PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
Tytuł artykułu

Monthly and Annual Precipitation in Arid Environment of the Daoura Watershed (South-Eastern Morocco) – Homogenization and Trend Analysis

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The high variability of the sub-desert climate, especially in the south-eastern region of Morocco, has severe socio-economic impacts on the inhabitant’s way of life, as is the case in the Daoura watershed, where this variability is associated with droughts or exceptional rainfall. The data collected from the Guir-Ziz-Rheriss hydraulic agency were processed, corrected and analyzed using the Climatol package (version 4.0.0) developed in R software to homogenize rainfall data. Through this work, the significance and amplitudes of annual and monthly rainfall trends were defined using the Mann-Kendall test and Sens’s slope estimator, while comparing the results of raw and homogenized data. The Daoura watershed has a sub-desert climate, and the homogenization process revealed a few rainfall stations with significant positive trends at confidence levels ranging from 90% to 95%. According to the raw and homogenized data, the majority of these stations are located in the High Atlas (CR1) and Anti-Atlasic (CR2) zones, where there is considerable spatiotemporal variability in rainfall from one year to the next. The essential objective of this scientific paper was to analyze the spatiotemporal variability of monthly and annual precipitation and to study their trends through rainfall data homogenized by the climatol package (version 4.0.0) from 13 stations over a period (1957–2018). The contribution of this study to science is the rainfall data it offers, which is useful for managing natural resources in sub-desert areas.
Słowa kluczowe
Twórcy
  • Department of Geography, Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University, P.B. 59, Immouzer Road, 30000 Fez, Morocco
  • Department of Geography, Laboratory of Territory, Heritage and History, Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University, 30500 Fez, Morocco
  • Department of Geography, Laboratory of Territory, Heritage and History, Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University, 30500 Fez, Morocco
autor
  • Department of Geography, Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University, P.B. 59, Immouzer Road, 30000 Fez, Morocco
  • Department of Geography, Laboratory of Territory, Heritage and History, Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University, 30500 Fez, Morocco
Bibliografia
  • 1. Abahous H., Guijarro J.A., Sifeddine A., Chehbouni A., Ouazar D., Bouchaou L. 2020. Monthly precipitations over semi‐arid basins in Northern Africa: Homogenization and trends. International Journal of Climatology, 40(14), 6095–6105.
  • 2. Addou R., Hanchane M., Krakauer N.Y., Kessabi R., Obda K., Souab M., Achir I.E. 2023. Wavelet Analysis for Studying Rainfall Variability and Regionalizing Data: An Applied Study of the Moulouya Watershed in Morocco. Applied Sciences, 13(6), 3841.
  • 3. Alexandersson H. 1986. A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data. Journal of Climatology, 6(6), 661–675.
  • 4. Alexandersson H., Moberg A. 1997. Homogenization of Swedish temperature data. Part I: Homogeneity test for linear trends. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 17(1), 25–34.
  • 5. Azorin‐Molina C., Rehman S., Guijarro J. A., McVicar T. R., Minola L., Chen D., Vicente‐Serrano S. M. 2018. Recent trends in wind speed across Saudi Arabia, 1978–2013: A break in the stilling. International Journal of Climatology, 38, e966–e984.
  • 6. Bandhauer M., Isotta F., Lakatos M., Lussana C., Båserud L., Izsák B., Szentes O., Tveito O. E., & Frei C. 2022. Evaluation of daily precipitation analyses in E‐OBS (v19.0e) and ERA5 by comparison to regional high‐resolution datasets in European regions. International Journal of Climatology, 42(2), 727–747.
  • 7. Born C., Hardy O.J., Chevallier M., Ossari S., Attéké C., Wickings E.J., Hossaert‐Mckey M. 2008. Small‐scale spatial genetic structure in the Central African rainforest tree species Aucoumea klaineana: a stepwise approach to infer the impact of limited gene dispersal, population history and habitat fragmentation. Molecular Ecology, 17(8), 2041–2050.
  • 8. Coll J., Domonkos P., Guijarro J., Curley M., Rustemeier E., Aguilar E., Walsh S., & Sweeney J. 2020. Application of homogenization methods for Ireland’s monthly precipitation records: Comparison of break detection results. International Journal of Climatology, 40(14), 6169–6188.
  • 9. Curci G., Guijarro J.A., Di Antonio L., Di Bacco M., Di Lena B., Scorzini A.R. 2021. Building a local climate reference dataset: Application to the Abruzzo region (Central Italy), 1930–2019. International Journal of Climatology, 41(8), 4414–4436.
  • 10. De Luis M., Raventós J., González‐Hidalgo J.C., Sánchez J.R., Cortina J. 2000. Spatial analysis of rainfall trends in the region of Valencia (East Spain). International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 20(12), 1451–1469.
  • 11. Domonkos P. 2015. Homogenization of precipitation time series with ACMANT. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 122(1–2), 303–314.
  • 12. Driouech F., Déqué M., Mokssit A. 2009. Numerical simulation of the probability distribution function of precipitation over Morocco. Climate Dynamics, 32, 1055–1063.
  • 13. Driouech F., Mahé G.I.L., Déqué M., Dieulin C., El Heirech T., Milano M., Benabdelfadel H., Rouché N. 2010. Evaluation d’impacts potentiels de changements climatiques sur l’hydrologie du bassin versant de la Moulouya au Maroc. Global Change: Facing Risks and Threats to Water Resources, 561–567.
  • 14. Driouech F., Stafi H., Khouakhi A., Moutia S., Badi W., ElRhaz K., Chehbouni A. 2021. Recent observed country‐wide climate trends in Morocco. International Journal of Climatology, 41, E855–E874.
  • 15. Emberger L. 1971. Travaux de botanique et d’écologie.
  • 16. Ezzine H., Bouziane A., Ouazar D. 2014. Seasonal comparisons of meteorological and agricultural drought indices in Morocco using open short time-series data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 26, 36–48.
  • 17. Guijarro J.A. 2017. Daily series homogenization and gridding with Climatol v. 3. Proc. Ninth Seminar for Homogenization and Quality Control in Climatological Databases and Fourth Conf. on Spatial Interpolation Techniques in Climatology and Meteorology, 175–180.
  • 18. Guijarro J.A. 2018. Homogenization of climatic series with Climatol. Reporte Técnico State Meteorological Agency (AEMET), Balearic Islands Office, Spain.
  • 19. Guijarro Pastor J.A., López Díaz J.A., Aguilar E., Domonkos P., Venema V.K.C., Sigró J., Brunet M. 2017. Comparison of homogenization packages applied to monthly series of temperature and precipitation: the Multitest project.
  • 20. Hanchane M. 2010. Impact des changements climatiques sur la tendance des précipitations annuelles, mensuelles et journalières en climats aride, semi-aride et subhumide marocains, 1961-62-1990-91.
  • 21. Hanchane M. 2013.Méthodologie de régionalisation spatio-temporelle pour une analyse des précipitations (1961–1992): application au Maroc atlantique.
  • 22. Hoerling M., Eischeid J., Perlwitz J., Quan X., Zhang T., Pegion P. 2012. On the increased frequency of Mediterranean drought. Journal of Climate, 25(6), 2146–2161.
  • 23. Hsain I. 1996. Small-scale irrigation in a multiethnic oasis environment: the case of Zaouit Amelkis village, southeast Morocco. Journal of Political Ecology, 3(1), 89–106.
  • 24. Joelsson L.M.T., Sturm C., Södling J., Engström E., Kjellström E. 2022. Automation and evaluation of the interactive homogenization tool HOMER. International Journal of Climatology, 42(5), 2861–2880.
  • 25. Kessabi R., Hanchane M., Guijarro J.A., Krakauer N.Y., Addou R., Sadiki A., Belmahi M. 2022. Homogenization and trends analysis of monthly precipitation series in the fez-meknes region, Morocco. Climate, 10(5), 64.
  • 26. Khalid O., Ismail E.-K. 2021. Caractéristiques et causes des sécheresses hydroclimatiques aux bassins versants méditerranéens du Rif occidental.
  • 27. Knippertz P. 2004. A simple identification scheme for upper-level troughs and its application to winter precipitation variability in northwest Africa. Journal of Climate, 17(6), 1411–1418.
  • 28. Kyselý J., Beguería S., Beranová R., Gaál L., López-Moreno J.I. 2012. Different patterns of climate change scenarios for short-term and multi-day precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean. Global and Planetary Change, 98, 63–72.
  • 29. Longobardi A., Villani P. 2010. Trend analysis of annual and seasonal rainfall time series in the Mediterranean area. International Journal of Climatology, 30(10), 1538–1546.
  • 30. Mann H.B. 1945. Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 245–259.
  • 31. Martin‐Vide J. 2004. Spatial distribution of a daily precipitation concentration index in peninsular Spain. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 24(8), 959–971.
  • 32. Martin S. 2006. Influence du tourisme sur la gestion de l’eau en zone aride: Exemple de la vallée du Drâa (Maroc). Université de Lausanne.
  • 33. Medd M.M., Assani A.A., Meddi H. 2010. Temporal variability of annual rainfall in the Macta and Tafna catchments, Northwestern Algeria. Water Resources Management, 24, 3817–3833.
  • 34. Nimac I., Herceg-Bulić I., Cindrić Kalin K., Perčec Tadić M. 2021. Changes in extreme air temperatures in the mid-sized European city situated on southern base of a mountain (Zagreb, Croatia). Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 146(1–2), 429–441.
  • 35. Quintal-Marineau M. 2010. Gouvernance territoriale et développement durable des communautés rurales dans la vallée du Ziz au Maroc.
  • 36. Rimoczi-Paal A., Kerenyi J., Mika J., Randriamampianina R., Dobi I., Imecs Z., Szentimrey T. 1999. Mapping daily and monthly radiation components using Meteosat data. Advances in Space Research, 24(7), 967–970.
  • 37. Rodriguez‐Puebla C., Encinas A.H., Nieto S., Garmendia J. 1998. Spatial and temporal patterns of annual precipitation variability over the Iberian Peninsula. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 18(3), 299–316.
  • 38. Salhi A., Martin-Vide J., Benhamrouche A., Benabdelouahab S., Himi M., Benabdelouahab T., Casas Ponsati A. 2019. Rainfall distribution and trends of the daily precipitation concentration index in northern Morocco: a need for an adaptive environmental policy. SN Applied Sciences, 1, 1–15.
  • 39. Sebbar A., Badri W., Fougrach H., Hsaine M., Saloui A. 2011. Étude de la variabilité du régime pluviométrique au Maroc septentrional (1935–2004). Science et Changements Planétaires/Sécheresse, 22(3), 139–148.
  • 40. Sen P.K. 1968. Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63(324), 1379–1389.
  • 41. Servat É., Paturel J.-E., Lubès-Niel H., Kouamé B., Masson J.-M., Travaglio M., Marieu B. 1999. De différents aspects de la variabilité de la pluviométrie en Afrique de l’Ouest et Centrale non sahélienne. Revue Des Sciences de l’eau, 12(2), 363–387.
  • 42. Singla S., Mahé G., Dieulin C., Driouech F., Milano M., El Guelai F.Z., Ardoin-Bardin S. 2010. Evolution des relations pluie-débit sur des bassins versants du Maroc. Global Change: Facing Risks and Threats to Water Resources, 679–687.
  • 43. Sneyers R. 1975. Sur l’analyse statistique des séries d’observations. Secrétariat de l’Organisation météorologique mondiale.
  • 44. Taibi S., Meddi M., Souag D., Mahé G. 2013. Évolution et régionalisation des précipitations au nord de l’Algérie (1936–2009). Climate and Land Surface Changes in Hydrology, IAHS Publ, 359, 191–197.
  • 45. Tramblay Y., Badi W., Driouech F., El Adlouni S., Neppel L., Servat E. 2012. Climate change impacts on extreme precipitation in Morocco. Global and Planetary Change, 82, 104–114.
  • 46. Venema V.K.C., Mestre O., Aguilar E., Auer I., Guijarro J.A., Domonkos P., Vertacnik G., Szentimrey T., Stepanek P., Zahradnicek P. 2012. Benchmarking homogenization algorithms for monthly data. Climate of the Past, 8(1), 89–115.
  • 47. Wang X.L. 2008. Penalized maximal F test for detecting undocumented mean shift without trend change. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 25(3), 368–384.
  • 48. Ward M.N., Lamb P.J., Portis D.H., El Hamly M., Sebbari R. 1999. Climate variability in northern Africa: Understanding droughts in the Sahel and the Maghreb. Beyond El Nino: Decadal and Interdecadal Climate Variability, 119–140.
  • 49. Xoplaki E., González-Rouco J.F., Luterbacher J., Wanner H. 2004. Wet season Mediterranean precipitation variability: influence of large-scale dynamics and trends. Climate Dynamics, 23, 63–78.
  • 50. Yassine C. 2018. Hydrologie des milieux arides et présahariens du Sud-est marocain Cas du bassin versant de l’oued Daoura.
  • 51. Zamrane Z., Mahé G., Laftouhi N.-E. 2021. Wavelet analysis of rainfall and runoff multidecadal time series on large river basins in Western North Africa. Water, 13(22), 3243.
  • 52. Zhang L., Bi, H., Gove J.H., Heath L.S. 2005. A comparison of alternative methods for estimating the self-thinning boundary line. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 35(6), 1507–1514.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-7bbaedd5-4fe9-4372-aca8-302e28788c6f
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.