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Stronniczość w decyzjach inwestycyjnych MŚP: badanie międzykrajowe
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
This study investigates the impact of psychological biases on investment decision making among small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) owners across four countries: Indonesia, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. Drawing from the fields of behavioral finance and strategic management, the research focuses on key biases, including overconfidence, prospect theory, herding behavior, and emotional factors. A survey of 928 SME owners reveals significant cross-country differences in how these biases influence long-term investment decisions. Overconfidence negatively affects investment outcomes across all countries, while elements of prospect theory, such as loss aversion, positively correlate with long-term investment strategies. Herding behavior presents mixed results, showing a negative effect in some regions but not universally. Furthermore, positive emotions foster more optimistic investment decisions, particularly in Indonesia and Romania. The findings underscore the importance of cultural and economic contexts in shaping behavioral finance practices. This research contributes to the literature on SME management and investment behavior by highlighting the role of psychological factors in financial decision-making, providing valuable insights for policymakers and investors to develop strategies that mitigate cognitive biases and encourage more informed investment practices.
Niniejsze badanie analizuje wpływ uprzedzeń psychologicznych na podejmowanie decyzji inwestycyjnych przez właścicieli małych i średnich przedsiębiorstw (MŚP) w czterech krajach: Indonezji, Węgrzech, Polsce i Rumunii. Odwołując się do dziedzin finansów behawioralnych oraz zarządzania strategicznego, badanie koncentruje się na kluczowych uprzedzeniach, takich jak nadmierna pewność siebie, teoria perspektywy, zachowania stadne oraz czynniki emocjonalne. Ankieta przeprowadzona wśród 928 właścicieli MŚP ujawnia istotne różnice między krajami w zakresie wpływu tych uprzedzeń na decyzje inwestycyjne w perspektywie długoterminowej. Nadmierna pewność siebie negatywnie wpływa na wyniki inwestycyjne we wszystkich badanych krajach, podczas gdy elementy teorii perspektywy, takie jak awersja do strat, wykazują pozytywną korelację z długoterminowymi strategiami inwestycyjnymi. Zachowania stadne przynoszą mieszane rezultaty - mają negatywny wpływ w niektórych regionach, ale nie jest to zjawisko uniwersalne. Ponadto pozytywne emocje sprzyjają bardziej optymistycznym decyzjom inwestycyjnym, szczególnie w Indonezji i Rumunii. Wyniki badania podkreślają znaczenie kontekstów kulturowych i ekonomicznych w kształtowaniu praktyk finansowych w obszarze finansów behawioralnych. Niniejsze badanie wnosi istotny wkład w literaturę na temat zarządzania MŚP i zachowań inwestycyjnych, wskazując na rolę czynników psychologicznych w podejmowaniu decyzji finansowych oraz dostarczając cennych wskazówek dla decydentów i inwestorów w celu opracowania strategii minimalizujących wpływ uprzedzeń poznawczych i promujących bardziej świadome podejście do inwestycji.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
289--303
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 45 poz., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Accounting Department, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
autor
- Management Department, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
autor
- Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
autor
- Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
Bibliografia
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- 3.Akerlof, G. A., Shiller, R. J., (2015). Phishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception. Princeton University Press.
- 4.Alquraan, T., Alqisie, A. and Al Shorafa, A., (2016). Do behavioral factors influence stock investment decisions of indidivudal investors? (Evidences from Saudi stock market). American International Journal of Contemporary Research, 6(3), 159-169.
- 5.Alshamy, S. A., (2019). Factors affecting investment decision-making: moderating role of investors characteristics. The Journal of Social Sciences Research, 5(4), 965-974.
- 6.Ardalan, K., (2018). Neurofinance versus the efficient markets hypothesis. Global Finance Journal, 35, 170-176.
- 7.Aren, S., Nayman Hamamci, H., (2020). Relationship between risk aversion, risky investment intention, investment choices: impact of personality traits and emotion. Kybernetes, 49(11), 2651-2682.
- 8.Bakar, S., Yi, A. N. C., (2016). The impact of psychological factors on investors’ decision making in Malaysian stock market: a case of Klang Valley and Pahang. Procedia Economics and Finance, 35, 319-328.
- 9.Barber, B. M., Odean, T., (2001). Barber, Brad M. / Odean, Terrance (2001): Boys Will Be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment, Quarterly Journal of Economics 116, 261-292.
- 10.Benayad, K., Aasri, M. R., (2023). Behavioral Biases and Investment Decisions of SMEs Managers: Empirical Analysis within the Moroccan Context. International Journal of Financial Studies, 11(4).
- 11.Cervellati, E. M., Pattitoni, P. and Savioli, M., (2023). Do overconfident and over-optimistic entrepreneurs invest too much in their companies? Theory and evidence from Italian SMEs. Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, 16(4), 769-800.
- 12.Chowdhury, N. T., Mahdzan, N. S., and Rahman, M., (2024). Beyond Intuition: The Role of Financial Knowledge in Navigating Investments in Emerging Markets. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 14(4), 267-281.
- 13.Christie, W. G., Huang, R. D., (1995). Following the Pied Piper: Do Individual Returns Herd around the Market? Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31-37.
- 14.Dolfin, M., Leonida, L. and Outada, N., (2017). Modeling human behavior in economics and social science. Physics of Life Reviews, 22-23, 1-21.
- 15.Duxbury, D., Garling, T., Gamble, A. and Klass, V., (2020). How emotions influence behavior in financial markets: a conceptual analysis and emotion-based account of buy-sell preferences. The European Journal of Finance, 26(14), 1417-1438.
- 16.Elhussein, N. H. A., Abdelgadir, J. N. A., (2020). Behavioral Bias in Individual Investment Decisions: Is It a Common Phenomenon in Stock Markets? International Journal of Financial Research, 11(6), 25.
- 17.Fahim, F., Ali, A., Khan, A. M. and Khan, A. R., (2019). Impact of overconfidence on investor’s investment decision: moderating role of risk perception and religiosity-A survey of Pakistan stock exchange. JISR-MSSE, 17(2), 85-96.
- 18.Griffith, J., Najand, M. and Shen, J., (2020). Emotions in the stock market. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 21(1), 42-56.
- 19.Gupta, S., Shrivastava, M., (2022). Herding and loss aversion in stock markets: mediating role of fear of missing out (FOMO) in retail investors. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 17(7), 1720-1737.
- 20.He, R., Jin, J., Gong, H. and Tian, Y., (2019). The role of risk preferences and loss aversion in farmers’ energy-efficient appliance use behavior. Journal of Cleaner Production, 215, 305-314.
- 21.Hirdinis, Haningsih, L., (2022). Locus of Control and Overconfidence in Investment Decisions Making through Investor’s Financial Behavior. Himalayan Economics and Business Management, 3(6), 159-174.
- 22.Irfan, M., Adeel, R. and Malik, M. S., (2023). The Impact of Emotional Finance, and Market Knowledge and Investor Protection on Investment Performance in Stock and Real Estate Markets. SAGE Open, 13(4), 1-18.
- 23.Jabeen, S., Shah, S.Z.A., Sultana, N. and Khan, A., (2020). Impact of socio-psychological factors on investment decisions: the mediating role of behavioral biases. Abasyn Journal of Social Sciences, 13(1), 25-39.
- 24.Jamal, A. H., Riaz, A., (2024). Role of Locus of Control in the Relationship between Behavioral Biases and Investment Decision. Bahria University Journal of Management and Technology (BJMT), 7(1), 28-43.
- 25.Javůrková, T., (2023). Gambler’s Fallacy in Investor’s Master’s. Institute of Economic Studies.
- 26.Lobao J., (2021). New Advances in Behavioural Finance. In Cambridge Scholars Publishing.
- 27.Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., (1979). An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 32.
- 28.Kubilay, B., Bayrakdaroglu, A., (2016). An empirical research on investor biases in financial decision-making, financial risk tolerance and financial personality. International Journal of Financial Research, 7(2), 171-182.
- 29.Lopes de Sousa Jabbour, A. B., Ndubisi, N. O. and Roman Pais Seles, B. M., (2020). Sustainable development in Asian manufacturing SMEs: Progress and directions. International Journal of Production Economics, 225.
- 30.Malkiel, G. B., (2019). A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing. W. W. Norton.
- 31.Nartea, G. V., Bai, H. and Wu, J., (2020). Investor sentiment and the economic policy uncertainty premium. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 64(August), 1-20.
- 32.Qasim, M., Hussain, R., Mehboob, I. and Arshad, M., (2019). Impact of herding behavior and overconfidence bias on investors’ decision-making in Pakistan. Accounting, 5(2), 81-90.
- 33.Rahman, M., Gan, S. S., (2020). Generation Y investment decision: an analysis using behavioural factors. Managerial Finance, 46(8), 1023-1041.
- 34.Raut, R.K., Das, N. and Mishra, R., (2020). Behaviour of individual investors in stock market trading: evidence from India. Global Business Review, 21(3), 818-833.
- 35.Rehman, M., Dhiman, D. B. and Cheema, G. S., (2024). Minds and Machines: Impact of Emotional Intelligence on Investment Decisions with Mediating the Role of Artificial Intelligence. International Journal of Engineering, Business and Management, 8(1), 01-10.
- 36.Rekha, D. M., (2020). Determinants of behavioral finance influencing investment decisions with respect to income: a study on investment in the equity market. International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology, 29(8), 5015-5028.
- 37.Salamanca, N., de Grip, A., Fouarge, D. and Montizaan, R., (2020). Locus of control and investment in risky assets. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 177(2020), 548-568.
- 38.Shiller, R. J., (2015). Irrational Exuberance, 3rd ed.,. Princeton University Press.
- 39.Sutejo, B. S., Sumiati, Wijayanti, R. and Ananda, C. F., (2023). Do Emotions Influence the Investment Decisions of Generation Z Surabaya Investors in the Covid-19 Pandemic Era? Does Financial Risk Tolerance Play a Moderating Role? Scientific Papers of the University of Pardubice, Series D: Faculty of Economics and Administration, 31(2).
- 40.Thaler, R. H., (2015). Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics. W.W. Norton.
- 41.Trang, P. T. M., Tho, N. H., (2017). Perceived risk, investment performance and intentions in emerging stock markets. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 7(1), 269-278.
- 42.van Dolder, D., Vandenbroucke, J., (2024). Behavioral risk profiling: Measuring loss aversion of individual investors. Journal of Banking and Finance, 168(August), 107293.
- 43.Vukovic, M., (2022). Personality as a predictor of students’ heuristic and herding biases in determining their predispositions for long-term investment decisions. Proceedings of the 77th International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development, 53-62.
- 44.Wesslen, R., Karduni, A., Markant, D. and Dou, W., (2022). Effect of uncertainty visualizations on myopic loss aversion and the equity premium puzzle in retirement investment decisions. IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, 28(1), 454-464.
- 45.Zhou, Z., Xu, K. and Zhao, J., (2018). Tales of emotion and stock in China: volatility, causality and prediction. World Wide Web, 21(4), 1093-1116.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-6b2547c9-5a74-4d66-b051-eca6d9780947
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