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Characteristics of cyclones causing extreme sea levels in the northern Baltic Sea

Autorzy
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The basic parameters of extra-tropical cyclones in the northern Baltic are examined in relation to extreme sea level events at Estonian coastal stations between 1948 and 2010. The hypothesis whether extreme sea level events might be caused not by one intense extra-tropical cyclone, as suggested by earlier researchers, but by the temporal clustering of cyclones in a certain trajectory corridor, is tested. More detailed analysis of atmospheric conditions at the time of the two most extreme cases support this concept: the sequence of 5 cyclones building up the extreme sea level within about 10 days was very similar in structure and periodicity.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
241--258
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 19 poz., rys., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
  • Institute of Physics, University of Tartu, Ülikooli 18, Tartu 50090, Estonia
autor
  • Marine Systems Institute, Tallinn University of Technology, Akadeemia tee 15a, Tallinn 12618, Estonia
Bibliografia
  • [1]. Averkiev A. S., Klevannyy K. A., 2010, A case study of the impact of cyclonic trajectories on sea-level extremes in the Gulf of Finland, Cont. Shelf Res., 30 (6), 707-714, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2009.10.010
  • [2]. Grigoriev S., Gulev S. K., Zolina O., 2000, Innovative software facilitates cyclone tracking and analysis, EOS T. Am. Geophys. UN., 81 (16), 170-170, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/00EO00117
  • [3]. Gulev S. K., Zolina O., Grigoriev S., 2001, Extratropical cyclone variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, Clim. Dynam., 17 (10), 795-809, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s003820000145
  • [4]. Hoskins B. J., Hodges K. I., 2002, New perspectives on the northern hemisphere winter storm tracks, J. Atmos. Sci., 59 (6), 1041-1061, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<1041:NPOTNH>2.0.CO;2
  • [5]. Kalnay E., Kanamitsu M., Kistler R., Collins W., Deaven D., Gandin L., Iredell M., Saha S., White G., Woollen J., Zhu Y., Leetmaa A., Reynolds R., Chelliah M., Ebisuzaki W., Higgins W., Janowiak J., Mo K. C., Ropelewski C., Wang J., Jenne J., Joseph D., 1996, The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year reanalysis project, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 77 (3), 437-472, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
  • [6]. Lagemaa P., Elken J., Kõuts T., 2011, Operational sea level forecasting in Estonia, Est. J. Eng., 17 (4), 301-331, http://dx.doi.org/10.3176/eng.2011.4.03
  • [7]. Link P., Post P., 2007, Spatial and temporal variance of cyclones in the Baltic Sea region, [in:] COST Action 733, O.-E. Tveito & M. Pasqui Proc. 5th an. meet. Europ. Meteorol. Soc. Session AW8 ‘Weather types classiffications’, (EUR 22594), Europ. Commun., Luxemburg, 69-76.
  • [8]. Luhamaa A., Kimmel K., Männik A., Rõõm R., 2011, High resolution re-analysis for the Baltic Sea region during 1965-2005 period, Clim. Dynam., 36 (3-4), 727-738, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0842-y
  • [9]. Mailier P. J., Stephenson D. B., Ferro C. A. T., Hodges K. I., 2006, Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones, Mon. Weather Rev., 134 (8), 2224-2240, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR3160.1
  • [10]. Raudsepp U., Toompuu A., Kõuts T., 1999, A stochastic model for the sea level in the Estonian coastal area, J. Marine Syst., 22 (1), 69-87, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0924-7963(99)00031-7
  • [11]. Raudsepp U., Elken J., Kõuts T., Liblik T., Kikas V., Lagemaa P., Uiboupin R., 2007, Forecasting skills of the HIROMB in the Gulf of Finland, Geophys. Res. Abstr., EGU Vol. 9, 10617.
  • [12]. Roebber P. J., 1984, Statistical analysis and updated climatology of explosive cyclones, Mon. Weather Rev., 112 (8), 1577-1589, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1984)112<1577:SAAUCO>2.0.CO;2
  • [13]. Suursaar Ü., Jaagus J., Kullas T., Tõnisson H., 2011, Estimation of sea level rise and storm surge risks along the coast of Estonia, Baltic Sea - a tool for coastal management, Littoral 2010, 12005, http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/litt/201112005
  • [14]. Suursaar Ü., Kullas T., Otsmann M., 2002, A model study of the sea level variations in the Gulf of Riga and the Väinameri Sea, Cont. Shelf Res., 22 (14), 2001-2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0278-4343(02)00046-8
  • [15]. Suursaar Ü., Kullas T., Otsmann M., Kõuts T., 2003, Extreme sea level events in the coastal waters of western Estonia, J. Sea Res., 49 (4), 295-303, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1385-1101(03)00022-4
  • [16]. Suursaar Ü., Kullas T., Otsmann M., Saaremaë I., Kuik J., Merilain M., 2006, Cyclone Gudrun in January 2005 and modelling its hydrodynamic consequences in the Estonian coastal waters, Boreal Environ. Res., 11 (2), 143-159.
  • [17]. Suursaar Ü., Kullas T., Szava-Kovats R., 2010, Wind-and wave storms, storm surges and sea level rise along the Estonian coast of the Baltic Sea. Ravage of the Planet II, WIT Trans. Ecol. Environ., 127, 149-160, http://dx.doi.org/0.2495/RAV090131
  • [18]. Vitolo R., Stephenson D. B., Cook I. M., Mitchell-Wallace K., 2009, Serial clustering of intense European storms, Meteorol. Z., 18 (4), 411-424, http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2009/0393
  • [19]. Wiśniewski B., Wolski T., 2011, Physical aspects of extreme storm surges and falls on the Polish coast, Oceanologia, 53 (1-TI), 373-390, http://dx.doi.org/10.5697/oc.53-1-TI.373
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-7cacbeb0-04ac-4127-b87f-1aa78a4eebcf
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