PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
Tytuł artykułu

Predicting banking stock prices using RNN, LSTM, and GRU approach

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
In recent years, the implementation of machine learning applications started to apply in other possible fields, such as economics, especially investment. But, many methods and modeling are used without knowing the most suitable one for predicting particular data. This study aims to find the most suitable model for predicting stock prices using statistical learning with Arima Box-Jenkins, RNN, LSTM, and GRU deep learning methods using stock price data for 4 (four) major banks in Indonesia, namely BRI, BNI, BCA, and Mandiri, from 2013 to 2022. The result showed that the ARIMA Box-Jenkins modeling is unsuitable for predicting BRI, BNI, BCA, and Bank Mandiri stock prices. In comparison, GRU presented the best performance in the case of predicting the stock prices of BRI, BNI, BCA, and Bank Mandiri. The limitation of this research was data type was only time series data. It limits our instrument to four statistical methode only.
Rocznik
Strony
82--94
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 36 poz., fig., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • , Universitas Brawijaya, Faculty of Economy and Business, Departemen of Economics, Indonesia
Bibliografia
  • [1] Acheampong, P., Agalega, E., & Shibu, A. K. (2014). The effect of financial leverage and market size on stock returns on the ghana stock exchange: Evidence from Selected Stocks in the Manufacturing Sector. International Journal of Financial Research, 5(1), 125-134. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v5n1p125
  • [2] Ahmad, G. I., Singla, J., Ali, A., Reshi, A. A., & Salameh, A. A. (2022). Machine learning techniques for sentiment analysis of code-mixed and switched indian social media text corpus: A comprehensive review. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 13(2), 455–467. https://doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2022.0130254
  • [3] Almalaq, A., & Edwards, G. (2017). A review of deep learning methods applied on load forecasting. Proceedings - 16th IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications (pp. 511–516). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMLA.2017.0-110
  • [4] Bank Indonesia. (2022). Policy Synergy and Innovation to Maintain Financial System Stability and Support National Economic Growth.
  • [5] Bhatt, G., Bansal, H., Singh, R., & Agarwal, S. (2020). How much complexity does an RNN architecture need to learn syntax-sensitive dependencies? Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Student Research Workshop (pp. 244–254). Association for Computational Linguistics. https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2020.acl-srw.33
  • [6] Bibi, I., Akhunzada, A., Malik, J., Iqbal, J., Mussaddiq, A., & Kim, S. (2020). A dynamic DL-driven architecture to combat sophisticated android malware. IEEE Access, 8, 129600–129612. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3009819
  • [7] Ding, G., & Qin, L. (2020). Study on the prediction of stock price based on the associated network model of LSTM. International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 11(6), 1307–1317. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13042-019-01041-1
  • [8] Ghenimi, A., Chaibi, H., & Omri, M. A. B. (2021). Liquidity risk determinants: Islamic vs conventional banks. International Journal of Law and Management, 63(1), 65–95. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJLMA-03-2018-0060
  • [9] Gupta, U., Bhattacharjee, V., & Bishnu, P. S. (2022). StockNet—GRU based stock index prediction. Expert Systems with Applications, 207(March 2021), 117986. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.117986
  • [10] IDX (2023). https://www.idx.co.id/id. Retrieved March, 18 2023.
  • [11] Jahan, I., & Sajal, S. (2018). Stock price prediction using recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm on time-series data. In 2018 Midwest Instruction and Computing Symposium. The College of St Scholastica.
  • [12] Jarrah, M., & Salim, N. (2019). A recurrent neural network and a discrete wavelet transform to predict the Saudi stock price trends. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 10(4), 155–162. https://doi.org/10.14569/ijacsa.2019.0100418
  • [13] Khan, M., Wang, H., Riaz, A., Elfatyany, A., & Karim, S. (2021). Bidirectional LSTM-RNN-based hybrid deep learning frameworks for univariate time series classification. Journal of Supercomputing, 77(7), 7021–
  • [14] Le, T. H., Chuc, A. T., & Taghizadeh-Hesary, F. (2019). Financial inclusion and its impact on financial efficiency and sustainability: Empirical evidence from Asia. Borsa Istanbul Review, 19(4), 310–322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2019.07.002
  • [15] Linardatos, P., Papastefanopoulos, V., & Kotsiantis, S. (2021). Explainable ai: A review of machine learning interpretability methods. Entropy, 23(1), 18. https://doi.org/10.3390/e23010018
  • [16] Ludwig, S. A. (2019). Comparison of Time Series Approaches applied to Greenhouse Gas Analysis: ANFIS, RNN, and LSTM. IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems, (pp. 1–6). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2019.8859013
  • [17] Madge, S., & Bhatt, S. (2015). Predicting Stock Price Direction using Support Vector Machines. https://github.com/SaahilMadge/Spring-2015-IW
  • [18] Moghar, A., & Hamiche, M. (2020). Stock market prediction using LSTM recurrent neural network. Procedia Computer Science, 170, 1168–1173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2020.03.049
  • [19] Najafabadi, M. M., Villanustre, F., Khoshgoftaar, T. M., Seliya, N., Wald, R., & Muharemagic, E. (2015). Deep learning applications and challenges in big data analytics. Journal of Big Data, 2(1), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-014-0007-7
  • [20] Qin, H. (2019). Comparison of Deep learning models on time series forecasting : a case study of Dissolved Oxygen Prediction. ArXiv, arXiv:1911.08414. http://arxiv.org/abs/1911.08414
  • [21] Ringmu, H. S., & Oumar, S. B. (2022). Forecasting stock prices in the New York stock exchange. Journal of Economics Bibliography, 9(1), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1453/jeb.v9i1.2269
  • [22] Sezer, O. B., Gudelek, M. U., & Ozbayoglu, A. M. (2020). Financial time series forecasting with deep learning: A systematic literature review: 2005–2019. Applied Soft Computing Journal, 90, 106181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2020.106181
  • [23] Shahi, T. B., Shrestha, A., Neupane, A., & Guo, W. (2020). Stock price forecasting with deep learning: A comparative study. Mathematics, 8(9), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8091441
  • [24] Shumway, R. H., & Stoffer, D. S. (2019). Time Series: A Data Analysis Approach Using R. CRC Press.
  • [25] Tembhurne, J. V., & Diwan, T. (2021). Sentiment analysis in textual, visual and multimodal inputs using recurrent neural networks. Multimedia Tools and Applications, 80(5), 6871–6910. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11042-020-10037-x
  • [26] Taud, H., & Mas, J. F. (2018). Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) BT. Geomatic Approaches for Modeling Land Change Scenarios (pp. 451–455). Springer.
  • [27] Tsai, Y. T., Zeng, Y. R., & Chang, Y. S. (2018). Air pollution forecasting using rnn with lstm. Proceedings - IEEE 16th International Conference on Dependable, Autonomic and Secure Computing, IEEE 16th International Conference on Pervasive Intelligence and Computing, IEEE 4th International Conference on Big Data Intelligence and Computing and IEEE 3rd Cyber Science and Technology Congress, DASC-PICom-DataCom-CyberSciTec 2018, (pp. 1068–1073). https://doi.org/10.1109/DASC/PiCom/DataCom/CyberSciTec.2018.00178
  • [28] Utomo, D. (2017). Stock price prediction using back propagation neural network based on gradient descent with momentum and adaptive learning rate. Journal of Internet Banking and Commerce, 22(3), 16.
  • [29] Wei, W. W. S. (2006). Time series analysis: univariate and multivariate methods. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 86(413), 245-246. https://doi.org/10.2307/2289741
  • [30] Wei, X., Zhang, L., Yang, H. Q., Zhang, L., & Yao, Y. P. (2021). Machine learning for pore-water pressure time-series prediction: Application of recurrent neural networks. Geoscience Frontiers, 12(1), 453–467. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2020.04.011
  • [31] Wibowo, J. M. (2020). Lockdown Generation: Pengangguran di Masa COVID-19. Pusat Riset Kependudukan.
  • [32] Wu, C. H., Lu, C. C., Ma, Y. F., & Lu, R. S. (2019). A new forecasting framework for bitcoin price with LSTM. IEEE International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (pp. 168–175). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICDMW.2018.00032
  • [33] Yadav, O., Cynara, G., Abhishek, K., & Abhishek, Y. (2019). Inflation prediction model using machine learning. International Journal of Information and Computing Science, 6(5), 121–128.
  • [34] Yadav, A., Jha, C. K., & Sharan, A. (2020). Optimizing LSTM for time series prediction in Indian stock market. Procedia Computer Science, 167, 2091–2100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2020.03.257
  • [35] Yang, C., & Guo, S. (2021). Inflation prediction method based on deep learning. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience, 2021, 1071145. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/1071145
  • [36] Zainab, M., Usmani, A. R., Mehrban, S., & Hussain, M. (2019). FPGA Based Implementations of RNN and CNN: A Brief Analysis. 3rd International Conference on Innovative Computing (pp. 1-8). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICIC48496.2019.8966676
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-8234e02e-c077-4576-b6a9-521eff116344
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.