Tytuł artykułu
Autorzy
Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Probabilistyczna analiza bezpieczeństwa podsystemów infrastruktury krytycznej
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
In the article, we discuss probabilistic aspects for the risk assessment of the critical infrastructure subsystem. We present a short survey of probabilistic methods in safety analysis. Our purpose is appointing a few special probabilistic measures for predicting so-called rare events. These measures are an important component in the quantitative risk assessment associated with the maintenance of the critical infrastructure subsystem.
W artykule omówiono probabilistyczne aspekty szacowania ryzyka podsystemu infrastruktury krytycznej. Przedstawiono krótki przegląd probabilistycznych metod analizy bezpieczeństwa. Celem jest wyznaczenie miar probabilistycznych do predykcji tak zwanych zdarzeń rzadkich. Miary te są ważnym elementem w ilościowej ocenie ryzyka związanego z utrzymaniem w stanie zdatności podsystemu infrastruktury krytycznej.
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
15--27
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 24 poz.
Twórcy
autor
- Poznan University of Technology, Institute of Mathematics, Piotrowo 3A, 60-965 Poznań, Poland
autor
- Poznan University of Technology, Institute of Mathematics, Piotrowo 3A, 60-965 Poznań, Poland
Bibliografia
- [1] Apostotakis G.: The Concept of Probability in Safety Assessments of Technological Systems. Science, New Series, Vol. 250, No. 4986, 1990, 1359-1364.
- [2] Apostolakis G, Lemon D.: A Screening Methodology for the Identification and Ranking of Infrastructure Vulnerabilities Due to Terrorism. Risk Analysis 2005, 25, 361-376.
- [3] Aven T.: Risk Analysis, Assessing Uncertainties beyond Expected Values and Probabilities. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Chichester, England 2008.
- [4] Chang S., Shinozuka M., Moore J.: Probabilistic Earthquake Scenarios: Extending Risk Analysis Methodologies to Spatially Distributed Systems. Earthquake Spectra, 2000, 16: 3, 557-572.
- [5] Cohen B.: Probabilistic risk analysis for a high-level radioactive waste repository. Risk Anal. 2003; 23(5), 909-915.
- [6] Elvik, R.: Assessing causality in multivariate accident models. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2011, 43, 253-264.
- [7] European Commission. Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament - CI Protection in the fight against terrorism.http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/justice_freedom_security/fight_against_terrorism/133259_en.htm.
- [8] Haimes Y., Longstaff T.: The Role of Risk Analysis in the Protection of Critical Infrastructures Against Terrorism. Risk Anal, 2002, 22, 439-444.
- [9] Heidelberger P.: Fast simulation of rare events in queueing and reliability models. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS) archive 5, 1995, 43-85.
- [10] ISO/1EC 17779:2000: Information technology - Code of practice for information security management.
- [11] Kaczmarek Z.: The impact of climate variability on flood risk in Poland. Risk Anal. 2003, 23, 559-566.
- [12] Kosmowski K.T. (ed.): Functional Safety Management in Critical Systems. Gdańsk University of Technology. Fundacja Rozwoju Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego. Gdańsk 2007.
- [13] Mai S., Zimmermann C: Risk Analysis-Tool for Integrated Coastal Planning. Proc. of the 6th Int. Conf. on Coastal and Port Engineering, 2003.
- [14] Moore D., Sample B., Suter G., Parkhurst B., Scott T.: A Probabilistic risk assessment of the effects of Methylmercury and PCBs on mink and Kingfishers along East Fork Poplar Creek, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, 18: 12, 1999,2941-2953.
- [15] Moteff J., Parfomak P.: Critical Infrastructure and Key Assets: Definition and Identification. CRS Report for Congress, 2004, received through the CRS Web http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/RL32631 .pdf.
- [16] Pach A.R., Rau Z., Wągrowski M. (Eds.): Nowoczesne systemy łączności i transmisji danych na rzecz bezpieczeństwa - Szansę i zagrożenia. LEX a Wolters Kluwer business. Warszawa 2013.
- [17] Radvanovsky R.: Critical Infrastructure: Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness. Taylor and Francis Group, Boca Raton 2006.
- [18] Singpurwalla N.: Reliability and Risk. A Bayesian Perspective. John Wiley & Sons, 2006.
- [19] Skanata D., Byrd D.M. (Eds.): Computational Models of Risks to Infrastructure. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series, Vol 13, 2007.
- [20] Slob W., Pieters M.: A probabilistic approach for deriving acceptable human intake limits and human health risks from toxicological studies: general framework. Risk Anal. 18(6), 1998,787-798.
- [21] Srinivasan R.: Importance Sampling. Springer, 2002.
- [22] Taylor C, Krings A., Alves-Foss J.: Risk Analysis and Probabilistic Survivability Assessment (RAPSA): An Assessment Approach for Power Substation Hardening. Proc. ACM Workshop on Scientific Aspects of Cyber Terrorism, 2002.
- [23] The American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition. Houghton Mifflin Company. Boston, MA. 2000.
- [24] Voortman H., van Gelder P., Vrijling J.: Risk-based design of large-scale flood defense systems. 28lh International Conference on Coastal Engineering, 2002.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-66fb66b2-2683-4f14-9669-8d8c2bd87dac