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Forecasting protein food production in Africa: trends, challenges, and policy interventions for sustainable food security

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Food security remains a critical challenge in Africa, particularly as the demand for protein-rich foods rises. Despite possessing vast agricultural potential, the continent struggles with optimizing protein food production due to limited access to modern farming technologies, inadequate storage facilities, and inefficient distribution networks. This study models and forecasts protein food production in Africa from 2020 to 2030 using a forest-based forecasting approach. The analysis focuses on key protein sources, including milk, livestock, eggs, and beans, utilizing data from the Food Production Index. The study employs ArcGIS Pro 2.8.2 to assess production trends and spatial variations across African regions. Findings reveal significant trends, with milk production peaking in 2022, livestock production increasing in 2028, egg production reaching its highest level in 2027, and bean production recording its peak in 2030. The results highlight the need for policy interventions to enhance protein production, particularly in low-performing regions such as Western Sahara, Chad, and Burkina Faso. It is recommended that African governments, stakeholders (such as the African Union) and NGOs should bring strategic investments in infrastructure, technological advancements, and policy frameworks to boost protein food security and support sustainable agricultural development in Africa.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
177--187
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 21 poz.
Twórcy
  • University of Education Winneba, Faculty of Social Sciences Education, Department of Geography Eduation, Winneba, Ghana
  • University of Education Winneba, Faculty of Social Sciences Education, Department of Geography Eduation, Winneba, Ghana
Bibliografia
  • 1. Adeyeye S.A. O. (2017). The role of food processing and appropriate storage technologies in ensuring food security and food availability in Africa. Nutrition & Food Science, 47(1), 122-139.
  • 2. African Development Bank (2015). Feeding Africa, an Action Plan for African Agriculture Transformation: http://www.afdb.org/en/dakagri2015 [access: 07.11.2024].
  • 3. Di Matteo F., Otsuki K., Schoneveld G. (2016). Soya bean expansion in Mozambique: exploring the inclusiveness and viability of soya business models as an alternative to the land grab. The Public Sphere Journal, 60-86.
  • 4. Dong S. (2016). Overview: Pastoralism in the world. Building resilience of human-natural systems of pastoralism in the developing world: Interdisciplinary perspectives, 1-37.
  • 5. Enahoro D., Mason-D’Croz D., Mul M., Rich K.M., Robinson T.P., Thornton P., Staal S.S. (2019). Supporting sustainable expansion of livestock production in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa: Scenario analysis of investment options. Global food security, 20, 114-121.
  • 6. ESRI (2022). ESRI User Conference:. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. https://mediaspace.esri.com/channel/2022+Esri+User+Conference/261131512FAO [access: 27.10.2024].
  • 7. Holechek J.L., Cibils A.F., Bengaly K., Kinyamario J.I. (2017). Human population growth, African pastoralism, and rangelands: A perspective. Rangeland ecology & management, 70(3), 273-280.
  • 8. Kim H., Sefcik J.S., Bradway C. (2017). Characteristics of qualitative descriptive studies: A systematic review. Research in nursing & health, 40(1), 23-42.
  • 9. Merem E.C., Twumasi Y., Wesley J., Olagbegi D., Crisler M., Romorno C., Emakpor S. (2022). The analysis of dairy production and milk use in Africa Using GIS. Food Public Health, 12, 14-28.
  • 10. Mohajan H.K. (2022). Food insecurity and malnutrition of Africa: A combined attempt can reduce them. Journal of Economic Development, Environment and People, 11(1), 24-34.
  • 11. Nirmal, N., Anyimadu, C. F., Khanashyam, A. C., Bekhit, A. E. D. A., & Dhar, B. K. (2024). Alternative Protein Sources: Addressing Global Food Security and Environmental Sustainability. Sustainable Development.
  • 12. Molina-Flores B., Manzano-Baena P., Coulibaly M.D. (2020). The role of livestock in food security, poverty reduction and wealth creation in West Africa. Accra: FAO.
  • 13. Nzabarinda V., Bao A., Xu W., Uwamahoro S., Huan, X., Gao Z., Jiang Z. (2021). Impact of cropland development intensity and expansion on natural vegetation in different African countries. Ecological Informatics, 64, 101359.
  • 14. Obokoh L.O., Goldman G. (2016). Infrastructure deficiency and the performance of small- and medium-sized enterprises in Nigeria's Liberalised Economy. Acta Commercii, 16(1), 1-10.
  • 15. Oluwatayo I.B., Ojo A.O. (2016). Is Africa's dependence on agriculture the cause of poverty in the continent?: An empirical review. The Journal of Developing Areas, 50(1), 93-102.
  • 16. Sans P., Combris P. (2015). World meat consumption patterns: An overview of the last fifty years (1961-2011). Meat science, 109, 106-111.
  • 17. Sekaran U., Lai L., Ussiri D.A., Kumar S., Clay S. (2021). Role of integrated crop-livestock systems in improving agriculture production and addressing food security - A review. Journal of Agriculture and Food Research, 5, 100190.
  • 18. Serraj R., Krishnan L., Pingali P. (2019). Agriculture and food systems to 2050: a synthesis. Agriculture & Food Systems to, 2050, 3-45.
  • 19. Uebersax M.A., Cichy K.A., Gomez F.E., Porch T.G., Heitholt J., Osorno J.M., Bales S. (2023). Dry beans (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) as a vital component of sustainable agriculture and food security - A review. Legume science, 5(1), e155.
  • 20. World Bank (2024). Food Production Index. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.PRD.FOOD.XD [access: 11.03.2025].
  • 21. You D., Hug L., Anthony D. (2014). Generation 2030/Africa. UNICEF. 3 United Nations Plaza, New York, NY 10017.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-60c73e00-b8a3-40cd-b6c6-960a18902ed5
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