Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
For a few years, the sales of motor vehicles with hybrid drive systems (referred to as “hybrid vehicles” or “HVs”) have been rapidly growing. However, there is a lack of information about the intensity of operation of vehicles classified in this category, which is completely new. A calculation procedure has been presented that enabled evaluation of the HV mileage growth rate. An analysis of this rate provides grounds for forecasting the changes that are likely to take place in the fleet of motor vehicles, such as the progress in the process of replacement of conventional vehicles with vehicles with alternative drive systems, and this may be a basis for predicting the reduction in fuel consumption and exhaust emissions. Models of the HV mileage growth process have been defined for three different countries. They indicate high mileage growth rates in the initial period of vehicle operation, e.g. until the fourth year of operation of the Auris H cars. The highest mileage growth rates in this period were observed in the Netherlands and Poland. In Germany, this rate was lower by 41%. Significant differences in the intensity of vehicle operation have been observed between the behaviour of HV owners in the countries under analysis. A considerable drop in the annual HV mileage as early as in the fifth and sixth year of vehicle operation is an alarming signal.
Wydawca
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
361--368
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 18 poz., rys.
Twórcy
autor
- Military University of Technology Faculty of Mechanical Engineering Gen. Witolda Urbanowicza Street 2, 00-908 Warsaw, Poland tel.: +48 261 837866, fax: +48 261 839230
- Automotive Industry Institute in Warsaw (PIMOT)
Bibliografia
- [1] Al-Alawi, B. M., Bradley, T. H., Review of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicle market modeling Studies, Renew. and Sustainable Energy Rev., Vol. 21, pp. 190-203, Elsevier 2013.
- [2] Brand, C., Cluzel, C., Anable, J., Modeling the uptake of plug-in vehicles in a heterogeneous car market using a consumer segmentation approach, Transportation Research, Part A, Vol. 97, pp. 121-136, Elsevier 2017.
- [3] European Vehicle Market Statistics 2013. 2017, http://eupocketbook.theicct.org, 2017.
- [4] Greene, D. L., Liu, J., Khattak, A. J., Wali, B., Hopson, J. L., Goeltz, R., How does on-road fuel economy vary with vehicle cumulative mileage and daily use?, Transportation Research, Part D, Vol. 55, pp. 142-161, Elsevier 2017.
- [5] Hultkrantz, L., Nilsson, J-E., Arvidsson, S., Voluntary internalization of speeding externalities with vehicle insurance, Transportation Research, Part A, Vol. 46, pp. 926-937, Elsevier 2012.
- [6] Info-Ekspert Computer system. Catalogs, www.info-ekspert.pl.
- [7] Iwata, K., Matsumoto, S., Use of hybrid vehicles in Japan: An analysis of used car market data, Transportation Research, Part D, Vol. 46, pp. 200-206, 2016.
- [8] Jackowski, J., Łęgiewicz, J., Wieczorek, M., Motor vehicles. Passenger cars and car-based vehicles. WKŁ, Warsaw 2011.
- [9] de Lapparent, M., Cernicchiaro, G., How long to own and how much to use a car? A dynamic discrete choice model to explain holding duration and driven mileage, Economic Modelling Vol. 29, pp. 1737-1744, 2012.
- [10] Meurs, H., Haaijer, R., Geurs, K. T., Modeling the effects of environmentally differentiateddistance-based car-use charges in the Netherlands, Transportation Research, Part D, Vol. 22, pp. 1-9, Elsevier 2013.
- [11] McLeay, F., Yoganathan, V., Osburg, V-S., Pandit, A., Risks and drivers of hybrid car adoption: A cross-cultural segmentation analysis, Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 189, pp. 519-528, 2018.
- [12] Paefgen, J., Staake, T., Fleisch, E., Multivariate exposure modeling of accident risk: Insights from Pay-as-you-drive insurance data, Transportation Research, Part A, Vol. 61, pp. 27-40, 2016.
- [13] Prochowski, L., Characteristic features of the relation between motor truck mileage and engine cubic capacity. Journal of KONES Powertrain and Transport, Vol. 23, No. 4, pp. 403-412,Warsaw 2016.
- [14] Prochowski, L., Evaluation of the process of mileage growth during the operation of motor trucks, in several categories of engine cubic capacity, Eksploatacja i Niezawodnosc –Maintenance and Reliability, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 359-369, Warsaw 2018.
- [15] Puentes, R., Tomer, A., The road less travelled: An analysis of vehicle miles traveled trends in U.S., Metropolitan Infrastructures Initiatives Series: Brooking Institution, Washington 2009.
- [16] Report Automotive Industry. Year Book 2008, 2012, 2014, 2016, Polish Automotive Industry Association, Warsaw 2008-2016.
- [17] Small, K. A., Energy policies for passenger motor vehicles, Transportation Research, Part A, Vol. 46, pp. 874-889, 2012.
- [18] Tanaka, Y., Sihigeta, Y., Upcoming advances in the hybrid vehicle market, NRI Papers, No. 114, Feb. 1, Japan 2007.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2018).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-6775e081-b687-4a2a-8a6e-50d3b1c31091