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Credit Risk Management Using Automatic Machine Learning

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The article presents the basic techniques of data mining implemented in typical commercial software. They were used to assess the risk of credit card debt repayment. The article assesses the quality of classification models derived from data mining techniques and compares their results with the traditional approach using a logit model to assess credit risk. It turns out that data mining models provide similar accuracy of classification compared to the logit model, but they require much less work and facilitate the automation of the process of building scoring models.
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Strony
193--208
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 35 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
  • AGH University of Science and Technology in Krakow, Faculty of Management, Department of Business Informatics and Management Engineering, Poland
  • AGH University of Science and Technology in Krakow, Faculty of Management, Department of Business Informatics and Management Engineering, Poland
Bibliografia
  • [1] Altman, E.I., 1968. Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporatebankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), pp. 589–609.
  • [2] Edjlali, R., Ronthal, A., Greenwald, R., Beyer, M., Feinberg, D., 2017. Magic Quadrant for Data Management Solutions for Analytics. Gartner, https://www.gartner.com/home.
  • [3] Galar, M., Fernández, A., Barrenechea, E., Bustince, H., Herrera, F., 2012. A review on ensembles for the class imbalance problem: bagging-, boosting-, and hybrid-based approaches.IEEE Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Society, 42(4), pp. 3358–3378.
  • [4] Górecki, B.R., 2010. Ekonometria. Podstawy teorii i praktyki. Wydawnictwo Key Text, Warszawa.
  • [5] Han, J., Kamber, M., Pei, J., 2012. Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques. Elsevier, San Francisco.
  • [6] He, H., Garcia, E.A., 2009. Learning from imbalanced data. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, 21(9), pp.1263–1284.
  • [7] Holdaway, K., 2014. Harness Oil and Gas Big Data with Analytics: Optimize Exploration and Production with Data Driven Models. John Wiley & Sons, New Jersey.
  • [8] Hosmer, D.W., Lemeshow, S., 2000. Applied Logistic Regression. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
  • [9] Jagiełło, R., 2013. Analiza dyskryminacyjna i regresja logistyczna w procesie oceny zdolności kredytowej przedsiębiorstw. Materiały i Studia NBP, No. 286.
  • [10] Jonc, A., Kraska, M., 2001. Credit-scoring. Nowoczesna metoda oceny zdolności kredytowej. Zarządzanie i Finanse, Warszawa.
  • [11] Kawa, P., Wajda-Lichy, M., Fijorek, K., Denkowska, S., 2020. Do Finance and Trade Foster Economic Growth in the New EU Member States: Granger Panel Bootstrap Causality Approach. Eastern European Economics, 58(6), pp. 458–477.
  • [12] Keramati, A., Yousefi, N., 2011. A Proposed Classification of Data Mining Techniques in Credit Scoring. Proceedings of the 2011 International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, January 22–24.
  • [13] Kufel, T., 2020. Gretl. http://www.kufel.torun.pl/ [20.11.2020].
  • [14] Laitinen, E.K., 1991. Financial ratios and different failure processes. Journal of Business Finance&Accounting, 18, pp. 649–673.
  • [15] Lantz, B., 2013. Machine Learning with R. Packt Publishing, Birmingham.
  • [16] Larose, D., 2006. Odkrywanie wiedzy z danych. Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa.
  • [17] Li, M.Y.L., Miu, P., 2010. A hybrid bankruptcy prediction model with dynamic loadingson accounting-ratio-based and market-based information: A binary quantile regressionapproach.Journal of Empirical Finance, 17, pp. 818–833.
  • [18] Linden, A., Krensky, P., Hare, J., Idoine, C., Sicular, S., Vashisth, S., 2017. Magic Quadrantfor Data Science Platforms, Gartner, https://www.gartner.com/home.
  • [19] Maalouf, M., Trafalis, T., 2011. Rare events and imbalanced datasets: an overview.International Journal of Data Mining, Modelling and Management, 3(4), pp. 375–388.
  • [20] Machine Learning Repository, 2020, https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/default+of+credit+card+clients# [20.11.2012].
  • [21] Maddala, G., 2001.Introduction to Econometrics. John Willey & Sons, Chichester.
  • [22] Mahani, A., Ali, A., 2020. Classification Problem in Imbalanced Datasets. In: Sadollah, A.(ed.),Recent Trends in Computational Intelligence. IntechOpen, London.
  • [23] Matuszyk, A., 2013.Credit scoring. CeDeWu, Warszawa.
  • [24] Microsoft, 2017a. https://www.microsoft.com/pl-pl/sql-server/sql-server-2017-editions[20.10.2017].
  • [25] Microsoft, 2017b. https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/visualstudio/ide/visual-studio-ide[20.10.2017].
  • [26] Moradi, S., Mokhatab, M., 2019. A dynamic credit risk assessment model with data miningtechniques: evidence from Iranian banks. Financial Innovation, 5(15), pp. 1–27.
  • [27] Özmen, A., Weber, G.-W., 2012. Robust conic generalized partial linear models using RCMARS method – A robustification of CGPLM. Global Conference on Power Controland Optimization, Dubai, UAE, 1–3 June 2011.
  • [28] Paliński, A., 2018. Loan Payment and Renegotiation: The Role of the Liquidation Value. Argumenta Oeconomica, 1(40), pp. 225–252. Doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.15611/aoe.2018.1.10.
  • [29] Rębiasz, B., Gaweł, B., Skalna, I., 2017. Hybrid Framework for Investment Project PortfolioSelection. In: Pełech-Pilichowski, T., Mach-Król, M., Olszak, C. (eds.), Advances inBusiness ICT: New Ideas from Ongoing Research.Studies in Computational Intelligence,vol. 658. Springer, Cham. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47208-9_6.
  • [30] Sadatrasoul, S., Gholamian, M., Siami, M., Hajimohammadi, Z. 2013. Credit scoring in banksand financial institutions via data mining techniques: A literature review. Journal of AIand Data Mining, 1(2), pp. 119–129.
  • [31] Weber, G.-W., Çavuşoğlu, Z., Özmen, A., 2012. Predicting default probabilities in emerg-ing markets by new conic generalized partial linear models and their optimization.Optimization, 61(4), pp. 443–457.
  • [32] Wilcox, J.W., 1973. A prediction of business failure using accounting data.Journal of Accounting Research, 11, pp. 163–179.
  • [33] Yap, B., Ong, S., Husain, N., 2011. Using data mining to improve assessment of credit worthiness via credit scoring models. Expert Systems with Applications, 38, pp. 13274–13283.
  • [34] Yeh, I.C., Lien, C.H., 2009. The comparisons of data mining techniques for the predictiveaccuracy of probability of default of credit card clients. Expert Systems with Applications,36(2), pp. 2473–2480.
  • [35] Zmijewski, M.E., 1984. Methodological issues related to the estimation of financial distressprediction models.Journal of Accounting research, 22, pp. 59–82.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2021)
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-751e3623-68a0-4de5-a020-4624101b6a14
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