Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

Kundzewicz, Z. W.; Piniewski, M.; Mezghani, A.; Okruszko, T.; Pińskwar, I.; Kardel, I.; Hov, Ø.; Szcześniak, M.; Szwed, M.; Benestad, R. E; Marcinkowski, P.; Graczyk, D.; Dobler, A.; Førland, E. J.; O’Keefe, J.; Choryński, A.; Parding, K. M.; Haugen, J. E.

doi:10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

Autorzy

Kundzewicz Z. W. , Piniewski M. , Mezghani A. , Okruszko T. , Pińskwar I. , Kardel I. , Hov Ø. , Szcześniak M. , Szwed M. , Benestad R. E , Marcinkowski P. , Graczyk D. , Dobler A. , Førland E. J. , O’Keefe J. , Choryński A. , Parding K. M. , Haugen J. E.

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.

Słowa kluczowe

climate change climate change impact projections Poland

zmiana klimatu wpływ zmiany klimatu prognozy Polska

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2018

Tom

Vol. 66, no. 6

Strony

1509--1523

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 48 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Kundzewicz Z. W.

Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany

autor

Piniewski M.

Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), Warsaw, Poland
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany

autor

Mezghani A.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

Okruszko T.

Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), Warsaw, Poland

autor

Pińskwar I.

iwona.pinskwar@isrl.poznan.pl

Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland

autor

Kardel I.

Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), Warsaw, Poland

autor

Hov Ø.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

Szcześniak M.

Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), Warsaw, Poland

autor

Szwed M.

Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland

autor

Benestad R. E

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

Marcinkowski P.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

Graczyk D.

Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland

autor

Dobler A.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

Førland E. J.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

O’Keefe J.

Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), Warsaw, Poland

autor

Choryński A.

Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland

autor

Parding K. M.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

autor

Haugen J. E.

Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway), Oslo, Norway

Bibliografia

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34. Piniewski M, Mezghani A, Szcześniak M et al (2017b) Regional projections of temperature and precipitation changes: robustness and uncertainty aspects. Meteorol Z 26(2):223–234
35. Piniewski M, Szcześniak M, Huang S, Kundzewicz ZW (2017c) Projections of runoff in the Vistula and the Odra river basins with the help of the SWAT model. Hydrol Res. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2017.280
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40. Piniewski M, Marcinkowski P, O’Keeffe J et al (2018b) Model-based reconstruction and projections of soil moisture anomalies and crop losses in Poland. Agric For Meteorol (submitted)
41. Pińskwar I, Dobler A (2018) Observed and projected changes in heavy precipitation in Poland. Met Hydrol Water Manag (submitted)
42. Pińskwar I, Choryński A, Graczyk D, Kundzewicz ZW (2018a) Observed changes in extreme precipitation in Poland: 1991–2015 versus 1961–1990. Theor Appl Climatol. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2372-1
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46. Szwed M, Pińskwar I, Kundzewicz ZW et al (2017) Changes of snow cover in Poland. Acta Geophys 65(1):65–76
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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

bwmeta1.element.baztech-81d3a6d5-f76f-4524-9d1a-54c920257286