Proposal of a R&D frame to develop resilience models for services supply continuity in view of crisis situations

• Autorzy: Eid M. , Elhami A. , Sousa De Cursi S.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The authors propose a frame to develop mathematical models describing the resilience of the service(s) supply processes and the associated critical-infrastructure(s), in crisis situation. The paper is intended to contribute in developing the paradigm of resilience and appropriate metrics. It describes briefly the paradigm of resilience used in some scientific disciplines, especially: the physical-mechanical resilience (material sciences), the ecological resilience and the psychological resilience. Presently, the use of resilience is very loos, especially, in analysing vital service supply continuity and in crisis management, as far as we are concerned. An advanced resilience concept should encompass: temporality, stochasticity and measurability. The authors propose an R&D frame to develop such formal models in order to help in resilience analysis and decision making for crisis management. Formal models are necessary to rationalise analyses, normalise best practices and build decision making processes. The proposed R&D frame integrates: vulnerability and dependency/interdependency.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

resilience; modelling; critical; infrastructure; crisis; management

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2018
• Tom: Vol. 9, No. 3
• Strony: 11--20
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 22 poz., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Eid M.

• National Institute of Applied Sciences (INSA) of Rouen-Normandy, St. Etienne de Rouvary, F- 76801, France

autor

Elhami A.

• National Institute of Applied Sciences (INSA) of Rouen-Normandy, St. Etienne de Rouvary, F- 76801, France

autor

Sousa De Cursi S.

• National Institute of Applied Sciences (INSA) of Rouen-Normandy, St. Etienne de Rouvary, F- 76801, France

Bibliografia

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• [6] Fletcher, D. & Sarkar, M. (2013). Psychological resilience: A review and critique of definitions, concepts, and theory. European Psychologist vol. 18(1)12-23. ©2013 Hogrefe Publishing. DOI: 10.1027/1016-9040/a000124.
• [7] Windle, G. (2010). What is resilience? A review and concept analysis. Reviews in Clinical Gerontology, 1-18. doi:10.1017/S0959259810000420.
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• [9] Luthar, S.S., Cicchetti, D., & Becker, B. (2000). The construct of resilience: A critical evaluation and guidelines for future work. Child Development, 71, 543–562. DOI: 17 10.1111/1467-8624.00164
• [10] Eid, M., Hakkarainen, T., Terhi, K., SouzaCursi-de, E. & El-Hami, A. (2016). Critical Infrastructure Preparedness: Cascading of Disruptions Considering Vulnerability and Dependency. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars 1, 7, 61-66.
• [11] Eid, M., Souza de Cursi, E. & El-Hami, A. (2017). Critical Infrastructure Preparedness: Cascading of Disruptions Considering Vulnerability and Dependency. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars 1, 8.
• [12] Eid, M., El-Hami, A., Souza de Cursi, E., Kołowrocki, K., Kuligowska, E. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2015). Critical Infrastructures Protection (CIP) – Coupled Modelling for Threats and Resilience. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars 6, 1, 85-94.
• [14] Rinaldi, S.M., Peerenboom, J.P. & T.K. Kelly, T.K. (2001). Complex Networks, Identifying, Understanding, and Analyzing Critical Infrastructure Interdependencies, IEEE Control Systems Magazine, December 2001, pp. 11-25. http://user.it.uu.se/~bc/Art.pdf
• [15] Eid, M. (2011). A General Analytical Solution for the Occurrence Probability of a Sequence of Ordered Events following Poison Stochastic Processes. Journal of Reliability Theory & Applications, RT&A 3, 22, 102-113.
• [16] https://www.willis.com/Documents/Publication s/Industries/Energy/2155_energy%20_loss_dat abase.pdf
• [17] https://www.marsh.com/uk/industries/energypower.html
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• [19] http://www.oecd.org/env/ehs/directoriesanddata basesforchemicalsandbiosafety.htm
• [20] Efthimia, K. Mihailidou et al. (2012) The 319 Major Industrial Accidents Since 1917. International Review of Chemical Engineering (I.RE.CH.E.), Vol. 4, N. 6 (529-540), November 2012. ISSN 2035-1755. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/23a3/09d1767f 6e0531668ae43dee5a2a10c52ee8.pdf
• [21] ANL report, Analysis of Critical Infrastructure Dependencies and Interdependencies. Risk and Infrastructure Science Center, Global Security Sciences Division. ANL/GSS-15/4, June 2015. Argonne National Laboratory. http://www.ipd.anl.gov/anlpubs/2015/06/11190 6.pdf
• [22] Pietrucha-Urbanik K., Tchórzewska-Cieślak B. & Eid, M. (2018), Cascading Failure Analysis in Order to Assess the Resilience of a Water Supply System. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars, Volume 7, Number 1-2.

Uwagi

1. Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).

2. W pdf błąd w numeracji bibliografii. Poz. 13 jest dalszym ciągiem opisu poz. 12. Wlaściwa ilość poz. bibliografii to 21