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Zastosowanie ilościowej oceny ryzyka przy ocenie bezpieczeństwa statków w czasie zatapiania

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Warianty tytułu
EN
Application of the quantitative risk assessment for the safety assessment of ships during the flooding
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
PL
Artykuł ten jest poświęcony w całości bezpieczeństwu statków w stanie awaryjnym lub uszkodzonym. Obecnie stosowane są różne metody oceny bezpieczeństwa statków. Metody o najbardziej szerokim zakresie zastosowania to metody o charakterze preskrypcyjnym i ograniczające pewne parametry fizyczne obiektu morskiego pod opisanymi kryteriami. Metodą o najbardziej rozbudowanym zakresie zastosowania jest metoda opisana w wymaganiach konwencji SOLAS 2009 (Część B Roz. II-1). Metoda ta jest przeznaczona do oceny bezpieczeństwa na podstawie kryteriów oraz do optymalizacji na etapie projektowym. W związku z tym ma ona szereg cech, które czynią ją trudną do zastosowania wobec zaistniałych zdarzeń na morzu, lub oceny bezpieczeństwa w nieuwzględnionych (nieopisanych) w metodzie warunkach. Możliwą alternatywą dla tej metody jest metoda, która opisuje parametry statków oraz umożliwia analizę ryzyka. Przy czym zastosowany model ryzyka jest macieżowym modelem ilościowym. W konsekwencji kryterialna ocena ryzyka jest oparta na dopuszczalnych poziomach z macieży ryzyka. Po wykonanej ocenie ryzyka metoda może zostać zastosowana do zarządzania ryzykiem przez zastosowanie metod kontoli ryzyka.
EN
The entire paper concerns the safety assessment of ships in damage conditions. At the moment different methods of ship safety assessment are used. The widely used methods are the prescriptive methods which enable to limit some physical parameters of the ships according to the given safety criteria. The most developed method from the application point of view is the method included in the SOLAS 2009 (part B, chapter II-1) convention. This method has been worked out for the ship safety assessment according to the data criteria and for the ship design optimization at the design stage. According to the above mentioned it is difficult to apply this method in the case of accident at sea and for the safety assessment when the operational conditions have not been taken into account within the method before. A possible alternative method of ship safety assessment for this method could be a method which enables to better describe the ship parameters and characteristics together with application of the risk analysis. Of course the applied risk model should be a quantitative matrix risk model. As a consequence of such the approach the risk assessment criteria is based on the risk limits included within the risk matrix. After the risk assessment is done the method may be used for the risk management using the risk control options.
Słowa kluczowe
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
3835--3845
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 27 poz., rys., pełny tekst na CD 3
Twórcy
autor
  • Politechnika Gdańska, Wydział Oceanotechniki i Okrętownictwa, ul. Narutowicza 48
  • Safety-at-Sea, 280 St. Vincent Street Glasgow United Kingdom
Bibliografia
  • 1. Abramowicz-Gerigk T. 2006. Determination of Safety Factors for Ship Berthing Operations. Proceedings and Monographs in Engineering, Water and Earth Sciences. Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference 2006 (ESREL 2006), Volume 3, Estoril, Portugal, 18- 22 September 2006, Published by Taylor & Francis / Balkema, London / Leiden / New York / Philadelphia / Singapore, 2737-2742.
  • 2. Abramowicz-Gerigk T. 2008. The risk analysis of harbour operations. in S. Martorell, C. Guedes Soares & Julie Barnet (eds.) Safety Reliability and Risk Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications. Proceedings of the ESREL 2008 and 17th SRA-Europe Conference, Valencia, Vol. 4: 3343-3350, London: Balkema.
  • 3. Abramowicz-Gerigk T., Burciu Z. 2013. Safety assessment of maritime transport - Bayesian risk based approach in different fields of maritime transport. in C. Guedes Soares, & F. Lopez Pena (eds.) Developments in Maritime Transportation and Exploitation of Sea Resources. Proc. 15th Int. Congress of the International Maritime Association of the Mediterranean (IMAM’2013), A Coruna, Vol.2: 699-704, London: Balkema.
  • 4. Arangio, S., 2012. Reliability based approach for structural design and assessment: performance criteria and indicators in current European codes and guidelines. International Journal of Lifecycle Performance Engineering, 1(1), p.64.
  • 5. Burciu, Z. & Grabski, Fr. 2011. The experimental and theoretical study on the reliability of the life rafts. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 96: 1456-146.
  • 6. H. Dankowski, S. Kruger 2013: “Progressive Flooding Assessment of the Intermediate Damage Cases as an Extension of a Monte-Carlo based Damage Stability Method” PRADS2013
  • 7. Gerigk M. 2004. On a risk-based method for safety assessment of a ship in critical conditions at the preliminary design stage. Polish Maritime Research, No. 1 (39), Vol. 11, 8-13.
  • 8. Gerigk M. 2005. Challenges of modern assessment of safety of ships in critical conditions. Proceedings and Monographs in Engineering, Water and Earth Sciences. Proceedings of the 12th International Congress of the International Maritime Association of the Mediterranean IMAM 2005, Volume 2, Lisboa, Portugal, 26-30 September 2005, Published by Taylor & Francis / Balkema, London / Leiden / New York / Philadelphia / Singapore, 1529-1536.
  • 9. Gerigk M. 2006. A method for assessing hazards, risks and safety of damaged ships at sea. Proceedings and Monographs in Engineering, Water and Earth Sciences. Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference 2006 (ESREL 2006), Volume 3, Estoril, Portugal, 18- 22 September 2006, Published by Taylor & Francis / Balkema, London / Leiden /New York / Philadelphia / Singapore, 2783-2790.
  • 10. Gerigk M. 2008. Modeling of hazards, consequences and risk for safety assessment of ships in damaged conditions in operation. Proceedings and Monographs in Engineering, Water and Earth Sciences. Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2008 and 17th SRA-Europe, Volume 4, Valencia, Spain, 22-25 September 2008, Published by CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group, Balkema, Boca Raton/London/New York/Leiden, 3303-3310.
  • 11. Gerigk M. 2010. A complex method for safety assessment of ships in damaged conditions using the risk assessment (D.Sc. thesis), Monography No. 101, Published by the Gdansk University of Technology (in Polish), Gdansk 2010.
  • 12. Gerigk M. 2012. Assessment of safety of ships after the collision and during the ship salvage using the matrix type risk model and uncertainties. in Sustainable Maritime Transportation and Exploitation of Sea Resources. Proceedings of the 14th International Congress of the International Maritime Association of the Mediterranean (IMAM), Volume 2: 715-719, London: Balkema.
  • 13. IMO, 2005. Report of the Maritime Safety Committee on Its Eightieth Session. MSC 80/24/Add.1, London, 2005.
  • 14. IMO. 2008. http://www.imo.org.
  • 15. IMO. 2009. Stability and Seakeeping Characteristics of Damaged Passenger Ships in a Seaway When Returning to Port by Own Power or Under Tow, A survey of residual stability margin, Submitted by Germany, SLF 52/8/1, London, 26 October 2009.
  • 16. Jasionowski, A. & Vassalos, D. 2006. Conceptualising Risk, Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Stability of Ships and Ocean Vehicles STAB 2006, Rio de Janeiro, September 2006.
  • 17. Nowakowski, T. & Werbińka, S., 2009. On problems of multicomponent system maintenance modelling. International Journal of Automation and Computing, 6(4), pp.364–378.
  • 18. Perera L.P. & Soares Guedes C. 2011. Detections of potential collision situations by relative motions of vessels under parameter uncertainties, Proceedings of the 14th International Congress of the International Maritime Association of the Mediterranean (IMAM), Genova, Italy, 13-16 September 2011.
  • 19. Papanikolaou Apostolos , Byung Suk Leeb, Christian Mains, Odd Olufsen, Dracos Vassalos, George Zaraphonitis – GOALDS 2012
  • 20. Skjong, R. & Vanem, E. & Rusas, S. & Olufsen, O. 2006. Holistic and Risk Based Approach to Collision Damage Stability of Passenger Ships, Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Stability of Ships and Ocean Vehicles STAB 2006, Rio de Janeiro, 25-29 September 2006.
  • 21. Soares, C.G. & Teixeira, A.P., 2001. Risk assessment in maritime transportation. Reliability engineering and System Safety, 74, pp.299–309.
  • 22. SOLAS, 2005. International Convention for the Safety of Life
  • 23. at Sea. Lloyd’s Register Rulefinder 2005 – Version 9.4.,
  • 24. pp. 1-910.
  • 25. SSRC. 2009. http://www.ssrc.na-me.ac.uk
  • 26. Vassalos D. 2006. Passenger Ship Safety: Containing the Risk, Marine Technology, Vol. 43, No. 4, October 2006, pp. 203-213.
  • 27. Vassalos D. 2007. Safe return to port, Seminar for the 50th session of the IMO SLF Sub Committee, London, May 2007
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-6d354165-9772-4a41-9fe0-c48be47fb5ce
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