yu M., Zhu J.,Yang L., Short-termload prediction model combiningFEWand IHS algorithm, Archives of Electrical Engineering, vol. 68, no. 4, pp. 907–923 (2019), DOI: 10.24425/aee.2019.130691.
  • [9] Zhang J.,Wu M., Calculation method of OCS ampacity for electric railway, Journal of China Railway Society, vol. 37, no. 12, pp. 40–45 (2015), DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.10018360.2015.12.007.
  • [10] Li Q., He J., Analysis of traction power supply system, Chengdu: Southwest Jiaotong University Press (2007).
  • [11] IEEE Standard for Calculating the Current-Temperature Relationship of Bare Overhead Conductors, IEEE Std 738–2012 (Revision of IEEE Std 738-2006 – Incorporates IEEE Std 738-2012 Cor 1-2013) (2013).
  • [12] Zhan J., Chung C.Y., Demeter E., Time Series Modeling for Dynamic Thermal Rating of Overhead Lines, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 2172–2182 (2017), DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS. 2016.2596285.
  • [13] Liu Z., Deng H., Peng R., Peng X.,Wang R., ZhengW.,Wang P., Guo D., Liu G., An Equivalent Heat Transfer Model Instead of Wind Speed Measuring for Dynamic Thermal Rating of Transmission Lines, Energies, vol. 13, no. 18, 4679 (2020), DOI: 10.3390/en13184679.
  • [14] Meng T., Zhang H., Wind speed short-term forecast for wind farms based on ARIMA model, Science Technology and Engineering, vol. 13, no. 33, pp. 9813–9818 (2013).
  • [15] Zhang S., Zeng J., Zhang H., Wang J., Application of time series model to prediction of wind speed in wind field, Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, vol. 47, no. 12, pp. 132–135 (2016).
  • [16] Ding T., Feng D., Lin X., Chen J., Chen L., Ultra-short-term wind speed forecasting based on improved ARIMA-GARCH model, Power System Technology, vol. 41, no. 6, pp. 1808–1814 (2017), DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2016.2357.
  • [17] Bumham K.P., Anderson D.R., Multimodel inference understanding AIC and BIC in model selection, Sociological Methods and Research (2004).
  • [18] Tangirala A.K., Principles of System Identification: Theory and Practice, Boca Raton, FL, USA: CRC Press (2015).
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-84de0613-6981-4cc3-9975-99e04a45e5af
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