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Tytuł artykułu

Application of a linked stress release model in Corinth Gulf and Central Ionian Islands (Greece)

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma
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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Spatio-temporal stress changes and interactions between adjacent fault segments consist of the most important component in seismic hazard assessment, as they can alter the occurrence probability of strong earthquake onto these segments. The investigation of the interactions between adjacent areas by means of the linked stress release model is attempted for moderate earthquakes (M ≥ 5.2) in the Corinth Gulf and the Central Ionian Islands (Greece). The study areas were divided in two subareas, based on seismotectonic criteria. The seismicity of each subarea is investigated by means of a stochastic point process and its behavior is determined by the conditional intensity function, which usually gets an exponential form. A conditional intensity function of Weibull form is used for identifying the most appropriate among the models (simple, independent and linked stress release model) for the interpretation of the earthquake generation process. The appropriateness of the models was decided after evaluation via the Akaike information criterion. Despite the fact that the curves of the conditional intensity functions exhibit similar behavior, the use of the exponential-type conditional intensity function seems to fit better the data.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
517--531
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 38 poz.
Twórcy
autor
  • Geophysics Department, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloníki, Greece
  • Department of Informatics Engineering, TEI of West Macedonia, Kastoria, Greece
  • Geophysics Department, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloníki, Greece
Bibliografia
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  • 2. Aristotle University of Thessaloniki Seismological Network (1981) Permanent regional seismological network operated by the aristotle university of thessaloniki. International Federation of Digital Seismograph Networks. Other/ Seismic Network. doi:10.7914/SN/HT
  • 3. Armijo R, Meyer B, King GCP, Rigo A, Papanastassiou D (1996) Quaternary evolution of the Corinth Rift and its implications for the late Cenozoic evolution of the Aegean. Geophys J Int 126:11–53
  • 4. Bebbington M (2005) Information gains for stress release models. Pure Appl Geophys 162:2229–2319
  • 5. Bebbington M, Harte D (2001) On the statistics of the linked stress release process. J Appl Probab 38:176–187
  • 6. Bebbington M, Harte D (2003) The linked stress release model for spatio-temporal seismicity: formulations, procedures and applications. Geophys J Int 154:925–946
  • 7. Borovkov K, Bebbington M (2003) A simple two-node stress transfer model reproducing Omori’s law. Pure Appl Geophys 160:1429–1445
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  • 9. Console R, Falcone G, Karakostas V, Murru M, Papadimitriou E, Rhoades D (2013) Renewal models and coseismic stress transfer in the Corinth Gulf Greece, fault system. J Geophys Res 118:3655–3673
  • 10. Daley D, Vere-Jones D (2003) An introduction to the theory of point processes, vol 1, 2nd edn. Springer, New York, pp 211–287
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  • 12. Harte DS, Vere-Jones D (2005) The entropy score and its uses in earthquake forecasting. Pure Appl Geophys 162:1229–1253
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  • 14. Isham V, Westcott M (1979) A self-correcting point process. Stoch Process Appl 8:335–347
  • 15. Jackson JA, White NJ (1989) Normal faulting in the upper continental crust: observations from regions of active extension. J Struct Geol 11:15–36
  • 16. Jiang M, Zhu S, Chen Y, Ai Y (2011) A new multidimensional stress release statistical model based on coseismic stress transfer. Geophys J Int 187:1479–1494
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  • 18. Kanamori H, Anderson DL (1975) Theoretical basis of some empirical relations in seismology. Bull Seismol Soc Am 65(5):1073–1095
  • 19. Liu J, Vere-Jones D, Ma L, Shi Y, Zhuang JC (1998) The principal of coupled stress release model and its application. Acta Seismologica Sinica 11:273–281
  • 20. Liu C, Chen Y, Shi Y, Vere-Jones D (1999) Coupled stress release model for time-dependent seismicity. Pure Appl Geophys 155:649–667
  • 21. Lu C (2005) The degree of predictability of earthquakes in several regions of China: statistical analysis of historical data. J Asian Earth Sci 25:379–385
  • 22. Lu C, Vere-Jones D (2000) Application of linked stress release model to historical earthquake data: comparison between two kinds of tectonic seismicity. Pure Appl Geophys 157:2351–2364
  • 23. Lu C, Vere-Jones D (2001) Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder. J Geophys Res 106(B6):11115–11125
  • 24. Lu C, Harte D, Bebbington M (1999) A linked stress release model for historical Japanese earthquakes: coupling among major seismic regions. Earth Planets Space 51:907–916
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  • 26. Papadimitriou EE (2002) Mode of strong earthquake recurrence in the Central Ionian Islands (Greece): possible triggering due to Coulomb stress changes generated by the occurrence of previous strong shocks. Bull Seismol Soc Am 92(8):3293–3308
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  • 30. Rotondi R, Varini E (2006) Bayesian analysis of marked stress release models for time-dependent hazard assessment in the western Gulf of Corinth. Tectonophys 423:107–113
  • 31. Rotondi R, Varini E (2007) Bayesian inference of stress release models applied to some seismogenic zones. Geophys J Int 169:301–314
  • 32. Scordilis EM, Karakaisis GF, Karakostas BG, Panagiotopoulos DG, Comninakis PE, Papazachos BC (1985) Evidence for transform faulting in the Ionian Sea: The Cephalonia island earthquake sequence of 1983. Pure Appl Geophys 123:388–397
  • 33. Varini E, Rotondi R (2015) Probability distribution of the waiting time in the stress release model: the Gompertz distribution. Environ Ecol Stat 22:493–511
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-5ea904db-92de-4c20-837d-ec87827f1482
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