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Analysis of the military vehicles operating process by means of Markov processes

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EN
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EN
The article presents the method of analysing the operating process of Star military vehicles in their readiness aspect. The subject of research was the Military Economic Unit, recently created in the Polish Army. Markov processes were applied. A simple 5-state model was built, and the research was made in a discrete, as well as continuous time. The limit probabilities, both for the chain and the time, were estimated. Thanks to Chapman-Kołomogorov-Smoluchowski equations, the long-term projections could be estimated. To ensure of operating processes, correctly object’s permissible transitions from the previous state to the next one were chosen. It was defined based on technical documentation and owned operational knowledge on the considered operating process. The mathematical description of a set of permissible transitions includes a matrix of permissible Si → Sj transitions from the previous state Si (lines) to the next one. The five-state system has possible and forbidden transitions are presented. Graph of permissible transitions for the five-state operation model usage, standby, maintenance, repair, standstill in repair; correlogram for the average duration of the state; evolution of the probability of the Star cars’ staying in the state of usage, standby, maintenance, repair, standstill in repair are presented in the article.
Twórcy
autor
  • Air Force Institute of Technology Ksiecia Boleslawa Street 6, 01-494 Warsaw, Poland tel.: +48261851300, fax: +48261851410
autor
  • Military University of Technology, Faculty of Logistics Gen. Sylwestra Kaliskiego Street 2, 00-908 Warsaw, Poland
  • Military University of Technology, Faculty of Logistics Gen. Sylwestra Kaliskiego Street 2, 00-908 Warsaw, Poland
Bibliografia
  • [1] Białynicki-Birula, A., Algebra, PWN, Warsaw 2009.
  • [2] Brandimarte, P., Handbook in Monte Carlo Simulation: Applications in Financial Engineering, Risk Management, and Economics, Wiley 2014.
  • [3] StatSoft Electronic Statistics Textbook, StatSoft company website.
  • [4] Wojskowe Oddziały Gospodarcze, Terenowe Organy Systemu Logistycznego SZ RP, Zbiór Podstawowych Zasad Funkcjonowania (Poradnik), Sztab Generalny WP Zarząd Planowania Logistyki – P4 [Military Economic Units, Logistics System Local Authorities of the Polish Armed Forces, Collection of Core Functioning Principles (Guide), Polish General Staff Logistics Planning Department – P4], Warsaw 2011.
  • [5] Zieja, M., Ważny, M., A model for service life control of selected device systems, Polish Maritime Research, Vol. 21, No. 2, 2014.
  • [6] Zieja, M., Ważny, M., Stępień, S., Distribution determination of time of exceeding permissible condition as used to determine lifetimes of selected aeronautical devices/systems, Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability, Vol. 18, No. 1, 2016.
Uwagi
PL
Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-79ad55d8-4db0-42d8-b8ab-4699fc095872
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