Application of the Triple Diagram Method in forecasting lake water level, on the example of Lake Charzykowskie

• Autorzy: Piasecki Adam , Witkowski Wojciech T.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/jwld.2021.139009

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The work focused on forecasting changes in lake water level. The study employed the Triple Diagram Method (TDM) using geostatistical tools. TDM estimates the value by information from an earlier two periods of observation, refers as lags. The best results were obtained for data with an average a 1-week lag. At the significance level of 1σ, a the forecast error of ±2 cm was obtained. Using separate data for warm and cold months did not improve the efficiency of TDM. At the same time, analysis of observations from warm and cold months explained trends visible in the distribution of year-round data. The methodology, built on case study and proposed evaluation criteria, may function as a universal solution. The proposed methodology can be used to effectively manage water-level fluctuations both in postglacial lakes and in any case of water-level fluctuation.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

geostatistics; kriging; lake; Lake Charzykowskie; water level forecasting; water resources; Triple Diagram Method; TDM

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo ITP
• Czasopismo: Journal of Water and Land Development
• Rocznik: 2021
• Tom: no. 51
• Strony: 11--16
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 16 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Piasecki Adam

• Nicolaus Copernicus University, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Spatial Management, ul. Lwowska 1, 87-100, Toruń, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8787-7520

autor

Witkowski Wojciech T.

• AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Mine Surveying and Environmental Engineering, Krakow, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1042-4213

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).